The speaker predicts that the BEA will release their advance estimate for Q2 on July 28th at 8:30 AM, which will determine if the US is in a recession, with the likely outcome being yes.
"on july 28th at 8:30 a.m the bureau of economic analysis will finally release their advance estimate for the second quarter and that's when we'll finally know whether we're in a recession or not but most likely probably yes"