Combining This Moving Average & Price Action Strategy Made Me A Profitable Trader...
Published: 2023-09-30
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2023-09-30
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
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Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker transitioned from breaking even to making consistent profits after implementing a specific trading strategy combining price action and a moving average.
"I went from a break even Trader to someone seeing consistent profits in his account"
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The speaker uses the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) as a key component in their trading setup.
"the moving average I use for this trading setup is probably one of the most widely used moving averages in trading which may be why it works so well as a level of support so simply put it is the 50 period exponential moving average"
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Combining the 50 EMA bounce with other trading conditions was the catalyst for the speaker to start making profits.
"when I decided to combine this with price must be bouncing off of the 50 EMA as well as an added condition that's when I initially started to make profits as a Trader"
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The conditions for the trading setup include a 'one two three move' and a pullback that touches the 50 EMA.
"for this specific trading setup the conditions are our one two three move and the pullback and this pullback also needs to be coming into the 50 period exponential moving average"
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The 50 EMA is considered support if candles have been above it and are currently touching it.
"as long as candles have been above the 50 period moving average and are still touching the moving average I count it as support"
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The 50 EMA is no longer considered support if a candle closes below it and does not touch it.
"if we have a candle that closes below the moving average and also does not touch the moving average at all at that point I no longer count the moving average as a support level"
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Entries are signaled by buying pressure, which can manifest as engulfing bars, hammer candlesticks, or candles with long lower wicks and large green bodies.
"the entry is buying pressure Buying pressure can come in many forms Candlestick patterns like a engulfing bar or a hammer Candlestick for bad trades a close above candle a candle just with a long Wick to the bottom and a really big green bar would be an example of buying pressure"
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The stop loss for this strategy is placed just below the entry candle.
"for me that's going to be just below our entry candle on this specific trade this is exactly where my stop loss was"
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The target for this trading strategy is typically the next level of resistance in an uptrend.
"for me that area is normally the next level of resistance price will hit in the uptrend"
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When a 1.4:1 reward-to-risk ratio is achieved, the stop loss is moved to break-even.
"once I hit about a 1.4 to 1 reward to risk ratio on these trades on this exact setup I do normally move my stop loss from where it is to break even"
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The most common trading issue reported by traders is a lack of discipline and an inability to stick to a single strategy.
"the most popular answer by far was they had a problem staying disciplined and sticking to one trading strategy"
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Professional traders can endure losses and losing streaks with a strategy, unlike 90% of other traders.
"professional Traders have the ability to continue trading a strategy through losses and through losing streaks whereas ninety percent of Traders cannot find a way to do that"
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Discipline in trading is determined by the balance between fear/uncertainty and confidence/belief.
"the two things are fear and uncertainty and confidence and belief These two things are what determine how disciplined you're going to be to your trading strategy"
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To improve trading discipline, traders should focus on increasing confidence and belief while reducing fear and uncertainty.
"the practical step to take is to try to increase belief and confidence and decrease fear and uncertainty"
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Backtesting trading strategies helps decrease uncertainty by providing past evidence of success through drawdowns, thereby increasing confidence and belief in the strategy.
"starting to back test my trading strategies so back testing is not sexy it's not something most people want to do but if you think about it it's something that can decrease uncertainty because you're seeing something work in the past through drawdowns and it's something that can increase your confidence and increase your belief in a specific strategy"
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Effective risk management, by reducing the amount risked per trade, can decrease fear and increase confidence and belief in a trading plan.
"risk management so whenever we're trying to decrease fear and decrease uncertainty and increase belief in confidence this mostly goes into fear and confidence in order to raise confidence what if you were to lose less money on a trade you would definitely fear it less right if you're risking 100 of your account you're going to be in loads of fear"
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A proper risk management plan contributes to confidence and belief, while decreasing fear and uncertainty, by reducing the amount of money risked on trades.
"if you use a proper risk management plan again it can kind of move those skills further towards you being confident and having belief in your full trading plan and decrease the fear and uncertainty that you have through the process of risking less money on the trades that you place"
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Gaining experience through trading a small account or a demo account, after developing and backtesting a strategy and implementing risk management, builds confidence and reduces fear.
"experience now I don't necessarily could suggest doing this with a real account but if you want to start a super tiny account and experience your full trading plan now this comes after creating a full trading plan you already have a trading plan you already have a strategy that you've back tested and seen that it's profitable and seen it go through drawdowns and come out profitable on the other side you already have a risk management plan that you're sticking to now is when you can start to have experience"
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Trading profitably on a small or demo account for 60-90 days significantly boosts confidence and belief while reducing uncertainty and fear.
"if you do this over the course of 60 to 90 days and you see that in that small account or in that demo account you come out profitable that is going to do a major amount to increase your confidence and belief and decrease uncertainty and fear"
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