ilmscore | Fiscal Deficit | Dedollarisation | Metals | CA Rachana Ranade

Predictions from this Video

Total: 31
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 31
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A decreasing fiscal deficit could lead to a reduction in direct taxes like income tax in the future.
"if the fiscal deficit decreases then there is a great chance that the direct taxes income tax May decrease in the future that is a possibility"
Fiscal Deficit
Pending
China's significant sale of US treasuries and subsequent increase in gold reserves suggests a potential rise in gold prices due to ongoing central bank purchases.
"China sold a record amount of us treasuries so the amount of us treasuries sold were 53.3 billion dollar which were sold in the first quarter itself there are us treasuries are agency bonds okay but right now you can just imagine 53.3 billion dollar worth treasuries of USA being sold off Now you can imagine so many so much treasuries bonds sold off what are they going to get in return they're going to get dollars what did they do with this dollar they are buying gold they are increasing their gold reserves currently gold makes up 4.9% of China's reserves which is the highest since 2015 so this is again something pretty interesting China racking up its gold reserves uh and uh you know overall gold is almost at an all-time high with the central banks buying so much of gold continuing to buy so much of gold will there's a possibility that the gold prices may go higher from here as well"
Gold Prices
Pending
A global shift from the US dollar to gold as a reserve asset is occurring, which could have negative implications for the US dollar's status.
"the concept of dollarization as well right I hope you understand this that more and more central government so more and more countries B basically shifting their reserves from US dollar to an alternate asset class which is gold that is not a great sign for United States of America because here countries are saying that instead of having dollar as a reserve currency that's okay even if we don't have dollars as a reserve currency we will have gold as our Reserve currency not currency per se but yes Reserve asset I I must say that"
US Dollar Reserve Status
Pending
India is the only top five steel-producing nation to show growth in production in April, while others experienced a decline.
"India which is the second largest producer of Steel in the world that this is the only country among the top five steel producing Nations to have seen a growth in production in April with other seeing a drop in production by more than some six s% during this month"
Indian Steel Production
Pending
Nifty's next resistance level is projected to be 23,000, with potential for short covering to push it to 23,300-23,400 if it breaks and sustains above 23,000.
"next resistance is at 23,000 plus so this is going to be fun now the moment Market crosses 23,000 if it stays there then any call writer who has written the call at 23,000 if it goes to 23,100 let us say that person that call writer also gets strapped there is a short covering and that leads to another rally so as of now everything looks good 23,000 if I mean if Market crosses 23,000 stays there I think short covering will take it to 23,300 23,400 level as well so let me also check the pivots have not checked the oh too much I not checked it I'll be honest with you but just add said 23,300 400 but if you see your next resistance post 23,000 is directly at 23,400"
Nifty Resistance Level
Pending
A target of 23,400 for Nifty is anticipated if it can surpass and hold above the 23,000 level.
"write this down that if Market goes about 23,000 stays there then ideally it should go close enough may not be exact but should go close enough to 23,400 as well so it's going to be fun"
Nifty Target Level
Pending
For investors with limited profits, it is advisable to book approximately 50% of profits before election results to mitigate risk and create opportunities for re-entry at lower levels.
"if you are a person with limited profits and if you feel that oh my God what if Market goes down what if there is a profit booking after the election results what if I don't have money at that point in time so it's always better to book around around I'm saying around 50% of your profits"
Profit Booking Strategy
Pending
HL stock is nearing a short-term target and shows characteristics of an upward flag pattern, approaching a resistance level, suggesting caution.
"HL right now I believe is pretty much close to a short-term Target of mine I'll share my screen uh of course everyone has to do their own analysis this is not a stock recommendation this is neither a stock buy recommendation but very clear technical analysis here you can see this is pretty much close to an up flag pattern okay this is the height of the pole added to the top of the flag and added to the top of the flag is this resistance level okay close to that okay so be careful"
HL Stock Technicals
Pending
Dixon stock is at an all-time high, with a resistance level identified around 9,500 based on pivot levels.
"Dixon same old story this is also like at an alltime high right now uh it's not 10,000 particularly but uh it's around 9,500 uh if you check the pivot levels the resistance I'll share my screen if you want as per pivot levels you can see 9,500 see is the resistance level"
Dixon Technicals
Pending
Amar Raja appears to have exited its downward trend, with its monthly chart showing promise after a breakout, though the weekly chart indicates some recent minor weakness.
"looks I mean definitely it looks like it has come out of its downward trajectory right now it'll be interesting to see how this candle closes because this is a follow-up candle of the breakout uh this is again a monthly chart that we are checking out right now let's also quickly check the weekly chart here weekly charts shows some minor weakness in the last few days"
Amar Raja Technicals
Pending
NMDC is recommended to be added to a watchlist due to its interesting technical outlook.
"interesting this stock is a must add to your watch list for sure add this to your watch list"
NMDC Technicals
Pending
Bank of Maharashtra's technicals, including volumes, look good, but this is not a buy recommendation.
"volumes are nice looks good A whenever I'm saying looks good it's the technical analysis right that doesn't mean that you have to buy"
Bank of Maharashtra Technicals
Pending
IDFC First Bank shows a double bottom pattern with a breakout and is currently at a retest level, making it a notable addition to a watchlist.
"for I can say this is more of a double bottom it broke out and it is at a retest right now very nice level again add it up to your watch list very nice level it is at a retest"
IDFC First Bank Technicals
Pending
For stocks like BL with significant profits (e.g., 115%), it is advised to withdraw the initial capital and manage remaining profits with trailing stop losses.
"take out your take out your Capital away whatever you had invested capital is now back into your profit whatever is remaining is the profit let that be reinvested enjoy and keep a trailing stop loss maybe you can Trail your stop losses you currently you are at 15 15% of the profit maybe Trail 10% downwards so if it goes to 125 now your new trailing stop loss would be5 if it goes to 135 your new traing stop loss will be 125"
BL Stock Profit Management
Pending
Engineers India shows an interesting technical setup on the monthly chart, including a double bottom pattern with good volumes, a breakout, retest, and bounce, making it a stock to watch.
"Engineers India on a monthly chart It looks interesting right now I'll share the screen so even this level has been taken taken out but important one is this level here if you see here it's a clearcut kind of a double bottom correct volumes are also good it has broken out it broke out here it did retest now bouncing off initial High also know uh that has been taken out interesting to watch so again such such stocks have to be added to your watch list"
Engineers India Technicals
Pending
Tata Motors on a daily timeframe appears to be forming a triple top pattern, rather than a double top.
"on a daily time frame maybe you are seeing if it's a daily time frame in fact it's like a triple top rather than a double top"
Tata Motors Technicals
Pending
A narrowing fiscal deficit due to increased government revenue could lead to a decrease in direct taxes like income tax in the future.
"if the fiscal deficit decreases then there is a great chance that the direct taxes income tax May decrease in the future"
Fiscal Deficit and Income Tax
Pending
China sold a record $53.3 billion in US treasuries in Q1, indicating a shift away from US dollar-denominated assets.
"China sold a record amount of us treasuries so the amount of us treasuries sold were 53.3 billion dollars which were sold in the first quarter itself"
China's US Treasury Holdings
Pending
China is increasing its gold reserves, with gold now making up 4.9% of its reserves, the highest level since 2015.
"they are buying gold they are increasing their gold reserves currently gold makes up 4.9% of China's reserves which is the highest since 2015"
Gold Reserves
Pending
Continued strong gold buying by central banks suggests a possibility of gold prices rising further.
"the central banks buying so much of gold continuing to buy so much of gold will there's a possibility that the gold prices may go higher from here as well"
Gold Prices
Pending
A growing trend of countries shifting their reserves from US dollars to gold indicates a potential decline in the US dollar's status as a reserve asset.
"more and more countries B basically shifting their reserves from US dollar to an alternate asset class which is gold"
Dollarization Trend
Pending
In April, India was the only one among the top five steel-producing nations to see an increase in production, while others experienced a decline of around 7%.
"India which is the second largest producer of Steel in the world that this is the only country among the top five steel producing Nations to have seen a growth in production in April with other seeing a drop in production by more than some six s%"
India's Steel Production
Pending
If Nifty crosses and stays above 23,000, short covering is expected to push it to the 23,300-23,400 levels.
"if Market crosses 23,000 stays there I think short covering will take it to 23,300 23,400 level as well"
Nifty Target
Pending
If Nifty surpasses and holds above 23,000, it is predicted to reach approximately 23,400.
"if Market goes about 23,000 stays there then ideally it should go close enough may not be exact but should go close enough to 23,400 as well"
Nifty Target (Updated)
Pending
For investors with limited profits, it is advisable to book around 50% of profits before election results to mitigate risk and maintain liquidity.
"if you are a person with limited profits and if you feel that oh my God what if Market goes down what if there is a profit booking after the election results what if I don't have money at that point in time so it's always better to book around around I'm saying around 50% of your profits"
Profit Booking Strategy
Pending
Amar Raja appears to have emerged from its downward trend, with the closing of the current candle being crucial to confirm the breakout.
"looks I mean definitely it looks like it has come out of its downward trajectory right now it'll be interesting to see how this candle closes because this is a follow-up candle of the breakout"
Amar Raja Technical Analysis
Pending
NMDC is recommended to be added to a stock watchlist for further monitoring.
"interesting this stock is a must add to your watch list for sure add this to your watch list"
NMDC Stock Watchlist
Pending
Bank of Maharashtra shows positive technical indicators with good volumes, suggesting a favorable outlook.
"Bank of Maharashtra show my screen... looks good volumes are nice looks good"
Bank of Maharashtra Technical Analysis
Pending
IDFC First Bank is at a retest level and is considered a good opportunity to add to a watchlist.
"it is at a retest right now very nice level again add it up to your watch list very nice level it is at a retest"
IDFC First Bank Technical Analysis
Pending
Engineers India presents an interesting technical setup on the monthly chart, with a breakout, retest, and bounce off initial highs, indicating positive momentum.
"Engineers India on a monthly chart It looks interesting right now... It broke out here it did retest now bouncing off initial High also know that has been taken out interesting to watch"
Engineers India Technical Analysis
Pending
On a daily timeframe, Tata Motors appears to be forming a triple top pattern, rather than a double top.
"on a daily time frame maybe you are seeing if it's a daily time frame in fact it's like a triple top rather than a double top"
Tata Motors Technical Analysis
Pending