ilmscore | The Only Break and Retest Trading Strategy You Will Ever Need... (Beginner to Advanced in One Video)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 13
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 13
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A specific winning trade on Pound Canadian (GBPCAD) yielded approximately a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. A losing trade on Euro Pound (EURGBP) is also mentioned.
"so that's how the pound canada trade that i had this week played out also had a losing trade that i want to show you as well on the euro pound"
GBPCAD
Pending
A descending triangle pattern was identified on Euro Pound (EURGBP), and a conservative entry was taken based on selling pressure, but the trade resulted in a loss due to market movement not aligning with the analysis.
"so here we are on this trade and this was a perfect example of the descending triangle with lower support levels coming in at a similar level of resistance the breakout it was beautiful the market pulled back i got selling pressure just using the conservative entry here we get into my zone we put in a red candle that's selling pressure i jumped into the trade but unfortunately the market did not cooperate with my analysis and just stopped me out"
EURGBP
Pending
A trend continuation retest pattern was identified on Euro Yen (EURNZD), allowing for a more aggressive entry due to a significant breakout, followed by a pullback and strong buying pressure indicated by a green hammer candle.
"and for this trade what i was looking at is another trend continuation retest but i could enter this trade a little more aggressively because of the big breakout we got so we have our previous low here pushing up to a higher high pushing down to a higher low breaking our previous level of resistance after my valid break and since we do have candles continuing to trade above this previous level of resistance i can look for the regular conservative entry so when we get this pullback after the break the retracement breaking what break and retest we get buying pressure green candle a big hammer candle right after that green candle"
EURNZD
Pending
A highly aggressive trading entry strategy may result in approximately 50 trades per month with a 40% win rate.
"for this you may have let's say 50 trades per month but your win rate may only be like 40 percent"
Trading Strategy
Pending
A more conservative trading entry strategy, waiting for buying pressure or candlestick patterns, is expected to yield fewer trades but a higher win rate, potentially around 50%.
"waiting on this you will have less entries than using a limit order so you'll have less trades but your win rate will go up something close to fifty percent at least from the testing that i've done"
Trading Strategy
Pending
The most conservative trading entry strategy involves dropping to smaller timeframes after a pattern forms to look for specific patterns like double bottoms.
"the most conservative way to enter a trade like this would be to point out your zone right you have your rising triangle break and re-test pattern then wait for the market to get into that zone and drop down to smaller time frames to look for patterns like double bottoms on those smaller time frames"
Trading Strategy
Pending
The most conservative entry strategy is predicted to offer higher accuracy, potentially around a 60% win rate, but significantly fewer trades per month (5-10).
"this is going to give you wildly better accuracy probably closer to a 60 win rate but instead of having 50 trades a month or 20 trades a month here with the conservative entry the most conservative entry may only give you eight to ten trades a month or maybe only five to ten trades a month"
Trading Strategy
Pending
Waiting for a green candle (or candlestick pattern) for a conservative entry creates a defined swing low, allowing for a more favorable stop-loss placement and potentially better reward-to-risk ratios compared to a limit order entry.
"for the candlestick pattern or green candle in a buying situation the good thing about waiting for this more conservative entry is that the swing low is then formed when you have a limit order you might hit this with a red candle and not form a swing low therefore your stop loss needs to be below the previous swing low but when you wait for a green candle the swing low's already formed so then you can put a stop loss below that swing low and it gives you a better reward to risk opportunity"
Trading Strategy
Pending
The most conservative entry strategy involves using smaller timeframes to identify double or triple bottoms, with the stop-loss placed below the lowest low of that pattern.
"for the third most conservative entry whenever i drop down to a smaller time frame and find something like this triple bottom or a double bottom but in this case it ends up being a triple bottom then i just put a stop loss below that lowest low of the double or triple bottom"
Trading Strategy
Pending
A break and re-test strategy can be profitable over time if it consistently achieves a 50% accuracy rate with a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
"if we were talking about this strategy the break and re-test strategy they could have a strategy that's 50 percent accurate and gives them a 1.5 to 1 reward to risk ratio as long as that consistently plays out then they have a strategy that makes money over time"
Trading Strategy
Pending
It is likely that most traders are risking too much on each trade and have not yet mastered risk management.
"you need to be risking less on trades probably you may be someone who's already mastered risk management but the likely scenario is that you haven't and you're still consistently risking too much every time you place a trade"
Trading Strategy
Pending
Traders should choose an entry strategy (aggressive, conservative, or most conservative) that best aligns with their individual trading style.
"pick an entry that you think fits your trading style best whether that be the aggressive the conservative or the most conservative entries we talked about earlier most aggressive that's the wrong letter most conservative"
Trading Strategy
Pending
Backtesting a chosen break and re-test pattern strategy (entry, stop, target) over 100 historical instances on a specific currency pair and timeframe is necessary to determine if it provides a profitable edge, such as a 50% win rate with a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
"then go through market data historic data look for each time these patterns happened with that specific entry that you pick and with whatever stops and targets you choose to use and see how it performed in historic data out of the last 100 times it happened on a currency pair and on a specific time frame if that provided an edge over the market let's say yet again a 50 win rate with a 1.5 to 1 reward to risk ratio then you know you have a strategy that proven to make money over time"
Trading Strategy
Pending