ilmscore | How to trade a breakout / before the breakout ( 200 pips on GBPJPY )

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
GBP/JPY approached a major resistance level between 148.5 and 147.19 and subsequently fell over 400 pips.
"this Market has now pushed up into this level of resistance major level level of resistance that was respected before between the 148.5 area and 1. 14719 area since the market has pushed into this area and then been pushed directly back down by well over 400 Pips"
GBP/JPY
Pending
GBP/JPY is expected to continue falling from a major structural level, with targets potentially reaching lower levels.
"that leads me to believe that that's a major level of structure and this Market may continue to fall for a while and with my expectations being that this Market makes it at least to here and possibly even down even further to here"
GBP/JPY
Pending
Following daily chart analysis, the speaker moved to a smaller timeframe (4-hour) to identify entry points for a predicted drop in GBP/JPY.
"so with daily structure coming together like that I decided to go ahead and drop down to a smaller time frame and look for an actual strategy and that's what I'm going to share with you guys today so let's go down to the 4our and take a look at the other aspects that led me to believe that the pound Yen was going to drop"
GBP/JPY
Pending
The 4-hour uptrend for GBP/JPY is seen as potentially exhausted, suggesting a possible trend reversal or a significant break.
"this Market's been in an uptrend for a while here on the 4our chart so that means the market is somewhat exhausted and ready to take a little break possibly even reverse trend for a little while here on the 4H hour chart"
GBP/JPY
Pending
The entry strategy for GBP/JPY involves waiting for three tests of a resistance level, followed by a close below candle signal.
"as for an entry reason I wait for three tests of the original resistance level and after the third test I trade a close below candle"
GBP/JPY
Pending
For GBP/JPY, a 'big move down' rule for a strategy could be defined as a move of at least 200 pips that breaks through a support level.
"I need a move down that's a certain number of Pips maybe you need a move that breaks structure so we talked about this earlier this this move did break through this support level so maybe part of your rules could be I need a move that breaks through a support level a support level with at least a 100 or 200 pip drop on these pairs with larger atrs like the pound Yen so maybe you need at least a 200 pip drop and the market to have just broke below a support level"
GBP/JPY
Pending
A trade entry for GBP/JPY before a breakout involves a 200 pip drop below 4-hour structure, formation of a flag pattern, and a close below candle after the third resistance test.
"so you're looking for a drop of at least 200 Pips below a previous level of 4-Hour structure and you're looking for the creation of a flag pattern based on the rules that we just discussed and then if you'd like to get involved before the breakout happens remember the entry was one test of resistance here two tests of resistance here and after that third test of resistance waiting for a break Below close below candle like we just discussed here"
GBP/JPY
Pending
Catching the GBP/JPY breakout at the point of breakout would have yielded only 51 pips, with a target of 213 pips, compared to a better entry before the breakout.
"here would be the trade setup if we had caught the breakout on the breakout as you can see we would have been nowhere close Hing to targets probably only like 40 or 50 Pips actually in the good yeah so 51 Pips to the good and we'd be looking for 213 Pips just to hit first targets"
GBP/JPY
Pending
By entering GBP/JPY before the breakout, the position achieved a 1.84 risk-reward ratio on the second part and could reach 3.68 risk-reward on the first target.
"and now let's consider this in this case we've already hit our first targets and we're currently sitting at a 1.84 risk reward on the second part of our position and let's say the market does make it down to our first Target from our actual breakout entry if that actually happens we'll be looking at a 3.68 risk reward on that position"
GBP/JPY
Pending