ilmscore | What Happens Next | SUPERBUBBLE

What Happens Next | SUPERBUBBLE

Published: 2022-01-24
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The market is predicted to continue falling until the end of March, coinciding with the first expected rate increase, and will continue to decline as long as the frequency and magnitude of future rate hikes remain unclear.
"i predict the market will probably continue to fall at least until the end of march when we're expected to have that first rate increase and it'll continue to fall at least as long as we don't understand how often and how much those rates will increase"
Stock Market
Pending
The general expectation is that tech stocks will underperform, while value stocks and small-cap companies are anticipated to experience a comeback.
"and then the general expectation is that tech stocks won't do as well and instead it's the value stocks and the small cap companies that will have a comeback"
Tech Stocks
Pending
The current rate increases of 1-2% are significantly lower than the 20% rate hikes needed in the 1970s to combat 11% inflation, suggesting a potential disconnect in policy response to current 7% inflation.
"because in the 1970s when inflation hit 11 paul volcker who was the federal reserve chairman at the time had to raise the rates to 20 just to cancel it out we don't have 11 inflation we have seven percent and we're raising rates by one to two percent"
US Interest Rates
Pending
The market is expected to stabilize once the frequency and magnitude of future interest rate increases become clear.
"it'll continue to fall at least as long as we don't understand how often and how much those rates will increase but once we do then it'll stabilize"
US Interest Rates
Pending
The market is predicted to decline until the end of March, coinciding with the first expected interest rate increase.
"so i predict the market will probably continue to fall at least until the end of march when we're expected to have that first rate increase"
US Interest Rates
Pending
A low capital velocity of 1.1 indicates that investors are worried and uncertain about the future economic outlook.
"this means investors are starting to get worried and they don't know how this movie ends"
Capital Velocity
Pending
Netflix's forecast of 2.5 million new subscribers for the quarter is less than half of the 5.9 million predicted by analysts, suggesting a slowdown in growth.
"they forecast 2.5 million new subscribers to be added to their platform now analysts predicted 5.9 million in the first quarter that's less than half of what the professionals expected"
Netflix Subscriber Growth
Pending
A potential trigger for market downturn could be widespread student loan defaults after the end of interest-free forbearance on May 1st.
"and the failure of a major lender or when people stop paying back their student loans because after may 1st interest-free forbearance ends"
Student Loans
Pending