How The Super Bowl Predicts The Stock Market
Published: 2022-02-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2022-02-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
NFC Super Bowl wins have historically correlated with an average S&P 500 return of 10.8%, with the market being up nearly 80% of the time.
"between 1967 and 2021 whenever a team from the national football conference that's the nfc has won the super bowl the stock market which is this stock right here the s p 500 has averaged a 10.8 percent return and whenever they won the stock market was up almost 80 percent of the time"
Pending
AFC Super Bowl wins have historically correlated with an average S&P 500 return of 7.1%, with the market being up 65.4% of the time.
"whenever the other side has won a team from the afc the stock market was up an average of only 7.1 percent in comparison and the stock market was up only 65.4 percent of the time"
Pending
Between 1995-2021, AFC Super Bowl wins averaged a 12.7% stock market return, while NFC wins averaged 17.2%.
"between 1995 and 2021 because whenever an afc team won the super bowl the stock market returned an average of 12.7 percent but whenever a team from the nfc won the super bowl the stock market averaged about 17.2 percent"
Pending
The January Barometer is more reliable at predicting a bull market than a bear market.
"the january barometer effect has been much more reliable in predicting a bull market than it has a bear market"
Pending
In 2017, despite January returns of only 2%, the stock market ended the year up 19%.
"The january barometer effect has been much more reliable in predicting a bull market than it has a bear market in 2017 for example in january the stock market was up only two percent but the stock market ended the year up 19"
Pending
In 2019, the stock market was up 8% in January and finished the year up 28%.
"and then in 2019 january was up 8 but the year ended up 28"
Pending
Since 1945, January has been a reliable predictor of the stock market 75% of the time.
"january has been a reliable predictor of the stock market 75 of the time since 1945"
Pending
Since 1950, when January ended in the red, the stock market has still gone up 14 out of 28 times.
"going back as far as 1950 whenever january ended the month in red the stock market still went up 14 out of 28 times"
Pending
The 'sell in May and go away' strategy involves buying on November 1st and selling on May 1st, repeating this cycle.
"buy on november 1st and then sell on may 1st then buy back in on november 1st sell everything on may 1st you have to rinse and repeat"
Pending
Applying the best six-month strategy consistently from 1980 to present would have turned $100,000 into $5.7 million.
"if you had a hundred thousand dollars and you were doing this best six month strategy for 42 years in a row since 1980 you were doing this perfectly today that one hundred thousand dollars would be worth 5.7 million dollars"
Pending
A buy-and-hold strategy with the same $100,000 invested since 1980 would have resulted in $12.4 million.
"if you had that same 100 000 invested since 1980 and you did nothing but just hold it through to the end today that same 100 000 would be worth 12.4 million dollars"
Pending
For the MSCI total return index over the last 42 years, the best six-month strategy would have turned $100,000 into $7 million, significantly more than a buy-and-hold strategy ($3.8 million).
"if you invested your money in this stock the msci total return index with 100 000 over the last 42 years a buy and hold strategy would have left you with 3.8 million dollars now that's not bad but using the best six month strategy would have made you much more money because today that one hundred thousand dollars would be worth seven million dollars"
Pending
The stock market has historically performed well during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January (Santa Claus Rally).
"the last five trading days of december and the first two trading days of january have been a really good week for the stock market"
Pending
Historically, 34 out of the last 45 'Santa Claus Rally' periods have resulted in a positive stock market return, averaging 1.4%.
"34 of the last 45 holidays have yielded a positive stock market with an average rate of return of about 1.4 percent"
Pending
Over the past 92 years, the stock market has been positive 77% of the time during the Santa Claus Rally period, with an average return of 2.6%.
"over the last 92 years the stock market averaged 77 of the time in the green with an average rate of return of about 2.6 percent"
Pending