Forex trading - 417 PIPs in one trading DAY! on a Monday!
Published: 2016-01-12
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2016-01-12
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Describes the specific criteria for a 'bat pattern' in Forex trading, distinguishing it from a 'Gartly pattern' based on retracement levels (specifically, not touching the 618 and having a 382, with completion at 8.86).
"This bat pattern would look like this. X to A, A to B, did not touch the 618. If it would have, we would have assumed this was going to be a Gartly pattern, we would have looked for another 618 retracement back down. But instead, since we did not clip the 618, we only have to have a 382. And back up here at 8.86 is the completion of our bat pattern."
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The speaker utilizes a '786 strategy' for trend continuation in Forex trading, aiming for good risk-to-reward ratios. The speaker implies this strategy involves specific Fibonacci levels (786) and understanding underlying trends.
"This trade was a 786 strategy trade, which is also a strategy that I came up with. Well, I don't like saying that I came up with it. I'm sure other people have used the same strategy that understand trend continuation and just not uploaded YouTube videos about it, but it's a strategy I use during trend continuation to capitalize on very good risk-to-reward and being with the underlying trend."
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Defines the specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels (618, 61.8%, 127%) that constitute a 'Gartly pattern' in Forex trading, differentiating it from other patterns by the specific retracement levels achieved.
"As you can see, starting from this X leg here, we go down our impulse leg up to a 618. Do not hit 786. So that tells us this is going to be a Gartly pattern. If a couple of more rules are met, we then come down more than 61.8%. And then back up to a 127 extension right in there."
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Outlines the Fibonacci retracement and extension levels (382, 127, 786) that define a 'cipher pattern' in Forex trading.
"This cipher pattern came from this leg down here. This is the impulse leg x to a 382 retracement up to a 127 extension and ending down here at the 786 retracement."
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Details the specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels (50%, 382, 8.86) that constitute a 'bat pattern' in Forex trading.
"This specific bat pattern came in from here. This leg here is the X. This is the impulse leg. X to A, A up to B, 50% retracement. B down to C at least at 382 and C to D at the 8.86."
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A Gartly pattern on the Euro Aussie pair resulted in 138 pips, contributing to a total of 241 pips for the day. The speaker plans to release a video explaining their Gartly pattern trading strategy soon.
"138 pips. So we were at 103. We are now at 241 pips for Monday. Also on this same chart, as I said before, there is a Gartly pattern. If you're not familiar with the Gartley pattern, then make sure to subscribe to my channel because I'm coming out with a video explaining how I trade the Gartly pattern within the next couple of days. I'll put a link to subscribe in the bottom lefthand corner of your screen. And let's bring in a Fibonacci retracement to find this Gartly here."
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A specific trade on the Euro Pound generated approximately 84-85 pips, bringing the total daily pip gain to 417.
"Around 84 or 85 pips. So if we add that to our 333, that equals 417 pips in a single day."
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A Gartly pattern trade on the Euro Aussie pair generated around 90 pips, bringing the total for Monday to 333 pips so far.
"So that puts us at 333 pips for Monday so far. with one more trade to look at on the Euro pound."
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A cipher pattern trade on the Dollar CAD pair yielded 35 pips, bringing the cumulative pip gain to 103.
"So that accounted for 35 more pips. So that's up to 103 so far."
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A cipher pattern trade on the Dollar Yen pair resulted in approximately 25 pips to the 382 target.
"Somewhere around 25 pips up to the 382."
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A cipher pattern was identified and traded on the Dollar Yen, with an expected target of approximately 25 pips up to the 382 Fibonacci level. A tutorial for the cipher pattern is available.
"And as I said before, there's another advanced pattern here on the chart. I'll give you a second to find it as well. And it's a cipher pattern. So, on the bottom left hand of your screen, there will be a link to the tutorial I did on the cipher pattern not too long ago. So, if that's something you're not familiar with, then head over there and check it out and get a little more familiar with the cipher pattern. This cipher pattern came from this leg down here. This is the impulse leg x to a 382 retracement up to a 127 extension and ending down here at the 786 retracement. Again, we'll bring the fibs in to see how close I was on the entry. just a tad high. And now we will bring in another Fibonacci to see about targets and to count the pips on this trade. Somewhere around 25 pips up to the 382."
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A bat pattern trade on the Dollar Yen yielded 42 pips to the target at the 382 Fibonacci level.
"From our entry down to the 382, which is where I take targets on my advanced patterns, is 42 pips."
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The speaker achieved a total of 417 pips in a single day of trading on the specified Monday.
"This Monday, I managed to bring in 417 pips in a single day."
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A long bias trade on Dollar CAD, with stops placed under a previous swing low, resulted in 35 pips to the 382 target, bringing the total to 103 pips. The trade was based on the expectation of continued upward trend.
"This is what I wanted my stops to get under just in case we pushed down a little further and tested this area. I had a long bias in this market because of the trend we've been in for a while now. Nothing but up. So I assumed that if I could get stops under this level here that we would probably see a continuation of that upward trend. Now we will measure for our targets at the 382. So that accounted for 35 more pips. So that's up to 103 so far."
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A specific trade (Gartly pattern) on the Euro Aussie yielded approximately 90 pips.
"It looks like that was around 90 pips."
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A '786 strategy' trade on the Euro Pound, involving a break and close above resistance, buying the 786 retracement, and targeting previous structure, resulted in approximately 84-85 pips.
"So, what we look for is a break and close above a previous resistance or support level. As you can see here, we get a break and close above this previous resistance level. And then all we do is go from the swing low down here to the swing high. And we would, in this case, with the market breaking above and going up, we would buy the 786 retracement, which is what we did. And we look for targets. Specifically me, I look for targets. You will have to test this yourself if you ever plan to trade it and figure out where the best place for targets is for you, but I look for targets back up at previous structure, which would be here. Normally, I would go with the bodies of these candles here, but I chose to go a little lower just to make sure I hit targets on this specific trade. Now with that there, let's check and see what our pip count was to targets. Around 84 or 85 pips."
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A specific trade on the Euro Aussie resulted in 138 pips.
"That accounted for 138 pips."
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Lack of strategy backtesting and confidence leads to blown accounts or giving up on trading, despite the significant time investment in backtesting.
"The reason there are so many people that give up and either blow an account because they didn't back test their strategy and did not have confidence in what they were doing or they completely give up on trading. The reason is because all those hours that you put in back testing, there's no promise that they will ever pay."
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Effective strategy use in trading requires extensive backtesting by reviewing historical charts (5-15 years, higher timeframes) to identify patterns, track trade outcomes (wins/losses, stops/targets), and understand average risk-to-reward.
"In order to use these strategies effectively, you must go back through the markets and stare at charts. You must go back five, 10, 15 years, sometimes on higher time frames and look for these kind of trades. Look for advanced patterns and any other kind of strategy that you plan to test. And you have to find these trades over and over to see how many won, how many lost, what was your stop, what was your target. So you can understand the risk-to-reward on every trade on average what you'll have."
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The speaker personally tests at least 200 trades for each strategy to gain sufficient confidence, finding that 100 trades is insufficient.
"For me, that's not enough just because I'm don't feel very confident only having a 100 trades to go by. So, when I've tested all of my strategies, I've always tested 200 trades."
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Extensive testing is crucial for developing an effective risk management plan in Forex trading.
"And the reason we have to do all this testing is because without it, you have no clue what your risk management should be."
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Comprehensive backtesting of trading strategies can involve hundreds of hours.
"So by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing."
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The journey of a successful Forex trader involves daily testing of strategies, with no guarantee of profitability for each strategy tested.
"Well, I'm going to tell you guys that's the life of a successful trader. That's the kind of thing you go through every day. You can test strategies that may or may not be profitable in the end."
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Even after 200-300 hours of backtesting a single currency pair and strategy (e.g., looking for butterfly patterns over 10 years), there's no guarantee of profitability.
"And the reason is because all those hours that you put in back testing, there's no promise that they will ever pay. You can go through the pound, dollar, or any other currency. Just using this as an example, you can go through any currency on a 1 hour to 4 hour, 15 minute, doesn't matter the time frame. Go through on the chart for maybe the 4 hour chart and you can look for as many butterflies as you can find within a period of 10 years on the 4 hour chart. And maybe you find somewhere near 300 trades. You test them. you you crunch numbers in a spreadsheet for all 300 of those trades using different stop- losses, different targets, trying to figure out which one would be most profitable. And at the end, you've got around 200 or 300 hours just on that one pair, one strategy."
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Backtesting should include testing for multiple targets and different stop-loss placements to understand average risk-to-reward.
"So you can understand the risk-to-reward on every trade on average what you'll have. You may want to test for multiple targets and multiple different ways to put in stops."
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While 100 trades is often cited as a benchmark for strategy assessment, the 'correct amount' of trades to test is subjective and varies.
"As long as you've tested the right the correct amount of trades, and no one can tell you what that is. there's a number that floats around that says you can get a pretty good idea of how a strategy will work off of 100 trades."
Pending
After backtesting, organizing trade data (stops, targets, wins/losses) in a spreadsheet enables the creation of a risk management plan.
"Once you have those trades set in a spreadsheet with your stop- losses, your profit targets, the amount of trades that won and lost, then you can start to set up a risk management plan."
Pending
The speaker plans to create a future video on risk management, requesting viewer interest via comments.
"And you'll be able to base a money management and a riskmanagement plan around that. Now, I plan to do a risk management video eventually. So, leave a comment down below if that's something you think you'd be interested in."
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Accurate risk management in Forex trading relies on thorough backtesting of all strategies. This involves testing a sufficient number of trades (speaker prefers 200), recording outcomes, and analyzing potential drawdowns and losing streaks to determine appropriate risk per trade, especially on a specific account size like $10,000.
"If you do all this testing and you test every strategy you plan to put in your trade plan, put it in a spreadsheet, as long as you've tested the right the correct amount of trades, and no one can tell you what that is. there's a number that floats around that says you can get a pretty good idea of how a strategy will work off of 100 trades. For me, that's not enough just because I'm don't feel very confident only having a 100 trades to go by. So, when I've tested all of my strategies, I've always tested 200 trades. And once you have those trades set in a spreadsheet with your stop- losses, your profit targets, the amount of trades that won and lost, then you can start to set up a risk management plan. Then you can see, okay, this strategy is going to come with a 20% draw down. This strategy is going to come with 10 losers in a row. Well, if I'm trading on a $10,000 account and I know it could have 10 losers in a row, I know for sure I don't want to be risking a very high amount of money per trade. You could not risk $1,000 per trade if you knew your strategy has produced 10 losers in a row at one time."
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Post-testing, traders can determine maximum losses, average drawdowns, and maximum drawdowns, which form the basis for money and risk management plans.
"So once you've tested it, you'll know the max number of losses. You'll know what your average draw down is, what your max draw down is, and you'll be able to base a money management and a riskmanagement plan around that."
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Post-testing and profitability confirmation, trading psychology and discipline are paramount. Traders must execute their tested strategy consistently, regardless of recent win/loss streaks or prevailing market trends.
"At this point, psychology comes in to play. At this point, it's up to you to have the discipline to place that trade on that specific strategy that you have just tested. Place it every single time. You just had 10 losers in a row, place the trade. You just had 10 winners in a row, place the trade. market's in a downtrend and your strategy shows that you're buying, place the trade."
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Inadequate backtesting and lack of confidence in strategy are primary reasons traders give up or blow up accounts.
"So by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing. And the reason there are so many people that give up and either blow an account because they didn't back test their strategy and did not have confidence in what they were doing or they completely give up on trading."
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Before detailing specific trades, the speaker emphasizes the critical importance of testing trading strategies in the market.
"And I will show you exactly how I came up with those 417 pips. But first, I want to explain how important it is for you guys to test any strategies that you want to use in the market."
Pending
The demanding life of a successful trader involves daily strategy testing, followed by developing confidence and discipline to execute profitable strategies with positive expectancy.
"Well, I'm going to tell you guys that's the life of a successful trader. That's the kind of thing you go through every day. You can test strategies that may or may not be profitable in the end. And that's not even the hard part. Once you're done doing that, at this point, you have to have the confidence and the discipline. Once you've tested to see that whatever you're testing is profitable and has a positive expectancy."
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The speaker's best trading day occurred on a specific Monday, achieving 417 pips in profit, which is the most since starting with a live account over a year prior.
"So, this Monday was the best day of trading that I've had since I started trading with a live account a little over a year ago. This Monday, I managed to bring in 417 pips in a single day."
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The speaker is releasing a video on a Tuesday due to an exceptional Monday trading performance (417 pips). The key to successful trading is a well-defined trade plan with mastered strategies and the discipline to execute them consistently.
"And I normally do not come out with videos on a Tuesday, but with the Monday that I had, I felt obligated to share it with you guys. And not to brag or to say how good of a trader I am, but only for educational purposes, only to show you that if you have a trade plan with only a few strategies in it and you master those strategies and have the discipline to execute those strategies every single time they happen in the market, then that will increase your chances of becoming a successful trader."
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Thorough strategy testing is essential for determining effective risk management and is a foundational component of a comprehensive trade plan.
"And the reason we have to do all this testing is because without it, you have no clue what your risk management should be. If you do all this testing and you test every strategy you plan to put in your trade plan, put it in a spreadsheet, as long as you've tested the right the correct amount of trades, and no one can tell you what that is."
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The significant time investment in backtesting is often overlooked, leading to traders abandoning their plans or failing due to lack of preparation and confidence.
"So, by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing. And the reason there are so many people that give up and either blow an account because they didn't back test their strategy and did not have confidence in what they were doing or they completely give up on trading."
Pending
Comprehensive backtesting, including testing multiple targets and stop placements, is necessary to understand risk-reward and can result in hundreds of hours of work.
"So you can understand the risk-to-reward on every trade on average what you'll have. You may want to test for multiple targets and multiple different ways to put in stops. So by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing."
Pending
After backtesting and confirming a strategy's profitability and positive expectancy, the subsequent challenge is developing the confidence and discipline to execute it.
"And that's not even the hard part. Once you're done doing that, at this point, you have to have the confidence and the discipline. Once you've tested to see that whatever you're testing is profitable and has a positive expectancy."
Pending
Successful trading hinges on rigorous strategy testing, involving extensive historical analysis to understand trade outcomes, risk-reward, and optimize targets and stops, a process that can demand hundreds of hours.
"And I will show you exactly how I came up with those 417 pips. But first, I want to explain how important it is for you guys to test any strategies that you want to use in the market. Because, see, this is where most people give up. In order to use these strategies effectively, you must go back through the markets and stare at charts. You must go back five, 10, 15 years, sometimes on higher time frames and look for these kind of trades. Look for advanced patterns and any other kind of strategy that you plan to test. And you have to find these trades over and over to see how many won, how many lost, what was your stop, what was your target. So you can understand the risk-to-reward on every trade on average what you'll have. You may want to test for multiple targets and multiple different ways to put in stops. So by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing."
Pending
To achieve significant gains like 417 pips, traders must first rigorously test their strategies by analyzing historical data over extended periods (5-15 years), identifying patterns, and meticulously recording trade outcomes (wins, losses, stops, targets) to understand risk-reward and optimize entry/exit points. This extensive backtesting can require hundreds of hours.
"And I will show you exactly how I came up with those 417 pips. But first, I want to explain how important it is for you guys to test any strategies that you want to use in the market. Because, see, this is where most people give up. In order to use these strategies effectively, you must go back through the markets and stare at charts. You must go back five, 10, 15 years, sometimes on higher time frames and look for these kind of trades. Look for advanced patterns and any other kind of strategy that you plan to test. And you have to find these trades over and over to see how many won, how many lost, what was your stop, what was your target. So you can understand the risk-to-reward on every trade on average what you'll have. You may want to test for multiple targets and multiple different ways to put in stops. So by the end of it, you will probably have hundreds of hours in back testing."
Pending
Subscribing to the channel will provide updates on new Forex trading videos covering essential elements like hard work, backtesting, risk management, and money management.
"So, go ahead and subscribe to my channel so that you get updates whenever I come out with any new videos about Forex trading. Now, with all that said about hard work, back testing, creating a risk management plan, creating a money management plan, and creating an entire trading plan."
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Before detailing the specific trades that led to 417 pips, the speaker emphasizes the critical importance of strategy testing, highlighting that this is a common failure point for many traders.
"And I will show you exactly how I came up with those 417 pips. But first, I want to explain how important it is for you guys to test any strategies that you want to use in the market. Because, see, this is where most people give up."
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The speaker had their best trading day since starting with a live account over a year ago, achieving 417 pips in profit on a single Monday.
"So, this Monday was the best day of trading that I've had since I started trading with a live account a little over a year ago. This Monday, I managed to bring in 417 pips in a single day."
Pending
The speaker aims to educate viewers by demonstrating that success in trading comes from having a trade plan with mastered strategies and the discipline to execute them consistently.
"And not to brag or to say how good of a trader I am, but only for educational purposes, only to show you that if you have a trade plan with only a few strategies in it and you master those strategies and have the discipline to execute those strategies every single time they happen in the market, then that will increase your chances of becoming a successful trader."
Pending