Bitcoin Supercycle Coming? Price Predictions for 2025!!
Published: 2024-12-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-12-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
There's a trend of increasingly extravagant price predictions for Bitcoin during the current bull market.
"the cycle top predictions are getting more and more extravagant"
Pending
A decade ago, Bitcoin was $375. It's now worth $100,000, a significant increase that would have seemed unbelievable.
"well you know what they say Bears get to sound smart and Bulls get to make money and there is probably some truth to this uh 10 years ago you could have bought one Bitcoin for $375 and if you had told your coworker it was going to be worth $100,000 in a decade uh you might have been laughed out of the office speaking from experience here but here we are"
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The current macro cycle top for Bitcoin is widely anticipated to occur in 2025, not in the remaining month of 2024.
"the year well it's almost over most analysts agree that this will not be the macro cycle top which is widely anticipated to come at some point in 2025"
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Bitcoin may have already surpassed the $99,000 resistance level and reached the $100,000 mark by the time of viewing.
"by the time you're actually watching this it may have knocked down the cell wall at 99k and reach that hallowed six figure Mark"
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Previous predictions for Bitcoin to reach $80,000 or $90,000 in 2024 have been met and exceeded.
"the predictions that BTC would reach 80k or 90k in 2024 have come true and then some"
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Bitwise has maintained a prediction of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in 2024 since December of the previous year.
"bitwise which describes itself as the world's largest crypto crypto index fund manager and these guys have been calling for an ATK BTC in 2024 since December of last year"
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Matt Hogan of Bitwise predicted Bitcoin to reach $80,000 in Q4 of the current year, contingent on three specific conditions.
"Chief investment officer Matt Hogan specified that he expected BTC to hit 8K in Q4 of this year if these three conditions were met"
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A non-Democratic sweep in the 2024 US elections is seen as favorable for crypto, as Republicans are perceived as more pro-crypto than Democrats.
"the 2024 us elections would have to result in quote anything but a democratic sweep and this is of course because the Democratic party has presided over the war on crypto in the US whereas Republicans have become very Pro crypto of late"
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The Republican party won the House, Senate, and Presidency in November, fulfilling one of the conditions for Bitwise's Bitcoin prediction.
"and lo and behold the Republicans won the house senate and presidency Tri factor in November"
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A second interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve was a condition for Bitwise's Bitcoin price prediction.
"the Federal Reserve would have to make a second interest rate cut"
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A second stimulus package from China's Central Bank was a condition for Bitwise's Bitcoin price prediction.
"and China's Central Bank would have had to introduce a second stimulus package"
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Bitcoin's price surge easily surpassed the $80,000 target.
"BTC ripped through ATK like it was confetti"
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Bernstein initially forecast Bitcoin at $80,000 for 2024, but raised their target to $90,000 in March after the ETF-driven surge to $74,000 in Q1.
"Bernstein analysts had also previously forecasted ATK by the end of the year however after ETF Euphoria drove BTC all the way up to 74k in q1 Bernstein figured that 80k was too low in March it raised its 2024 Target to 90k"
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Bernstein reiterated their $90,000 Bitcoin target for 2024 in September, making it conditional on a Trump victory in November.
"and in September it reiterated the same Target and added that it would be conditional on a trump victory in November"
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The four-year cycle theory predicts that Bitcoin's cycle top will occur in Q4 of 2025.
"the four-year Cycle Theory suggests that BTC will Top out in 2025 likely in Q4"
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Ark Invest has projected a target range of $104,000 to $124,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2024, not as a cycle top.
"AR invest recently suggested a range between 104k and 124k not as a cycle top but as a target for the end of 2024"
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Standard Chartered has forecasted Bitcoin to reach $120,000 in 2024 since July of the previous year.
"standard charted has been calling for 120k BTC in 2024 since July of last year"
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A second Trump administration is predicted to have a significantly positive impact on the cryptocurrency market.
"the second Trump Administration may be the best thing to ever happen to crypto"
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Arthur Hayes has suggested that Donald Trump's economic policies could drive Bitcoin to $1 million.
"he has suggested that Trump's economic policies will literally Drive BTC to $1 million"
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Bernstein predicts Bitcoin will reach $200,000 in 2025, citing the dawn of a 'new institutional era'.
"Bernstein predicted that BTC will touch 200k in 2025 reasoning that Bitcoin is entering a quote new institutional era"
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The amount of Bitcoin held by 10 major global asset managers through regulated exchange-traded funds has increased significantly from $12 billion in September 2022 to $60 billion.
"quote 10 Global asset managers now own 60 billion wrapped as regulated exchange Traders funds compared to 12 billion in September 2022"
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Bernstein predicts that by the end of 2024, Wall Street institutions will own more Bitcoin than Satoshi Nakamoto's known wallets.
"Bernstein drives this point home further by predicting That Wall Street institutions will hold more BTC than satoshi's wallet by the end of 2024"
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By late November, spot Bitcoin ETFs had accumulated over 1 million BTC, surpassing the estimated holdings of Satoshi Nakamoto's wallets since October.
"as of late November this target seems to have been reached satosi wallet or rather the cluster of wallets believed to belong to satosi hold around 1 million BTC and data from the Block confirms that spot Bitcoin ETFs officially hold more than 1 million BTC and that this has been the case since October"
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A Bitcoin price of $200,000 is considered a plausible, albeit high, target.
"200k might be doable and we can do a little back of the envelope math to show this to be a plausible Target or be it a bit on the high side"
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Bitcoin's first macro top was $29.60 in Q2 2011, approximately 2.5 years after its inception.
"we'll start in Q2 of 2011 when BTC reached its first macro top of $29.60 and this was just 2 and A2 years after the Genesis block of January 2009"
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In Q4 2013, Bitcoin experienced a 10x surge, reaching $1,160, a 3,818% increase from its June 2011 high.
"Bitcoin saw its first proper bull market top in 2013 in the span of 2 months in Q4 BTC ripped by 10x to set a new all-time high of $1,160 an increase of 3,818 over the previous high of June 2011"
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In Q4 2017, Bitcoin reached $19,720 (corrected from transcript $972), marking a roughly 1600% increase from its previous all-time high.
"4 years later BTC went ballistic again in the 2017 Bull Run and once again the top came in Q4 when BTC reached $972 and this marked an increase of approximately 1600% from the previous all-time high"
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In Q4 2021, Bitcoin hit a cycle top of $69,000, a 350% increase from the 2017 high.
"another four years on and BTC reached its next cycle top of $69,000 in Q4 of 2021 and this represented an increase of 350% over the 2017 high"
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Based on diminishing returns, the current cycle's top price for Bitcoin should be less than a 350% increase from the previous high of $69,000, which would be approximately $240,000.
"the top of the current cycle should be a price that is less than 350% higher than the previous high of 69,000 for reference a 350% increase from there would Place BTC at about $240,000"
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A Bitcoin price of $200,000 is considered within the plausible range for the current cycle top, despite the trend of diminishing returns.
"200,000 is within this range but isn't that too high well arguably not since the trend of diminish returns is well diminishing"
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Bitcoin's cycle returns have diminished significantly: 3,818% (2011-2013), 1,600% (2013-2017), and 350% (2017-2021).
"from 2011 to 2013 is the first Epoch 2013 to 2017 is the 2nd 2017 to 2021 is the 3D and 2021 to the present time is the fourth Epoch in the first Epoch the gain from Peak to Peak was 3,818 in the second it was 1, 1600% in the third Epoch the gain was 350%"
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Based on historically diminishing returns, the current cycle's peak is estimated to be around $140,000 (approximately a two-times increase from the previous high).
"historically diminishing returns suggest that it will be somewhere closer to two times compared to the previous cycle top of 69k so somewhere around 140k"
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Accounting for a 40% increase in money supply due to the pandemic, the Bitcoin cycle top target is adjusted to around $200,000.
"the supply of money basically grew by 40% over the course of the pandemic and this would give us a BTC cycle top price Target that's 40% higher than 140k which happens to be around 200k"
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The maximum projected upper limit for Bitcoin in 2025 is $200,000.
"based on this we think 200k is probably a maximum upper limit for 2025"
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If Bitcoin's bull run extends beyond the typical four-year cycle, it would be entering 'super cycle' territory, characterized by continuous expansion.
"if BTC keeps on ongoing if that happens then it would be entering technical super cycle territory for those unfamiliar super cycle is not the most technical of terms in this context it means an extended bull market that breaks btc's fouryear cycle of expansion and contraction and just keeps expanding"
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While a macro top for Bitcoin in 2025 is expected, possibly in Q4, there's a chance it could occur earlier, around mid-Q2.
"we do expect a macro top in 2025 the top has come in Q4 several times before and many expect 2025 to be no different but we think there is a chance that it could indeed come a bit sooner perhaps in mid Q2"
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A sensible price range for Bitcoin's cycle top is estimated to be between $100,000 and $200,000.
"somewhere between 100K and 200k seems like the most sensible answer to us"
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Previous conservative price targets for BTC in 2024 have already been surpassed.
"our most conservative price estimates for BTC have already been smashed and frankly we'd be a little bit worried if they hadn't and that's because they are specifically predictions for the yearly high of 2024 and the year well it's almost over"
Pending
The current macro cycle top for Bitcoin is expected to occur in 2025.
"most analysts agree that this will not be the macro cycle top which is widely anticipated to come at some point in 2025"
Pending
Bitcoin might have already surpassed the $99,000 resistance and reached the $100,000 mark by the time the video is watched.
"by the time you're actually watching this it may have knocked down the cell wall at 99k and reach that hallowed six figure Mark"
Pending
Bitwise had predicted Bitcoin would reach $80,000 in 2024 since December of the previous year.
"bitwise... have been calling for an ATK BTC in 2024 since December of last year"
Pending
Matt Hogan of Bitwise predicted Bitcoin to reach $80,000 in Q4 2024, contingent on three conditions.
"Chief investment officer Matt Hogan specified that he expected BTC to hit 8K in Q4 of this year if these three conditions were met"
Pending
Bitcoin surpassed the $80,000 price target rapidly.
"BTC ripped through ATK like it was confetti"
Pending
Bernstein initially forecast $80k for BTC in 2024 but raised it to $90k in March due to ETF-driven gains.
"Bernstein analysts had also previously forecasted ATK by the end of the year however after ETF Euphoria drove BTC all the way up to 74k in q1 Bernstein figured that 80k was too low in March it raised its 2024 Target to 90k"
Pending
The four-year cycle theory suggests Bitcoin's cycle top will occur in Q4 of 2025.
"Bitcoin will Top out in 2025 likely in Q4"
Pending
ARK Invest projected a Bitcoin price range of $104,000 to $124,000 by the end of 2024, not as a cycle top.
"AR invest recently suggested a range between 104k and 124k not as a cycle top but as a target for the end of 2024"
Pending
Standard Chartered has been predicting Bitcoin to reach $120,000 in 2024 since July of the previous year.
"standard charted has been calling for 120k BTC in 2024 since July of last year"
Pending
The second Trump administration is predicted to be highly beneficial for the cryptocurrency market.
"the second Trump Administration may be the best thing to ever happen to crypto"
Pending
Arthur Hayes predicts that Trump's economic policies will drive Bitcoin to $1 million.
"Arthur Hayes... has suggested that Trump's economic policies will literally Drive BTC to $1 million"
Pending
Bernstein forecast that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 in 2025.
"Bernstein predicted that BTC will touch 200k in 2025"
Pending
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have held over 1 million BTC since October.
"spot Bitcoin ETFs officially hold more than 1 million BTC and that this has been the case since October"
Pending
A Bitcoin price of $200,000 is considered plausible despite diminishing returns, as the trend of such diminishment is itself diminishing.
"200,000 is within this range but isn't that too high well arguably not since the trend of diminish returns is well diminishing"
Pending
Based on diminishing returns, Bitcoin could reach around $140,000.
"somewhere around 140k is that"
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Considering inflation (40% money supply growth), the Bitcoin cycle top price target is projected to be around $200,000.
"this would give us a BTC cycle top price Target that's 40% higher than 140k which happens to be around 200k"
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The maximum upper limit for Bitcoin's price in 2025 is estimated to be $200,000.
"we think 200k is probably a maximum upper limit for 2025"
Pending
A macro top for Bitcoin is expected in Q4 of 2025, consistent with previous cycles.
"we do expect a macro top in 2025 the top has come in Q4 several times before and many expect 2025 to be no different"
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There's a possibility that the Bitcoin cycle top could occur sooner than expected, potentially in mid-Q2.
"but we think there is a chance that it could indeed come a bit sooner perhaps in mid Q2"
Pending
A Bitcoin price range between $100,000 and $200,000 is considered the most sensible prediction for the cycle top.
"somewhere between 100K and 200k seems like the most sensible answer to us"
Pending
A non-Democratic sweep in the 2024 US elections was considered a condition for Bitcoin's rise, as Republicans are viewed as more pro-crypto.
"the 2024 us elections would have to result in quote anything but a democratic sweep and this is of course because the Democratic party has presided over the war on crypto in the US whereas Republicans have become very Pro crypto of late"
Pending
A second interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve was a predicted condition for Bitcoin's rise.
"the Federal Reserve would have to make a second interest rate cut"
Pending
A second stimulus package from China's Central Bank was a predicted condition for Bitcoin's rise.
"China's Central Bank would have had to introduce a second stimulus package"
Pending
Bernstein's $90k Bitcoin prediction for 2024 was conditional on Donald Trump winning the November election.
"and added that it would be conditional on a trump victory in November"
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Following Trump's November election win, the crypto bull run is sustained by anticipation of his presidency's positive impact.
"the future looks very bright for crypto there at the moment since Trump's election win in November the Bull Run has been sustained by anticipation of how positive his presidency will be for crypto"
Pending
Wall Street institutions are predicted to hold more Bitcoin than Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet by the end of 2024.
"Wall Street institutions will hold more BTC than satoshi's wallet by the end of 2024"
Pending