ilmscore | WTF Just Happened To China's Economy?

WTF Just Happened To China's Economy?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 19
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 19
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Topic
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China's new stimulus package is predicted to have a global impact on various financial markets, including real estate, lending, interest rates, and the US dollar.
"China's latest stimulus package is about to impact every Financial market around the world from Real Estate to lending to interest rates to even the value of the US dollar."
China's Economy
Pending
China's stock market has experienced one of its strongest rallies in nearly a decade within the last 30 days, attributed to a new 'economic reset' strategy.
"in the last 30 days they've experienced one of the strongest stock market rallies in almost a decade all thanks to a new strategy the economic reset"
China's Stock Market
Pending
China's 'economic reset' strategy, involving a significant stimulus package, is believed by some to be a temporary measure that delays an inevitable downturn, but is expected to affect global financial markets.
"apparently money can solve all of your problems and even though some analysts believe that this only delays the inevitable China's latest stimulus package is about to impact every Financial market around the world"
China's Economic Reset
Pending
The period of strong economic growth in China, marked by international investment and WTO membership in 2001, was driven by global capital influx into infrastructure and low-cost labor.
"as a result of that money poured in countries from around the world invested in Chinese infrastructure took advantage of lowcost Labor and helped them bring much needed funding to areas that were previously closed off at this time growth was so impressive that in 2001 China became a member of the World Trade Organization"
China's Stock Market Rally
Pending
China's economy experienced remarkable growth, lifting 400 million people out of poverty, becoming the largest exporter by 2009, and achieving an 11-fold increase in size since 2001, surpassing other nations in growth rate.
"400 million people were lifted from poverty in addition to that their economy is now more than 11 times larger today than it was in 2001 they became the world's largest exporting nation in 2009 and they were even touted as the world's economic Miracle while they grew at a faster Pace than any other Nation"
China's Economy
Pending
China's real estate market saw a dramatic price increase of 700% between 2001 and 2017.
"China's real estate market was growing so quickly that prices increased 700% from 2001 to 2 17"
China's Real Estate Market
Pending
Following Evergrande's bankruptcy in mid-2023 with over $300 billion in debt, approximately 233 other property developers also filed for bankruptcy.
"after owing more than $300 billion to its investors an estimated 233 other property developers filed for bankruptcy shortly afterwards"
China's Real Estate Market
Pending
The youth unemployment rate in China for individuals aged 16 to 24 is currently 18.8%, showing a consistent rise since surveys began in 2018.
"as it stands right now the jobless rate of 16 to 24 year olds is currently 18.8% and that's been steadily Rising since the surveys were started in 2018"
China's Youth Unemployment
Pending
Economic uncertainty in China, driven by concerns over falling real estate prices, bank runs, and high unemployment, is causing citizens to reduce spending, leading to the country missing its 5% GDP growth target.
"China's citizens are afraid to spend more money because of strong economic uncertainty especially everything that's happened with falling real estate prices Bank runs and high unemployment this of course means that China is falling short of their 5% GDP growth goal"
China's Economy
Pending
China's strategy to combat its slowing economy involves a significant money printing initiative.
"China's solution to a slowing economy is the tried andrue method of printing a lot of money"
China's Stimulus Package
Pending
The People's Bank of China is implementing measures to inject $112 billion into the stock market, including lowering interest and mortgage rates, and reducing bank reserve requirements to free up $140 billion.
"the People's Bank of China moved forward with two funding proposals that would inject about $112 billion into the stock market in terms of specifics it said that they were lower interest rates to make borrowing money cheaper lower mortgage rates for homeowners benefiting 50 million households and lower the requirements for how much money Banks need to keep on reserve freeing up $140 billion"
China's Monetary Policy
Pending
China is allocating $28 billion for local government projects and reducing down payments for second homes to 15% from 25%, signaling a shift in policy towards encouraging real estate investment.
"it also set aside $28 billion for local government investment projects this also includes lowering down payments for buying second homes often purchased in China as Investments which would be cut to 15% of the apartment's value from 25%"
China's Real Estate Market
Pending
Beijing is planning to issue $284 billion in sovereign bonds to address local government debt and enhance the social safety net.
"Beijing plans to release $284 billion in Sovereign bonds later this year to provide funding to pay down local government debt and boost China's social safety net"
China's Debt
Pending
There are calls from Chinese government officials for a significantly larger stimulus package, potentially reaching $1.4 trillion, to avert an economic collapse.
"government officials are pushing for a much bigger stimulus package potentially as high as $1.4 trillion otherwise the economy may fall off a cliff"
China's Stimulus Package
Pending
China's stock market has seen a more than 20% increase in value over the past month.
"the stock market having increased over 20% in the last month"
China's Stock Market
Pending
A significant part of China's recent stock market rally is attributed to future stimulus expectations rather than the impact of current policies.
"but it's important to acknowledge that a large portion of this rally is due to the optimism that China will enact even more stimulus in the future rather than from existing policies already in place"
China's Stimulus Sustainability
Pending
Reducing bank reserve requirements, allowing for more lending, is viewed as potentially risky due to the possibility of liquidity crises, and there are expectations of further cuts that could double available lending funds.
"reducing bank reserve requirements Now Banks don't have to keep as much cash on hand allowing them to lend even more but is this a good idea if they face a liquidity crisis and customers all come demanding their money at the same time perhaps this is a lot riskier than it seems initially it's also said that in the coming months the central bank was ready to make another Reserve cut potentially doubling the extra money available for Lending"
China's Monetary Policy
Pending
The approach of printing money to stimulate China's economy is seen as a temporary measure that merely postpones a larger problem, requiring the cycle to repeat.
"to me this is really no different than the economy slowing down printing more money to get the economy going again and then kicking the can a little bit further down the road until eventually they're going to have to start the process over again"
China's Economy
Pending
China has the potential to continue printing money indefinitely, and as long as investors are attracted by short-term profits, this situation could persist for an extended period.
"nothing that says they can't just print more money indefinitely and as long as investors keep buying in for a quick profit this could last for a very very long time"
China's Economy
Pending