It Started: The Lost Decade | Bonds Just Crashed
Published: 2022-09-26
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2022-09-26
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The stock market is predicted to remain stagnant until the Federal Reserve ceases its interest rate hikes.
"Now the current working Theory among investors is that the stock market can't and will not go up until the FED stops raising those rates"
Pending
The Federal Reserve aims to increase the federal funds rate from the current 3.25% to between 4.5% and potentially 5%.
"Now the current federal funds rate is at 3.25 percent and the FED wants to get this number to 4.5 percent and maybe as high as 5"
Pending
Historically, holding stocks for any 20-year consecutive period has always resulted in a gain, never a loss.
"there is a study that took a 20-year consecutive rolling period And if you applied this 20 years to any point in the stock market's history there has never been a point where you have had less money at the end of that 20 years if you held your stocks for the duration of all of those 20 years"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is anticipated to begin selling its significant bond portfolio in the near future.
"another reason is because the FED aka the central bank is expected to start selling off their bond portfolio very very soon and they have a massive Bond portfolio"
Pending
Bond prices are expected to continue declining.
"future bond prices will continue to go down"
Pending
The stock market is predicted to not recover until the Federal Reserve stops increasing interest rates.
"now the current working Theory among investors is that the stock market can't and will not go up until the FED stops raising those rates"
Pending
The Federal Reserve aims to raise the federal funds rate from 3.25% to 4.5%, potentially as high as 5%.
"the current federal funds rate is at 3.25 percent and the FED wants to get this number to 4.5 percent and maybe as high as 5"
Pending
The Federal Reserve aims to raise the federal funds rate from its current 3.25% to potentially 4.5% or even 5%.
"now the current federal funds rate is at 3.25 percent and the FED wants to get this number to 4.5 percent and maybe as high as 5"
Pending
There is a 72.9% probability that interest rates will increase by another 0.5% to 0.75% by November 2nd.
"on November 2nd it shows a 72.9 chance that rates will go up again between 0.5 and 0.75 percent"
Pending
A $98.25 investment in a two-year treasury bond will yield $8.24 in interest over its term.
"for every 98 dollars and 25 cents you invest at the end of that two-year period because it's a two-year treasury bond you will make exactly eight dollars and 24 cents"
Pending
The global bond market experienced a loss of $1.2 trillion in one week.
"the global Bond Market has already lost 1.2 trillion dollars and that's only been in one week"
Pending
There is a 72.9% probability of another interest rate hike between 0.5% and 0.75% by November 2nd.
"now on November 2nd it shows a 72.9 chance that rates will go up again between 0.5 and 0.75 percent"
Pending
Global bond market losses for the year have exceeded $12.2 trillion.
"so far the year-to-date losses globally in the bond market are over 12.2 trillion dollars"
Pending
A 20-year consecutive holding period in the stock market has historically never resulted in a loss of initial investment.
"there is a study that took a 20-year consecutive rolling period And if you applied this 20 years to any point in the stock market's history there has never been a point where you have had less money at the end of that 20 years if you held your stocks for the duration of all of those 20 years"
Pending
A specific bond ETF (BND) is down 15% year-to-date.
"so far the year-to-date bond is actually down 15"
Pending
A traditional investment strategy suggests allocating a percentage of a portfolio to bonds equal to one's age, e.g., 30% for a 30-year-old.
"the general rule of thumb is to substitute your age with the percent exposure to bonds so for example if you're 30 years old you should have at least 30 percent of your portfolio in bonds"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is anticipated to begin selling its bond portfolio in the near future.
"the FED aka the central bank is expected to start selling off their bond portfolio very very soon"
Pending
A more modern investment advice, the 1550 rule, suggests having at least 50% of net worth in stocks if anticipating living for another 15 years.
"the 1550 rule which is that if you think you're going to live for another 15 years to have at least 50 percent of your net worth in stocks"
Pending
The speaker predicts long-term growth for the stock market and intends to continue dollar-cost averaging.
"in the long long term I know it'll be more valuable that's why I'm going to continue to stay the course and dollar cost average as usual"
Pending
A 20-year holding period in the stock market has historically never resulted in a loss of capital.
"there is a study that took a 20-year consecutive rolling period And if you applied this 20 years to any point in the stock market's history there has never been a point where you have had less money at the end of that 20 years if you held your stocks for the duration of all of those 20 years"
Pending
There is a 72.9% probability of another interest rate hike of 0.5% to 0.75% by November 2nd.
"on November 2nd it shows a 72.9 chance that rates will go up again between 0.5 and 0.75 percent"
Pending