ilmscore | NIFTY, S&P 500 are Bleeding | All about US PMI Data to Trump Tariffs | CA Rachana Ranade

Predictions from this Video

Total: 18
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 18
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Proposed tariffs by Trump, set to begin in April 2025, could result in an annual loss of $7 billion for the Indian economy, according to Citi research.
"Trumps proposal tariff in simple words it's nothing but tit for tat what has he mentioned that he has It mentioned that we will impose these tariffs from April so they are yet to impose them I mean it is yet to be started it is going to be starting from the month of April and according to a Citi research report it is mentioned that this could potentially lead to losses of $7 billion annually for the Indian economy"
IND
Pending
From October 2024 to February 2025, India's market capitalization decreased by approximately $1 trillion, while China's increased by about $2 trillion.
"since October, India has lost a market capitalisation of almost $1 trillion and in the same time frame that is from October 2024 till date China has gained a market capitalisation of almost $2 trillion"
NIFTY
Pending
Foreign institutional investor allocations to India have reached a two-year low as of February 2025.
"Indian allocations are right now at a two year low"
NIFTY
Pending
There's a possibility that selling pressure on India will cease, leading to a potential shift in allocation from China back to India.
"so there could be a chance that some where they will stop selling and some where the allocation Again may shift from China to India"
NIFTY
Pending
As of February 2025, foreign investors have sold over ₹1 lakh crore (or ₹1 trillion) of Indian equities in the year 2025.
"in the year 2025 itself they have sold more than ₹ lakh crores or ₹ trillion of Indian equity sold"
NIFTY
Pending
The Nifty index is expected to see a further fall of approximately 3-4% before a potential recovery begins.
"I see barely the last 3 or 4 per fall should be remaining post which we should start seeing some sort of recovery"
NIFTY
Pending
The current market correction in Nifty is characterized as a 'time-wise correction', with a 14% fall over five months, contrasting with historical periods of deeper price drops over similar durations.
"time wise correction we are in a classic time Wise correction right now we are taking time to fall like we saw that where we had begun the video right that when there were five consecutive months of back to back closing in red we had fallen by 20 to 30 percent and what not right now we have fallen only we have to say only by 14 percent in five months and that again a classic example of time wise correction"
NIFTY
Pending
The current market downturn in India is less severe than historical downturns in terms of percentage fall, suggesting it might be a time-wise correction rather than a deep price correction.
"this would happen after 1996 so is this something which is comparative unusual answer is obviously yes right but there is one point that you can see here look at the percentage fall the highest was 31.4 barring this fall the low the lowest is 21.8 and right now we are at good age on this article of ET it is at 11.7 but as I shoot the video it is a shade more than 14"
US Economy
Pending
A February 2025 S&P Global report indicated faltering output growth and declining payrolls in the US, alongside rising costs and slumping optimism.
"This is SNP global flash yes PAI Okay very clearly they have mentioned what is the heading output growth falters so growth somehow questionable payrolls decline so payrolls is basically the payment and overall employees Okay that is declining in February as optimism slumps and costs rise ohho four problems is what they are mentioning this is a data which is collected from 10th to 20th of February Okay"
US Economy
Pending
The US Flash PMI Composite Output fell to 50.4 in February 2025, a 17-month low, down from 52.7 in January.
"flash US PMI composite output that fell from 50 fell from 52.7 in January to 50.4 in February and this is a 17 month low"
US Economy
Pending
US manufacturing output showed improvement in February 2025, reaching an 11-month high, indicating no issues in this sector.
"manufacturing output has increased good from what to what let's see here manufacturing output is in fact at an 11 month high 53.8 versus 51.8 so is there a problem in manufacturing no no problem in manufacturing"
US Economy
Pending
The US services sector declined significantly in February 2025, hitting a 25-month low of 49.6, indicating a contraction.
"services 25 month low from 52.9 to 49.6 and as I mention anything below 50 it's bad it signals growth"
US Economy
Pending
The combination of stagnation and inflation in the US economy could potentially lead to stagflation, though it's too early to confirm.
"this stagnation combined with inflation can lead to something called stagflation and it is not a very good sign of course this is very early to see that in the US enter stagflation"
US Economy
Pending
Manufacturing input prices in the US are sharply increasing, indicating inflationary pressures.
"for manufacturing input prices you can see this blue color okay input prices just have a look at this sharp increase again a sharp increase so input Increasing input prices are increasing why inflation Okay"
US Economy
Pending
US manufacturers are facing shrinking margins as their input costs rise, but they are unable to pass these costs onto consumers.
"what about manufacturing output prices in yellow they are not increasing as sharply as input so what will happen there are their input costs are increasing but they are not able to pass that on to their customers what will this lead to this will lead to shrinking margins"
US Economy
Pending
The US services sector is also experiencing shrinking margins due to increasing input costs and declining service prices charged to customers.
"same thing is with service input costs purple line is it increasing yes and service price charged oh they are declining so now will this also lead to overall shrinking of the margins in service sector also absolutely yes"
US Economy
Pending
Federal government policies, including spending cuts and tariffs, along with geopolitical developments, are increasing pressure on the US economy.
"all these things combined with what wide spread concerns about the impact of federal government policies ranging from spending cuts tariffs spending cuts to tariffs and geopolitical developments all these are in fact bringing in more and more pressure on the US economy"
US Economy
Pending
There is a potential for a problematic economic situation in the US during the calendar year 2025.
"these states that there could be a rather problematic situation in the calendar year 2025"
US Economy
Pending