ilmscore | How I'm Preparing For The 2023 - DEPRESSION

How I'm Preparing For The 2023 - DEPRESSION

Published: 2022-09-16
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 12
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 12
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
There is a 76% probability that the federal fund rate will be between 3.00% and 3.25% by September 21st.
"76 chance that the federal fund rate will fall between three and three point two five percent come September 21st"
Federal Fund Rate
Pending
There is a 24% probability that the federal fund rate will increase to between 3.25% and 3.5%.
"24 which is that the odds the FED will increase between 3.25 and 3.5 percent"
Federal Fund Rate
Pending
There is a 100% certainty that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates by at least 0.5%.
"there's a 100 chance that the FED will increase the rates by at least half a percent"
Federal Fund Rate
Pending
There is a potential for the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 0.75%, which the market favors.
"there's also the potential to increase by 0.75 which is what the market wants to see"
Federal Fund Rate
Pending
There is a small possibility of a 1% (100 basis point) increase in the federal fund rate, which would be unprecedented.
"there's also the small potential for a 100 basis point increase or one whole percent which has never been done before in the history of the fed"
Federal Fund Rate
Pending
Larry Summers advocates for the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 1% immediately to address inflation.
"Larry Summers who used to be the treasury secretary want to see the FED increase rates by one whole percent and rip the Band-Aid off now rather than wait until inflation gets worse later"
Interest Rates
Pending
The stock market is predicted to increase on the day of a rate hike, despite being counter-intuitive.
"on the day of the increase most likely the market would go up which is weird and counter-intuitive"
Stock Market
Pending
Higher interest rates will make homes less affordable in the short term and cause their values to decrease in the long term.
"when interest rates go higher obviously homes become more unaffordable in the short term but in the long term their values go down"
Real Estate Market
Pending
The estimated final federal fund rate at the end of the current rate hike cycle is between 4.25% and 4.5%.
"the final interest rate at the end of this crazy raid hike cycle is estimated to be anywhere between 4.25 and 4.5 percent"
Interest Rates
Pending
If the federal fund rate reaches 4.5%, 30-year mortgage rates could exceed 8%.
"when the federal fund rate reaches 4.5 percent that interest rates on a 30-year mortgage could go up over eight percent"
Mortgage Rates
Pending
NFTs, Ethereum, and Bitcoin are predicted to perform poorly due to rising interest rates.
"when it comes to risk assets like nfts ethereum and Bitcoin coin we could forget about those because those are going to perform even worse"
Risk Assets (NFTs, Ethereum, Bitcoin)
Pending
If the Chinese economy collapses, the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates, indicating a delicate balance between economic reality and market expectations.
"if it does the FED would not raise rates on us because it wouldn't make sense to which is why right now there's a delicate ballet between reality and expectation"
Chinese Economy
Pending