What Is The FED Planning? Jerome Powell Tells It ALL!!
Published: 2023-09-26
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2023-09-26
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Long-term interest rates are predicted to continue rising, which could lead to further market downturns.
"long-term interest rates could continue to rise and this could continue to pull the markets down"
Pending
Fed officials anticipate PCE inflation to reach 2% within the next two years.
"fed officials expect inflation as measured by the pce to come down to two percent over the next two years"
Pending
The majority of Fed officials expect one additional 25 basis point rate hike by year-end, followed by rate cuts in the following year.
"most fed officials believe one more rate hike of 25 basis points 0.25 percent is appropriate between now and the end of the year and then quickly noted that the Fed foresees rate Cuts sometime next year"
Pending
The Federal Reserve will continue to shrink its balance sheet and may raise interest rates if necessary.
"the FED will continue to quote significantly reduce the size of its balance sheet and raise interest rates if need be"
Pending
The Federal Reserve is continuing to monitor and follow the current economic trend.
"Jerome said that the FED is following the economic trend"
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When asked if a soft landing scenario is still on the table, Jerome emphatically stated 'no'.
"Jerome said no a flat out no"
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A soft landing for the economy remains possible, but will be dependent on external factors beyond the Fed's control.
"a path to a soft Landing could still exist but it will be determined by factors that are outside of the fed's control"
Pending
Key government spending programs that have bolstered the economy are either concluded or nearing their end.
"many of the government spending programs that were supporting the economy have come to an end or will soon be coming to an end"
Pending
Consumer spending is identified as the apparent driver of strong economic growth.
"it appears to be consumer spending"
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Sustained high oil prices are predicted to negatively impact the inflation metrics monitored by the Fed.
"if oil prices stay too high for too long this will start feeding into the inflation measures the FED is watching"
Pending
If oil prices lead to rising inflation, the Fed may be compelled to increase interest rates for public perception.
"the FED will basically be forced to raise rates for PR purposes"
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Prioritizing the restoration of price stability (controlling inflation) is considered paramount, even over potential economic downturns.
"the worst thing we could do is fail to restore price stability in other words inflation is more important"
Pending
Inflation is decreasing due to improving supply chains and a reduction in government spending.
"it's a combination of Supply chains improving after the pandemic disruptions and a gradual pullback of fiscal policy AKA government spending"
Pending
A government shutdown could prevent the Fed from obtaining necessary data for making interest rate decisions.
"it could mean the FED won't get the data it needs to make its interest rate decisions"
Pending
Increased uncertainty in the financial markets is expected to lead to greater volatility.
"uncertainty means volatility"
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There is a possibility that interest rates will need to be increased further.
"interest rates might just have to go higher"
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Increased selling of other assets to acquire US dollars is predicted to lead to a rise in the US dollar's value.
"selling other assets for the US dollar would cause the US dollar to rise"
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The rise of the US dollar, despite discussions of rate cuts, is attributed to the ongoing sale of other assets for dollars.
"this would explain why the US dollar Rose even while Jerome talked about rate Cuts"
Pending
Actions taken by the Treasury to raise interest rates to impact geopolitical opponents are expected to have repercussions on the domestic US economy.
"if the treasury really is trying to inflict pain on the US's enemies by raising rates this will affect the domestic economy too"
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Jerome Powell appears to have insights into economic factors that are not perceived by other members of the Federal Reserve.
"this is what Jerome is seeing and it would explain why nobody else at the FED can see it"
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The Treasury is willing to significantly increase long-term interest rates to maintain the dominance of the US dollar and the United States.
"just how high the treasury is prepared to raise long-term interest rates to ensure that the US dollar and its country of origin remain dominant"
Pending