Should You BUY GOLD Now? Complete GOLD vs EQUITY Breakdown! | Ankur Warikoo Hindi
Published: 2025-11-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-11-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 6
Prediction
Topic
Status
Gold has been outperforming the stock market (Nifty) over 5, 10, 15, and 20-year periods.
"First the bitter truth. I just feel bitter. You can choose any period from these years period 5, 10, 15, 20. Gold is right now outperforming the stock market. At least at a nifty level."
Incorrect
Gold is considered the 'absolute best asset' because it offers comparable or superior returns with lower risk compared to other assets.
"Gold gives equal or better returns with lesser risk. This is a mind-boggling thing. This is extremely rare in personal finance. In fact it is the absolute best asset."
Incorrect
Central banks dramatically increased gold purchases in 2024, buying over 1000 tonnes, more than double the average from 2010-2021.
"In 2024, the central banks of all countries together purchased 1044 tonnes of gold. From 2010 to 2021, on an average, 400 to 450 tonnes were purchased per year. And 2024 was the third executive year where more than 1000 tonnes, meaning more than double the average, was purchased."
Correct
As the US dollar devalues, individuals will increasingly invest in gold as a store of value that retains and grows its worth.
"So the more the US dollar continues to devalue itself, the more people will try to park their currency in gold. Because any other currency that they hold is only losing value, gold may be the only thing that retains its value and at least in the last five years has grown in value."
Correct
Historically, gold has risen when the stock market falls, but it may decline slightly once the market stabilizes.
"As the market falls, gold rises. And off course it is not that it keeps increasing because gold also has volatility. So when the market stabilizes then gold gradually falls a little."
Pending
An optimal portfolio allocation of approximately 17% in gold maximizes the Sharpe ratio, indicating the best risk-adjusted returns.
"So I was trying to figure out what percentage of gold currently represents in your investment portfolio where your Sharpe ratio maximizes, meaning your risk-adjusted return picks up the best, close to three, and that number comes to approximately 17%."
Pending
Recommended gold allocation varies by age: 10% for those in their 20s/early 30s, 15-18% for those in their 30s/40s, and 20-25% for those 40s and above.
"if you are in your 20s or early 30s. You should have about 10% in gold. ... If you are in your 30s to your 40s you should have about 15% to 18% in gold. And if you are in your 40s and above or 50s, you should have about 20 to 25% of your portfolio in gold."
Pending
There is a 30% probability that equity markets will rise, leading to a decrease in the gold-to-Nifty ratio as gold prices remain stable.
"One scenario is that, as has happened the last four times, equity markets will rise. I would give it about a 30% probability. So this means that gold will almost remain the same. But the stock market will rise so that your ratio of 2.67 will decrease."
Incorrect
The speaker predicts that the gold-to-Nifty ratio will break its historical pattern, with gold rising significantly while the stock market remains stagnant, pushing the ratio above 2.63.
"The second thing is that this ratio will break for the first time. So the stock market will remain the same. Gold will rise a lot. And the ratio perhaps goes to beyond 2.63 may be for the first time. I think that is what is more likely to happen."
Incorrect
There is a 40-50% probability that the stock market will decline in the next six months, causing money to shift towards gold and potentially crypto.
"I have also shared this prediction with my friends that within 6 months I personally feel that the stock market will either hold and go down and the money will move to gold and perhaps crypto and that is in my head about a 40 to 50% probability"
Incorrect
There is a 20% probability that both gold and stock markets will rise concurrently due to high market liquidity and money printing.
"or another unusual probability which is happening right now that both gold and stock markets will keep rising because there is so much liquidity in the market that money is being printed like a ship, so so much money has been created that people are buying anything, buying stocks, buying gold, buying crypto, buying anything else also. And that I would assign about a 20% probability not more."
Correct
The speaker predicts a stock market crash and a subsequent increase in gold prices as investors move to safer assets. This is expected to push the gold-to-Nifty ratio beyond 2.67.
"As I said in this video I am predicting that the stock market will crash and will reduce, gold will increase because money will shift from the stock market to safer assets and a store of value such as gold and if that is the case then maybe this ratio will actually go beyond 2.67 for the first time and it will not be a stock market rally."
Incorrect