ilmscore | Why Is Russia's Economy Growing?

Why Is Russia's Economy Growing?

Published: 2025-05-03
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
Ukraine's real GDP is predicted to return to its pre-war level only by 2030, even if it maintains recent growth rates, according to a European Parliament analysis.
"According to an analysis by the European Parliament, if Ukraine was able to maintain its recent growth rates, it’s real GDP would only return to its pre-war level by 2030."
Ukraine Economy
Pending
Corporate bankruptcies in Russia, which surged 20% in 2024, are expected to continue their upward trend, according to the Moscow Times.
"Corporate bankruptcies surged 20% in Russia last year and this trend is expected to continue."
Russian Corporate Bankruptcies
Pending
A post-war wave of defaults is a prospect for Russian banks' portfolios if defense spending decreases and the economy slows.
"This raises the prospect of a post-war wave of defaults if defense spending falls and the economy slows."
Russian Banking
Pending
Lower growth in military spending and high interest rates are likely to negatively impact Russia's GDP growth, as reported by The Economist.
"They highlight lower growth in military spending and high interest rates – as likely to ding GDP growth."
Russian Economy
Pending
Russia's finance ministry increased the 2025 budget deficit estimate to 1.7% of GDP (from 0.5%), following a 24% reduction in its forecast for energy revenues.
"On April 30th the Russian finance ministry increased the budget-deficit estimate for 2025 to 1.7% of GDP from 0.5% after reducing its forecast for energy revenues by 24%."
Russian Budget Deficit
Pending
Russia's most skilled and productive workers will emigrate for opportunities abroad as the country's economy stagnates.
"As Russia stagnates, its smartest and most productive workers – who haven’t yet left - will leave for opportunities in the rest of the world."
Russian Economy
Pending
Putin will struggle to normalize the Russian economy after the multi-year lending boom, where state-controlled banks were compelled to finance defense companies at subsidized rates.
"Putin will struggle to normalize the Russian economy after the multi-year lending boom where state-controlled banks were forced to finance defense companies at subsidized rates."
Russian Economy
Pending
The Russian economy is expected to struggle further if energy prices continue to fall.
"The Russian economy has already started slowing – and can be expected to struggle if energy prices fall any further."
Russian Economy
Pending
The IMF predicts Russia's economic growth to be 1.3% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026.
"The IMF expects growth of 1.3% this year and 1.2% next year."
Russian GDP Growth
Pending