ilmscore | The Rise of Ethena: A New Era for Decentralized Finance?

The Rise of Ethena: A New Era for Decentralized Finance?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 13
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 13
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Athena's usde stablecoin has the potential to generate more revenue than any other crypto project.
"Believe it or not but ethena could generate the most revenue of any crypto project ever."
Athena's usde stablecoin revenue potential
Pending
With over $2.5 billion in collateral, Athena's protocol revenue is projected to exceed $200 million per year, with an expected increase as the crypto market rallies.
"with over $2.5 billion of collateral this works out to protocol revenues of over $200 million per year which is quite frankly nuts and the craziest part is that Athena's protocol Revenue will rise as the crypto Market starts to rally"
Athena's protocol revenue projection
Pending
Athena could earn billions in protocol revenue between the time of recording (likely March 2024 given the context) and the end of 2025, driven by high long fees.
"consider that long fees were generating yields as high as 40% in March and this means that Athena could earn billions of dollars in protocol revenue between now and the end of next year"
Athena's potential annual revenue during a rally
Pending
ENA token could grow up to 50% more than its collateral in percentage terms during a bull market due to increased leverage.
"Ena could theoretically grow up to 50% more than the crypto it's using as collateral in percentage terms and this is because the amount of Leverage in crypto grows anywhere from 30 to 50% more than the market cap of crypto in a bull market"
ENA token potential growth
Pending
ENA token could see a 30x to 40x increase in value, drawing a parallel to Luna's past market cap of $40 billion.
"Luna grew to a market cap of $40 billion so that could mean a 40x for Ena or probably closer to 30X if you factor in all of the vesting"
ENA token price potential based on Luna comparison
Pending
Athena aims for its usde stablecoin to become dominant in the DeFi space, potentially disrupting the current dominance of USDC.
"On the def5 front Athena hopes its usde stable coin will become dominant in fact Athena's own documentation seems to strongly hint at the fact that it's looking to disrupt usdc dominance in defi"
usde stablecoin dominance in DeFi
Pending
Bibit has integrated usde as collateral for leveraged trading.
"Bibit has already added usde as collateral for leveraged trading"
usde stablecoin as collateral on Bibit
Pending
Athena is likely to add more cryptocurrencies as collateral for its stablecoin, with Solana (SOL) being a candidate due to its futures market activity.
"it's likely to add additional cryptos as collateral if their Futures markets become big enough uh you might remember me of course mentioning how Athena will soon be adding soul for this reason"
Athena's potential to add new collateral cryptos
Pending
Athena may incentivize unprecedented levels of leverage across crypto exchanges and platforms.
"The one risk that everyone seems to have missed however is that Athena is like likely to incentivize unprecedented levels of Leverage on exchanges and elsewhere"
Athena's incentive for unprecedented leverage
Pending
Athena's use of stablecoin collateral for shorts will keep long fees artificially low in the futures market, potentially enabling an unsustainably large number of long positions.
"all the while the corresponding shorts for this stable coin collateral are keeping long fees artificially low across the bulk of the Futures Market which you'll recall primarily uses stable coins like usdt as collateral and this makes it possible for an artificially large number of long positions to open on exchanges"
Athena's impact on long fees
Pending
Athena will inevitably incentivize an unsustainable number of stablecoin-backed long positions due to its reliance on stablecoins as collateral.
"we don't know what could happen because of this all we know is that Athena will inevitably incentivize an unsustainable amount of stable coin backed long positions due to the inevitable use of stable coins as the primary form of collateral in Athena"
Potential for unsustainable long positions
Pending
Excessive leverage in a volatile market, especially with large futures open interest, poses a significant risk.
"we all know what happens when you have large Futures open interest melt ups and meltdowns add an excessive leverage to a market already so volatile could be a risk more generally"
Risk of excessive leverage in volatile markets
Pending
The foundations of usde are strong enough for it to potentially challenge major stablecoin providers.
"solid enough for usde to challenge the big boys of the stable coin space"
usde potential to challenge stablecoin giants
Pending