ilmscore | The Great Reset | A Message To Investors

The Great Reset | A Message To Investors

Predictions from this Video

Total: 25
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 25
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Inflation is a byproduct of stimulus programs designed to keep the economy running, as opposed to a deliberate policy objective.
"i do want to address comments that say how did you think these companies were going to pay for those wage increases and i can follow that logic and that's partially true but that's not the whole truth and here's why no one wants inflation in this country that's not up for debate there's not a single politician in office who's sitting there like ooh i'm gonna plot to increase inflation and spice up the economy inflation is just a byproduct of the stimulus programs we've created to keep the economy running because if we let the free market do its thing that could potentially crash the economy which some people argue is far worse"
Inflation
Pending
Allowing the free market to operate without stimulus programs could potentially lead to an economic crash.
"inflation is just a byproduct of the stimulus programs we've created to keep the economy running because if we let the free market do its thing that could potentially crash the economy which some people argue is far worse"
US Economy
Pending
A tight labor market leads to higher wages, increasing company costs which are then passed on to consumers through higher prices.
"basically means that people now are getting paid more than they ever have before in fact if you look at your own income right now you're probably making more money today than you were before the pandemic started what this means is that companies are forced to pay their employees more which means their costs increase which means they have to pass on their costs by increasing the prices of goods and services to their consumers"
Wages
Pending
Approximately $13 trillion has been created since March 2020, comprising stimulus, quantitative easing, and infrastructure spending.
"since the beginning of the pandemic which is march of 2020 we have created something like 13 trillion dollars that's 5.2 for the roni rona four and a half for quantitative easing which is the money printer gopro and another three for infrastructure that is roughly 13 trillion dollars"
Monetary Supply
Pending
The cost of World War II, in today's standards, was $4.7 trillion, significantly less than the money created since March 2020.
"world war ii cost us only 4.7 trillion dollars by today's standards"
US Economy
Pending
Low interest rates encourage borrowing, inflating the monetary supply and leading to increased competition for goods, thus driving up prices.
"and interest rates are still relatively low which means we're encouraged to borrow more money so we can try to grow faster than inflation but that also means we're inflating the monetary supply which means we are left competing with each other over the same stuff that's left so of course prices are gonna have to go up"
Inflation
Pending
Despite a 0.3% increase in average hourly earnings from October to November, real wage growth was negative 0.4% due to a 0.8% inflation increase.
"the labor department reported that from october to november this year the average hourly earnings increased by 0.3 which is awesome until you realize it's not awesome because inflation increased 0.8 so even though wages have gone up the real growth is negative 0.4"
Wages
Pending
The speaker questions whether inflation will persist into 2022.
"will this continue into 2022"
Inflation
Pending
President Biden believes inflation is peaking and aims to reduce costs through the $1.75 trillion Build Back Better plan over 10 years.
"president joe biden thinks that we're going through the worst of inflation right now and it's only going to get better from here and his plan to bring the cost down is his build back better plan which proposes to spend 1.75 trillion dollars over the next 10 years to bring those costs down"
US Government Spending
Pending
Democrats estimate the Build Back Better bill will add approximately $231 billion to the budget deficit.
"the democrats they say that this bill will cost roughly 231 billion dollars in budget deficit"
US Government Spending
Pending
Alternative sources suggest the Build Back Better bill could add up to $3 trillion to the budget deficit if its programs are made permanent, potentially exacerbating inflation.
"if you get your information from other sources like fox news they're more pessimistic and they say that this is just asking for inflation because the true cost of this bill would be closer to three trillion dollars in budget deficit if these programs are made permanent"
US Government Spending
Pending
If the Build Back Better bill passes, inflation is expected to rise in the short term due to increased spending, but it should provide long-term benefits.
"if this bill passes and becomes law the truth is inflation will probably go higher in the short term it just has to because we're spending more money and that's how people are going to perceive it but in the long term it should help us out"
Inflation
Pending
The agenda is designed to boost long-term economic capacity, improve American participation in the economy, and reduce inflationary pressures over the long term.
"this agenda invests in long-term economic capacity and will enhance the ability of more americans to participate productively in the economy it will ease long-term inflationary pressures"
Economic Policy
Pending
Jerome Powell, as head of the Federal Reserve, faces the most difficult decision regarding the current economic situation.
"jerome powell is stuck in the middle of all of it and out of everyone in the economy right now he's faced with the hardest decision of all"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
Jerome Powell's task is to reduce prices without negatively impacting economic growth across various sectors like stocks, real estate, crypto, and consumer prices.
"his job right now is to figure out how to lower the price of stuff without hurting the growth that we've had and we've had a lot of it right especially in the stock market in real estate and in crypto but we've had it in consumer prices too"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
Inflation may be a necessary evil for continued economic growth, with the cost ultimately borne by individuals, especially those not invested in the markets.
"inflation is somewhat of a necessary evil if we want to continue growing because someone has to eventually pay the price whether that's now or further down the line that someone is going to have to be us right especially for the people that are not invested in the markets they're going to pay the ultimate price"
Inflation
Pending
Increasing interest rates can cool corporate debt by making it more expensive for companies to borrow money, which they've been doing to finance growth, and this borrowing has contributed to inflation.
"he can increase interest rates to cool down what's called the corporate debt because interest rates have been so low companies have been encouraged to borrow cheap money so they can finance their growth but this could contribute to inflation"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
The Federal Reserve's initial strategy to combat inflation involves reducing asset purchases, specifically Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities.
"his first line of defense which is what he's doing literally right now is to decrease asset purchases like the treasury bonds and the mortgage-backed securities that's his first line of attack against inflation"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
If reducing asset purchases fails to curb inflation, the Federal Reserve will be compelled to increase interest rates.
"if that still doesn't help inflation and it still continues to go up then he'll be forced to increase those rates"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
Companies that have borrowed money face a risk of bankruptcy if interest rates rise, forcing them to pay more for existing loans.
"companies that have borrowed money could be pushed to the brink of bankruptcy because they might be forced to pay the same loan but now they're paying more money for it"
US Economy
Pending
Jerome Powell must carefully manage interest rate increases to avoid overheating or crashing the economy.
"it's almost like he has to bring the economy down to a perfect sizzle and if he turns that knob too fast and too high it could set the whole thing on fire"
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
Making borrowing too expensive or difficult could lead to a credit/liquidity crunch, causing deflationary pressure, which is considered negative for the economy.
"if it's too expensive to borrow money or if the requirements to borrow it are so much higher it could potentially create a credit or liquidity crunch which would put a huge deflationary pressure on the economy and deflationary means it means bad"
US Economy
Pending
The speaker will continue dollar-cost averaging into the market due to uncertainty about the next year's economic events.
"i'm going to continue the dollar cost average into the market because i have no idea what's going to happen next year"
Investment Strategy
Pending
Potential scenarios for the next year include persistent high inflation due to supply chain issues, or an economic downturn caused by an overcorrection of interest rates by Jerome Powell, followed by a reversal.
"we could find out that inflation is still high because supply chains have still not cleared up or maybe we could find out that jerome powell over corrected interest rates which tanked the economy and then he's like jk and he lowers them again and then we go back up again it's like a roller coaster ride and no one has any idea where it's going"
US Economy
Pending
If hyperinflation were predicted for the next year, the speaker would borrow money to invest in hard assets.
"if i knew the answer to that question and if i knew that hyperinflation was going to be a thing next year i would go out right now and borrow millions of dollars and buy up hard assets"
Real Estate Investment
Pending