ilmscore | Panic In the Car Market - Americans Rush to Beat Tariffs!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 18
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 18
Prediction
Topic
Status
Tariffs are expected to drive up the prices of both new and used cars in the US in 2025.
"as these tariffs are expected to drive up the prices of both new and used cars this year."
US Auto Market
Pending
The rush to buy new cars in the US might continue into May 2025, or until pre-tariff inventory is depleted. (Cox Automotive economists)
"the rush to buy new cars might continue into May, or until whenever the inventory that dealers built up before the tariffs is drawn down by anxious consumers."
US Auto Sales
Pending
New-car prices in the US are expected to rise dramatically by the second half of 2025, leading to a noticeable slowdown in sales. (Cox Automotive economists)
"They say in their report that they expect new-car prices to rise dramatically by the second half of the year, slowing sales noticeably."
US Auto Market
Pending
Auto tariffs could add almost $5,000 to the cost of new cars and weaken the competitiveness of US automakers. (Arthur Laffer)
"the auto tariffs could add almost five thousand dollars to the cost of new cars when they kick in and that the taxes could weaken the ability of U.S. automakers to compete with their foreign counterparts."
US Auto Industry
Pending
If tariffs remain and escalate, it would be 'disastrous' for both the US and world economies. (Arthur Laffer)
"if the tariffs remain in force and we see an escalation - it would be 'disastrous' for both America and the world economy."
Global Economy
Pending
Tariffs could reduce new auto purchases by up to 20% and raise average car prices for US consumers by $5,000 to $10,000. (Wedbush analysts)
"the tariffs could reduce new auto purchases by up to 20 per cent and raise the prices of a typical car to a US consumer by five to ten thousand dollars."
US Auto Market
Pending
Trump's auto tariffs will increase costs for US automakers by about $108 billion in 2025. (Center for Automotive Research)
"Trump's auto tariffs will increase costs by about $108 billion for U.S. automakers in 2025 alone."
US Auto Industry Costs
Pending
Average imported vehicles in the US will face $8,722 in additional taxes, while the Detroit Three will face $8,641, making them $81 cheaper than foreign competition. (Center for Automotive Research)
"They estimate that the average imported vehicle sold in the US will be hit with additional taxes of $8,722 dollars while the Detroit Three will be hit with an additional tax of $8,641 dollars – making them $81 dollars cheaper than the foreign competition."
US Auto Industry Costs
Pending
The big three US automakers will likely see a reduction of about $5 billion in North American operating profits for the rest of 2025 due to tariffs. (Detroit Free Press research)
"the big three American automakers will likely see a reduction of about $5 billion dollars in 'operating profits' in North America for the rest of this year due to tariffs."
US Auto Industry Profits
Pending
Tariffs will cost hourly US autoworkers $1,000-$5,000 in profit-sharing in 2025, and reduce bonuses/earnings for salaried workers, executives, and suppliers. (Detroit Free Press research)
"the tariffs will cost American autoworkers who are paid by the hour between one and five thousand dollars in profit-sharing for this year and that there will be reductions in bonuses and earnings for salaried workers, executives and those who work for suppliers, too."
US Auto Worker Compensation
Pending
US ports could become 'quite ugly' and 'fill up fast' with imported vehicles in a few weeks if tariffs are not softened. (Industry executive)
"One industry executive warned that the piling of imported vehicles at American ports could get “quite ugly” with ports set to “fill up fast” in a few weeks if the US tariffs are not softened."
US Port Congestion
Pending
US automakers are likely to focus on building larger, heavier SUVs and pickup trucks to absorb tariff costs without passing them to customers. (KPMG)
"KPMG are predicting that US automakers – who are slightly less impacted than foreign brands - are likely to focus on building larger, heavier SUV’s and pickup trucks, which are already mostly assembled in the United States and have the most markup - giving automakers the most room to absorb the cost of tariffs without passing them on to customers."
US Auto Manufacturing Strategy
Pending
If manufacturers discontinue affordable models, the average American will no longer be able to afford a new car.
"if manufacturers are going to get rid of affordable models – the days of the average American being able to afford a new car will be over."
US Car Affordability
Pending
Tariffs are unlikely to encourage companies to open new factories until the tariffs are permanent and the investment's long-term profitability is certain.
"It seems unlikely that tariffs will encourage companies to open new factories until they are certain that the new tariffs are permanent and that investing billions of dollars in new production capacity will pay off for them in the long run."
US Auto Manufacturing Investment
Pending
If new factories are built in the US due to tariffs, consumers will pay more for cars than anyone else globally due to factory and higher wage costs.
"Should that happen – they will have to pass on the cost of building a new factory and the higher wage costs to American consumers – who will then be paying more for cars than anyone else in the world."
US Car Prices
Pending
Semiconductor tariffs, including on certain tech products, are expected to be implemented in a month or two (from April 2025). (US Commerce Secretary)
"products are included in the semiconductor tariffs, which are coming in probably a month or two.”"
Semiconductor Tariffs
Pending
Tariffs on Apple iPhones are expected to return in about a month (from April 2025). (Nutlick, US Commerce Secretary)
"When asked to clarify whether tariffs on Apple iPhones might “come back on in a month or so”, Nutlick replied: “Correct. That’s right…'"
iPhone Tariffs
Pending
Tariffs could hit the Chinese economy hardest by causing a severe slowdown in the US economy, leading to a dry up of American demand. (The Economist)
"the tariffs could hit the Chinese economy hardest – by causing such a severe slowdown in the US economy – that American demand dries up."
Chinese Economy
Pending