The Trump Economy - My Insane Stock Market Prediction For 2025
Published: 2024-11-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-11-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Historically, Republican presidents have slightly higher average stock market returns (10.2%) compared to Democratic presidents (9.3%) since 1957.
"Republican presidents have garnered an average 10.2% return versus Democrats 99.3%."
Pending
The highest stock market returns historically occur under a divided Congress, where one party controls the House and the other controls the Senate.
"the highest overall stock market returns believe it or not come from a divided Congress where one party controls the house and the other controls the senate."
Pending
A Republican president with a divided Congress has historically yielded the highest stock market returns (13.7%), with Democratic presidents with a divided Congress close behind (13.6%).
"A Republican president with a divided Congress sees the highest returns of 13.7% while a Democrat president isn't too far behind at 13.6%."
Pending
A fully Republican Congress historically provides the second-highest stock market returns (13% and 12.9%), regardless of the president's party.
"a fully Republican Congress like we're soon going to have yields the second highest returns at 13% and 12.9% regardless of who's President"
Pending
The lowest stock market returns (4.9%) historically occur when there is a Republican president and a Democratic Congress.
"the lowest Returns come from a Republican president and democrat congress at just 4.9%"
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The best investment outcome historically has been to remain invested consistently, even before an election.
"the best result is to Simply stay invested even before the election takes place"
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Companies that donate to politicians on both sides of the aisle or to those with shared values, regardless of party affiliation, tend to outperform companies that predominantly donate to only one side.
"companies who support both sides or donate to Congress people who share similar values regardless of their affiliation outperform the companies who predominantly donate to one and not the other"
Pending
During the Trump presidency, clean energy stocks outperformed traditional energy stocks by 43% annually.
"during the Trump presidency clean energy outperformed traditional energy by 43% a year"
Pending
During the Biden presidency, traditional energy stocks outperformed clean energy stocks by 53% annually.
"during his presidency traditional energy outperformed clean energy by 53% a year"
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Under a potential Trump presidency, there is a proposal to lower the corporate income tax rate from 21% to 20%, and further to 15% for companies manufacturing in the U.S.
"Trump has recently proposed lowering the corporate income tax rate from 21% to 20% and lower that number even further to 15% for companies that manufacture their products in the United States"
Pending
Proposed tariffs under a Trump presidency include 10-20% on general imports and a 60% tariff on imports from China.
"tariffs have been proposed of 10 to 20% and 60% tariffs on us imports from China"
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Potential new policies include reinstating itemized deductions, a $5,000 universal child tax credit, and exempting Social Security benefits from taxation.
"new policies could reinstate itemized deductions by expanding the tax cuts and jobs act again good for businesses allow a $5,000 Universal child tax credit and exempt benefits like Social Security from from taxation"
Pending
Many proposed policies are expected to primarily benefit business owners through larger tax deductions and lower tax brackets.
"most of these proposals very much benefit business owners who are able to take larger tax deductions in a lower tax bracket"
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Historically, a Republican presidency combined with a Republican Congress has led to some of the highest stock market returns.
"historically a republican presidency with a republican Congress has produced some of the highest returns in history"
Pending