ilmscore | BREAKING: Trump Just Ordered MASSIVE Rate Cuts In 2025 – Huge Pivot Ahead!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 2
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
President has inquired about and expressed intent to potentially fire the Federal Reserve Chair.
"The president asked lawmakers how they felt about firing the Fed chair. They expressed approval for firing him. the president indicated he likely will soon."
Federal Reserve Chair Firing
Incorrect
A reduction in interest rates could save the U.S. government approximately $1 trillion annually.
"Trump says that a rate cut would save the government almost a trillion dollars a year."
Interest Rate Cuts and Government Savings
Pending
Investor demand for higher returns on U.S. treasuries will increase if the Federal Reserve loses its perceived independence and becomes politicized.
"If the Federal Reserve is seen as becoming politicized, investors would demand a higher risk premium on US treasuries."
Impact of Politicized Federal Reserve
Pending
A loss of Federal Reserve independence is predicted to cause Treasury rates to rise sharply and trigger a significant stock market downturn due to increased uncertainty.
"it would cause Treasury rates to spike back up and the stock market would see an unprecedented sell-off due to all the uncertainty."
Market Sell-off due to Fed Independence Loss
Incorrect
Speaker estimates a less than 1% chance of Jerome Powell being fired, a 19% chance of Powell complying with pressure to lower interest rates, and an 80% chance of the status quo remaining.
"I'd put the chance of him actually firing Jerome Powell at less than 1%... Then from there, I'd give it maybe a 19% chance of him pressuring Jerome Powell enough so that he eventually complies and lowers interest rates... And then I'd give it about an 80% chance that nothing really happens out of the ordinary."
Jerome Powell Resignation Probability
Incorrect
Jerome Powell's current term as Federal Reserve Chair is set to conclude in May 2026.
"drone Powell's current term is only scheduled to run through May of 2026."
Jerome Powell's Term Expiration
Pending