Mutual Fund Investment STRATEGY for 2025! | Ankur Warikoo Hindi
Published: 2025-02-05
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-02-05
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker has a long-term investment horizon of 10-15 years for small-cap funds.
"I have deployed a lot of money in small cap funds and I know that I am going to be there for as long as the fund lasts, but let's say 10 to 15 years."
Pending
The speaker expects small-cap funds to settle at 18-20% long-term returns, despite recent higher returns.
"I have been with this fund for maybe 7 years now. So far, on an average, it has given me a return of 32%, which is quite insane and also unreasonable. I think that long term this will settle at about 18 to 20%, which is my minimum expectation."
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The speaker's internal expectation for flexi-cap fund returns was 15-18%, and they are achieving 21%.
"In fact, in my internal calculations in flexi caps, I had kept it at 15 to 18, so at 21, if I I am getting that."
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The speaker has invested in ICICI Prudential Small Cap Fund and has seen unreasonable returns (46.5% XIRR) due to recent 'madness' in small caps.
"I have taken the number one ICICI Prudential small cap fund again because in the last three-four years there has been so much madness in small caps, so the returns are quite unreasonable. Right now my X1RR is around 46.5. Insane"
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The speaker has a significant investment in a momentum strategy small case, which has yielded an impressive XIRR of 28.55% over four years.
"momentum strategy is there in the family as well, it is also there in mine, it has been there for a really long time and a lot of money is deployed in it and its X1RR has been quite impressive, I have got 28.555100."
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Mankind Pharma stock has seen an approximately 130% increase in less than two years.
"Since then, it has increased by about 130. It's hardly a two-year gap, so the growth rate is a bit insane."
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If a small-cap mutual fund grows too large, the deployment of its capital may become inefficient.
"if their mutual fund becomes too big then that money is not properly deployed."
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The speaker prefers mutual funds with an Asset Under Management (AUM) between ₹2,000 crore and ₹25,000 crore.
"So I look for mutual funds which are between 2000 to 25000 crores. Two means 2000 to 25000 crores."
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Index funds are recommended as a cost-effective way to minimize expense ratios.
"And a great way of minimizing that is that you buy index funds. Why are index funds cheaper?"
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For individuals in their 20s with an annual income under ₹3 lakh, a recommended asset allocation is 25% in fixed-return assets and 75% in the stock market, with the stock market portion split as 65% Nifty 50/large-cap, 35% mid-cap, and no small caps.
"If your income in 20 years is less than ₹ 20 lakh annually, then you should invest around 25% of your investment amount in fixed return assets... Then invest the remaining 75% in the stock market. And my opinion in that would be Nifty at 65%. Put 50 in mutual funds and at 35 in midcap mutual funds. Small caps, please do not test this income."
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For individuals in their 20s earning between ₹3 lakh and ₹9 lakh annually, the allocation is 25% fixed assets and 75% stocks, with the stock portion divided into 30% large-cap, 40% mid-cap, and 30% small-cap.
"If you are earning 9 lakhs from 3 lakhs, which means your salary has improved a little. Again, at 25 lakhs you are putting it in fixed assets. At 75 lakhs you will put it in stock market, but now the stock market investment will be of a very different shape. My opinion would be that at 30 lakhs you should put it in Nifty 50 or large caps. At 40 lakhs you should put it in midcaps and the remaining 30 lakhs you should put it in small caps."
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For individuals in their 20s with an annual income over ₹9 lakh, the allocation is 20% fixed assets and 80% stocks, with the stock portion split as 25% large-cap, 40% mid-cap, and 35% small-cap.
"And if the salary is ₹3 to ₹1 lakh, then you can actually deploy money in small caps and large caps. If your income is more than ₹1 lakh, then you can reduce it by 20 lakhs. But put your invested amount in fixed deposits or fixed return assets and invest in stock market at 80 because your salary is good and you are ready to take more risk and this mix will also change a bit now, large cap at 25, mid cap at 40 and small cap at around 35"
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For individuals in their 30s with an annual income under ₹3 lakh, a recommended allocation is 30% in fixed returns and 70% in the stock market, with the stock portion heavily skewed towards large-cap (70-80%) and a small portion in mid-cap (20-30%).
"if you earn less than ₹ lakh, at 30 your investment should go in fixed return, it can be FD, debt mutual funds, EPF, PPF, NPS, digital gold, at 70 your investment can go in stock market but out of that 70, at 70 or 80 you should go in large cap and why only at 20 or 30 in mid cap"
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For individuals in their 30s earning between ₹3 lakh and ₹9 lakh annually, the allocation is 25% fixed return, 75% stock market, with the stock portion as 60% large-cap, 30% mid-cap, and 10% small-cap.
"If the annual salary is between ₹ to ₹ lakh then the pattern changes a bit. Fixed return at 25, stock market at 75 and out of that 75 we will still invest 60% in large cap, at 30 in mid cap and at 10 only invest 10% in small cap mutual funds."
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For individuals in their 30s with an annual income over ₹9 lakh, the allocation is 25% fixed return, 75% stock market, with the stock portion as 50% large-cap, 35% mid-cap, and 15% small-cap.
"If the salary is more than ₹ lakh then still fixed return at 25, stock market at 75 and the trend of that 75 will change a bit. Now at 50 it can be large cap, at 35 it can be mid cap and at 15 it can be small cap."
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For individuals in their 40s with an annual income under ₹3 lakh, the allocation is 50% in fixed returns and 50% in the stock market, with the stock portion being 80-100% large-cap and 0-20% mid-cap.
"If at this time your income is still less than ₹ lakh then at 50 your invested amount should go into fixed return and the rest You can invest 50% of it in the stock market and out of that 50%, almost 100% should go to large cap only. I would say that maximum you should reduce it to 80% and make it mid cap at 20%"
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For individuals in their 40s earning ₹9 lakh annually, the allocation is 40% fixed return and 60% stock market, with the stock portion as 75% large-cap and 25% mid-cap, excluding small caps.
"if your annual salary is 9 lakhs, then my opinion would be on 40%. You should invest in your fixed return... and stock market at 60% and out of this 60%, 75% will still be large cap, 25% will be mid cap, small cap is still not there."
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For individuals in their 40s with an annual income over ₹9 lakh, the allocation is 30% fixed returns and 70% stock market, with the stock portion as 70% large-cap and 30% mid-cap, and no small caps.
"and if your salary is more than ₹ lakh, maybe it could be 18, maybe 27, then you should decide it as per your own, at 30 you will still invest in fixed returns, at 70 you can invest in stock market and at that 70 also my opinion would be that at 70 you should invest in large cap, at 30 in mid cap and still do not take any small cap"
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Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) are recommended for mutual fund investments to manage market volatility.
"to invest in mutual funds, my advice will always be through SIP because they handle all the ups and downs, whether the market is up or down, the money will be deducted on the same date of every month."
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