ilmscore | Is My Portfolio at Risk | Impact of Crude Oil on Stock Market | CA Rachana Ranade

Predictions from this Video

Total: 4
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 4
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Falling crude oil prices are predicted to have a positive impact on the Indian economy, while rising prices will have a negative impact.
"if the crude oil prices go up, it is going to have a painful impact on our economy but, if the crude oil prices go down it is surely going to be a pleasant surprise for our economy."
Crude Oil Prices and Indian Economy
Pending
A drop in crude oil prices is expected to lead to lower petrol prices, reduced transportation and production costs, increased profit margins for companies, a stronger current account deficit, and a stronger rupee, all contributing to a positive impact on the Nifty.
"if the price of crude oil drops then what will happen? Then the petrol price will drop, if the petrol prices drop, the transportation cost will drop and overall the production cost of any company should ideally drop. If that be so, the operating profit margins will increase and the final bottom line that is the profit before tax will also increase. If this be so, this will have an overall positive impact for the company and a positive impact for Nifty as well. On the other hand if you look at it, if the import bill reduces because of the falling price of crude oil, this will strengthen our current account deficit and our rupee will also appreciate and these factors will also contribute to a positive nifty."
Crude Oil Prices and Nifty
Pending
Indian investors and the country itself use Brent crude as the benchmark for crude oil imports.
"Brent is the benchmark for UK oil whereas, WTI is the benchmark for US oil but, I as an Indian investor, which one should I follow? Indians follow the benchmark of Brent as far as crude oil is concerned, even at a country level, whenever we are importing crude oil from any country, Brent is used as a benchmark."
Brent Crude vs. WTI Crude
Pending
Historical data suggests an inverse correlation between Brent crude oil prices and the Nifty, with Nifty rising when Brent crude falls and vice versa.
"In March 2022, Brent oil had peaked and Nifty at the same time was hitting lower lows. Even if you check the last three months that is from June 2022 to August 2022, you can see that crude oil has been continuously decreasing, whereas nifty has been continuously increasing."
Crude Oil Price Trends and Nifty Movement
Pending