Published: 2022-06-22
Status:
Available
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Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
80% chance of a recession starting by July 28th (predicted in the transcript). A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
"the odds of a hard landing now stands at 80 percent and that's defined by at least two quarters having back-to-back negative gdp growth so at 8 30 a.m on july 28th they're predicting that we will have negative gdp growth which is when we will officially be in a recession"
Pending
US GDP predicted to be -0.6% for 2022.
"they also predict that we will finish this year 2022 with a negative 0.6 gdp and that's in comparison to their last estimate which is a positive growth of 0.9 percent"
Pending
US GDP predicted to be -0.5% for 2023.
"and unfortunately next year for 2023 things are not looking much better because their prediction says that next year will probably finish with a negative 0.5 gdp"
Pending
Bitcoin's price will become more stable once the wash sale trading rule loophole is closed.
"number one bitcoin has no wash sale trading rule which means people can just sell their bitcoin and buy it back again and that's not the case with stocks so once that loophole gets closed bitcoin's price will become more stable"
Pending
Bitcoin's price will become more stable once unregulated exchanges with high leverage are regulated.
"number two there are over 520 unregulated exchanges that offer 20x leverage and that means bitcoin's price is extremely sensitive to any movements so once those exchanges become regulated and the leverage comes down the more stable bitcoin's price will be"
Pending
Bitcoin's price will stabilize once there is clarification on whether the 19,000 interconnected crypto coins are securities.
"number three there are over 19 000 crypto coins out there that are interconnected and cross-collateralized with bitcoin and not all those projects played by the rules so when some of the big ones especially collapse it affects bitcoin's price so once we get more clarification on what these are and if they're securities or not hopefully that will stabilize bitcoin's price"
Pending
Bitcoin's price will become more stable as DeFi and CeFi exchanges mature and become better regulated.
"number four the defies of the world the decentralized finance exchanges and some of the c5s that act as big banks can sometimes become unstable especially when they freeze withdrawals which affects bitcoin's price so as they become bigger and more mature and are regulated better bitcoin's price will become more stable"
Pending
The introduction of a government-backed stablecoin (Fedcoin) will bring maturity to the stablecoin market.
"number five there's no real stablecoin yes we have usdc and tether and tara luna but those are not real stable coins in the sense that it does not give the market confidence grandpa grandma don't want to put their money in stable coins because they don't know if it's going to lose 90 of its value overnight or not so that's coming though with fedcoin right the government's stablecoin which will actually be super helpful in giving maturity to the space"
Pending
The crypto space will gain access to significant capital from IRAs once a Bitcoin spot ETF is available.
"number six bitcoin does not have a spot etf which means grandpa grandma's ira money which is trillions and trillions of dollars is something the crypto space does not have access to unlike traditional assets do"
Pending
Crypto-oriented businesses will become more stable and gain user trust once insurance protection similar to FDIC is available.
"number seven crypto does not have any insurance protection like banks do with the fdic and dollars because if you were to bank with a bank that collapsed you would be protected up to hundred thousand dollars in cash and stocks if that was to disappear you'd get your money back but that is not the case with crypto oriented businesses yet"
Pending
Clarification from the SEC and CFTC on what constitutes a security is needed for the crypto market.
"number nine we still need more clarification from the sec and cftc with regards to what securities are"
Pending
Bitcoin is becoming more ESG compliant and energy efficient, reducing criticism of its energy consumption.
"number 10 bitcoin is still not esg compliant but with each passing year bitcoin becomes greener and more energy efficient which becomes harder to criticize for being wasteful"
Pending
The identified problems in the crypto space will take years to resolve, suggesting a long-term strategy of dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin is advisable, especially when it trades near its 4-year moving average of $21,685.
"but these problems are not going to work themselves out in the next few weeks or few months this is gonna take a while that's why it's more important than ever that i dollar cost average into bitcoin because the four year moving average on bitcoin is 21 685"
Pending