Is The Israel-Saudi Agreement OVER?! All You Need To Know!

"at the time of filming the likelihood is the US will approve an accord that's similar to the one the US has with Japan but will not agree to a NATO likee agreement this means the US would pledge Military Support if Saudi were attacked but Washington wouldn't go so far as to consider an attack on Saudi to be an attack on us soil as NATO style agreements stipulates additionally it looks like the US will help Saudi to develop its nuclear energy program"

"in addition to security nbs's other priority is to diversify saudi's economy away from oil which currently makes up 74% of all exports tourism technology and its stly ambitious and also controversial urban development project neon are all part of this Vision so for Saudi Arabia a peace agreement with Israel is there to achieve both goals as part of the negotiations Saudi is asking for a security guarantee from the US meanwhile the US and Israel can provide Saudi with the technological innovations necessary to help Saudi diversify its economy"

"however Saudi Arabia faces challenges Saudi Arabia has previously stated that Israel must commit to a path for Palestinian statehood as a precondition to the agreement this was reportedly a non-negotiable for the Saudis however it recently appeared that Riyad had softened its stance a his article dated back on the 29th of September and citing three unnamed sources claimed that Saudi Arabia and I quote will not hold up a deal even if Israel does not offer major concessions to Palestinians in a bid for their statehood but that was before the Hamas attack on the 7th of October"

"the day of the attack the Saudi foreign Ministry released a statement calling for and I quote an immediate halt to the escalation between the two sides although the state mentioned the and I quote deprivation of the Palestinian people of their legitimate rights and nowhere condemned the actions of Hamas the overall tone is restrained by contrast qatar's forign Ministry issued a statement saying that Israel alone was responsible for the ongoing escalation of violence with the Palestinian People based on past actions so it would seem that Saudi is still vying for peace with Israel"

"what's less clear is what their position towards the Palestinians will be as a result of this conflict will NBS demand or drop Palestinian concessions as a precondition to peace this is the big question part of Saudi Arabia's calculation will be based on whether they expect to face blowback domestically or among Muslims across the world if they're seen as selling out to the Palestinians in pursuit of their own national interests"

"from a geopolitical standpoint the deal not only isolates America's enemy which is Iran but more importantly hals China's growing influence in the region China as you might be aware broke at the Dayton between Iran and Saudi earlier this year both Middle East easn states were effusive in their praise for China at the time a fact that no doubt riled up the Americans if the Israel Saudi deal goes through it would solidify the US economic as well as military relationship with Riad and keep China at Bay"

"Washington is also hopeful there will secure three strategic waterways around the Arabian Peninsula these are the straet of huz Bal mandm Street and the Suez Canal as a New York Times Ops Ed points out these channels are vital Global shipping routes that hold considerable interest not only for us but also for China"

"by comparison Israel's is $522 billion a peace deal with Saudi Arabia would also be a major achievement for Netanyahu and perhaps help him to clean up his image in case you're unaware Israel's longest serving prime minister is charged with fraud breach of trust and is accepting bribes in three scandals Netanyahu is also getting a lot of criticism for the massive intelligence failure that enabled the Hamas attack an editorial by the Israeli newspaper haret goes so far as to say the Prime Minister and I quote Bears responsibility for the war for netanyahu's government the peace deal with Saudi is no longer top priority the war trumps all other considerations"

"however despite the clear advantages of such a deal to the US national interest Saudi Arabia is still viewed with suspicion by many decision makers in Washington an article by The Brookings Think Tank perhaps best summarizes it in a lingering sentiment in Washington they said in a quote in the end policy makers would do well to remember that Saudi Arabia is a key partner but not a friend the United States and Saudi Arabia share many common interests but they do not share common values or a common worldview"

"moral reservations aside some US policy makers are also concerned that the military concessions the Biden Administration appear ready to offer Saudi Arabia are too broad without providing clear details an unnamed Source cited by Reuters believes that the US lawmakers might oppose these military pledges"

"Palestinian negotiations are looking for guarantees that the expansion of Israeli settlements in the West Bank will be halted and defer plans for annexation this is possible they also want a sovereign Palestine State the so-called two-state solution but this is not on the table"

"however the Palestinian leadership lacks widespread support or even legitimacy in fact a 2021 poll revealed that 80% of Palestinians want President abas to resign to give you an idea of just how by the situation is the poll was taken several months after aass called off the First Palestinian election in 15 years the reason because his fata party was facing an embarrassing loss"

"Iran has extensive influence in neighboring Iraq it supports and arms hosty separatists in Yemen which have attacked Saudi Arabia it also bankrolls arms and trains hez buah lemon's dominant political and military power which threatens Israel and undermines Saudi its allies in Lebanon meanwhile the Syrian government arguably owes its survival to Iran and Russia without their support the Syrian government might have been toppled during the Syrian Civil War and we have haven't even mentioned Hamas yet not only does Iran arm and finance Hamas but Iranian security officials reportedly help to plan the attack and gave it the go-ahead several days prior"

"scuppering the Saudi deal was almost certainly part of Iran's plan and in the short term it has undoubtedly been successful a Saudi peace deal is extremely unlikely in and during the immediate aftermath of this conflict"

"that said the conflict might in the longer term be seen to have contributed to a peace effort after all if there is one thing that Saudi and Israel can agree on it's their shared animosity of Iran and their desire to both weaken Iranian proxies across the region and prevent Iran from building a nuclear missile"

"fast forward a few years and we could see a peace deal between Iran and most Sunni majority countries but we could also see a Middle East where not only Israel is equipped with a nuclear missile but also potentially Iran and Saudi Arabia and and that is not a reassuring Prospect"