ilmscore | It Started: Japan Just Broke The US Stock Market

It Started: Japan Just Broke The US Stock Market

Published: 2024-08-06
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 12
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 12
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A recession is considered a possibility.
"it seems like a recession cannot be ruled out just yet"
Recession
Pending
The US labor market is deteriorating, potentially leading to a cycle of job losses, decreased consumer spending, and reduced business revenue.
"the labor Market's clearly no longer normalizing further deterioration could set off a negative cycle of job losses consumer spending declines business Revenue declines and more job Cuts"
US Labor Market
Pending
The US unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%.
"the unemployment rate increased to 4.3%"
US Unemployment Rate
Pending
A 0.5 percentage point rise in the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate from the previous year signals an imminent or ongoing recession.
"if the unemployment rates 3month moving average rises half a percentage point from its previous year a recession is either imminent or already underway"
US Recession Indicator
Pending
Oil prices dropped to $73 a barrel due to expectations of decreased demand, weakening employment, and reduced production by exporters.
"oil recently fell to $73 a barrel on fears that people are going to be cutting back demand is going to weaken and unemployment is going to increase because of that it's expected that exporters may begin to scale back production"
Oil Prices
Pending
The market anticipates a 50 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September.
"the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this September"
US Interest Rates
Pending
Historically, the stock market has declined following Federal Reserve rate cuts since 1990.
"since 1990 every single time the Federal Reserve has lowered rates the stock market has declined"
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
Pending
The Federal Reserve typically cuts interest rates only when necessary, in anticipation of potentially disastrous economic events.
"historically the Federal Reserve has not lowered interest rates unless they absolutely have to... they lower interest rates in anticipation of events that could be disastrous for the economy"
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts (Reasoning)
Pending
A 10% stock market correction occurs approximately every 16 months, with 11 such events in the last 20 years.
"on average a 10% Market correction happens about every 16 months and throughout the last 20 years a 10% drop has happened 11 times"
Stock Market Correction
Pending
The stock market is expected to be volatile in the short term, with ups and downs.
"over the next few days the market goes up quite a bit and then maybe it goes down before it goes up quite a bit it's a roller coaster"
Market Volatility
Pending
Investing in the stock market is not recommended for funds needed within the next 3 to 5 years due to short-term unpredictability.
"if you need the money in the short term over the next 3 to 5 years it's probably not a good idea to invest in the stock market"
Short-term Stock Market Investment
Pending
Stock market investments should be considered for a minimum holding period of 10 to 20 years.
"if you aren't prepared to hold these Investments for at least 10 to 20 years I might recommend against it"
Long-term Stock Market Investment
Pending