Why Housing Is Getting Destroyed
Published: 2023-10-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2023-10-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Federal Reserve officials predict interest rates will remain elevated until at least 2026.
"Federal Reserve officials forecast higher interest rates through 2026"
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US new home construction reached a three-year low in August 2023 due to high mortgage rates, labor costs, and building material prices.
"new home construction in the US plunged in August to a three-year low"
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A stall or decline in home prices could make it difficult for homeowners to sell their properties at a profit.
"if we start to see the housing market stall if home prices start to go down now you can start to see where people might not be able to sell their home with a big profit"
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A decline in home prices coupled with economic difficulties could lead to an increase in foreclosures.
"if we start to see home prices fall a little bit and if we see more pains in the economy well you can bet we would see more foreclosures"
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Current mortgage rates are at their highest levels in over two decades.
"mortgage rates are at some of the highest numbers we have seen in the last couple of decades in fact they are the highest rates that we have seen in more than two decades"
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Higher mortgage rates are expected to decrease demand for homes.
"the higher the mortgage rates generally the lower the demand"
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Economic slowdowns can decrease home buying demand as people become concerned about job security and income.
"when you're seeing economic slowdowns then people become worried about the economy they become worried about their job they become worried about their income they become worried about potential bonuses and then they become less likely to go out and spend money like buying a home"
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The long-term impacts of current consumer spending habits, including the use of savings and credit card debt amid high inflation, are uncertain.
"we are starting to see the more impact of all this spending and digging into savings and credit card debt with the high inflation and we don't know when we're going to see the impacts of all this or what that impact is going to be"
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Changes in the economy and job market, particularly shifts towards returning to the office, are likely to influence where people choose to live and buy homes.
"you are starting to see a shift in the economy when it comes to intent because well the economy and the job market is changing and that naturally has an impact on homes because you want to live close to where you work"
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If the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates, it could stimulate the housing market but potentially exacerbate inflation.
"if the FED starts cutting interest rates that could put upward pressure on the housing market which would also make inflation worse than where it is"
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Interest rates are predicted to remain elevated until at least 2026.
"Federal Reserve officials forecast higher interest rates through 2026."
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Mortgage rates are expected to stay elevated for a longer period, influenced by the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates.
"Federal Reserve Bank they said in their most recent meeting in September is that you can expect interest rates not mortgage rates but interest rates to stay higher for longer"
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New home construction in the US reached a three-year low in August due to high mortgage rates, labor costs, and building material prices.
"new home construction in the US plunged in August to a three-year low according to data released on Tuesday as high mortgage rates increased cost of Labor and the price of building homes took a toll on the industry"
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A decline in home prices, coupled with low down payments and financial hardship, could lead to an increase in foreclosures.
"if we start to see the housing market stall if home prices start to go down now you can start to see where people might not be able to sell their home with a big profit because we've also been seeing home down payments when you go to buy a home dropping you've been seeing more 3% down payment mortgages some 1% down payment mortgages even some 0% down payment mortgages and so yes people are buying homes with low down payments but that's not an issue until home prices Begin to Fall because if somebody goes underwater and then they run into a financial hardship because maybe they lose their job or for whatever reason they can no longer make the monthly payments well that's where now you can't sell the home because they don't have any equity and that's where a foreclosure becomes now more likely"
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Sustained consumer spending at the current rate is unsustainable without significant income growth, which in turn requires economic growth.
"people can't keep spending at the current rate that they are now unless we see a significant increase in incomes and it's hard to see the increase in incomes without growth in the economy"
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A potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could stimulate the housing market and exacerbate inflation due to increased home buying activity.
"if the FED starts cutting interest rates that could put upward pressure on the housing market which would also make inflation worse than where it is because then more people are buying homes"
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