Published: 2023-10-24
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Predictions from this Video
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Prediction
Topic
Status
A Federal Reserve Bank official suspects the federal funds rate may be raised once more in 2023 and held there for a period while more economic data is gathered.
"at this point I suspect we may well need to raise interest rates federal funds rates once more this year in 2023 and then hold it there for some time as we accumulate more information on economic developments and assess the effects of tightening in financial conditions that have already occurred"
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Headline inflation was 7% in 2021, 6.5% in 2022, and is expected to be around 4.1% in 2023.
"headline inflation in 2021 2022 65% headline inflation in 2023 it is expected the headline inflation will be around 4.1%"
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Federal Reserve Bank officials may expect further interest rate hikes if inflation does not decrease sufficiently.
"we are hearing the Federal Reserve Bank officials say that they might even expect more interest rate hikes if inflation does not come down fast enough"
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Interest rates may remain elevated for an extended period, potentially increasing further, if inflation does not accelerate its decline.
"interest rates could stay higher for longer in fact they could even go higher from here in fact they might need to go higher from here if inflation doesn't start falling even faster"
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If the US economy slows down significantly in the next 12-24 months while inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve will face a difficult choice between combating inflation and addressing the economic slowdown.
"if we start to see more of an economic slowdown in the next 12 to 24 months and inflation is still high now the Federal Reserve Bank is going to have to make a very tough decision you continue to fight inflation or do you fight the slowing economy because you can't do both at the same time"
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The cumulative effect of past interest rate increases may already be pushing the United States towards a recession.
"however we've already increased interest rates many times which could already tip the United States into a recession"
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US News has identified seven dividend-paying ETFs as potentially worth considering for investment.
"US News put out this article on what they call the seven best dividend paying ETFs that you can consider buying here are the seven ETFs that they recommend"
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A Federal Reserve Bank official suspects another interest rate hike in 2023, followed by a period of holding rates steady to assess economic impacts.
"at this point I suspect we may well need to raise interest rates federal funds rates once more this year in 2023 and then hold it there for some time as we accumulate more information on economic developments and assess the effects of tightening in financial conditions that have already occurred"
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Headline inflation in 2023 is projected to be approximately 4.1%.
"headline inflation in 2023 it is expected the headline inflation will be around 4.1%"
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The Federal Reserve Bank will likely not consider cutting interest rates until inflation not only falls but also remains steady around 2%.
"2024 or is it going to take more time because remember the Federal Reserve Bank wants to not only see inflation fall but stay at around 2% before they consider cutting"
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Federal Reserve Bank officials suggest potential further interest rate hikes if inflation fails to decrease at a sufficient pace.
"and we are hearing the Federal Reserve Bank officials say that they might even expect more interest rate hikes if inflation does not come down fast enough"
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Interest rates may remain elevated for an extended period, or even increase further, if inflation does not decelerate more rapidly.
"interest rates could stay higher for longer in fact they could even go higher from here in fact they might need to go higher from here if inflation doesn't start falling even faster"
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A significant economic slowdown within the next 12-24 months, coupled with persistent high inflation, will present the Federal Reserve Bank with a difficult decision.
"if we start to see more of an economic slowdown in the next 12 to 24 months and inflation is still high now the Federal Reserve Bank is going to have to make a very tough decision"
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Previous interest rate hikes may have already pushed the United States towards a recession.
"this could already tip the United States into a recession"
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A Federal Reserve Bank official suspects a further interest rate hike in 2023, followed by a holding period to assess economic data and the impact of existing tightening measures.
"at this point I suspect we may well need to raise interest rates federal funds rates once more this year in 2023 and then hold it there for some time as we accumulate more information on economic developments and assess the effects of tightening in financial conditions that have already occurred"
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Interest rates are predicted to remain high or increase if inflation persists.
"if inflation continues to stay high you can expect interest rates to also stay high and maybe even move higher from here"
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An economic slowdown could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
"if we start to see more of an economic slowdown that could entice the Federal Reserve Bank to start cutting interest rates"
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Core inflation is still significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels and has a considerable distance to fall.
"core inflation this red line still has quite a bit of a way to go to get to where we were before the pandemic"
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The Federal Reserve aims for inflation to not only fall but also remain consistently around 2% before considering interest rate cuts.
"the Federal Reserve Bank wants to not only see inflation fall but stay at around 2% before they consider cutting"
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If inflation proves more persistent than anticipated, interest rates may remain elevated for an extended period or even see further increases.
"if inflation is going to be tougher than expected to come down interest rates could stay higher for longer in fact they could even go higher from here in fact they might need to go higher from here if inflation doesn't start falling even faster"
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A potential economic slowdown within the next 12-24 months, coupled with persistent high inflation, will force the Federal Reserve into a difficult policy choice.
"if we start to see more of an economic slowdown in the next 12 to 24 months and inflation is still high now the Federal Reserve Bank is going to have to make a very tough decision"
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A pivot by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to combat an economic slowdown could lead to increased demand for homes and cars, potentially reigniting inflation.
"the Federal Bank pivots and they start cutting interest rates to fight the slowing economy and now everybody starts buying a home again everybody starts buying a car again that could push inflation back up"
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The cumulative effect of past interest rate hikes could already be pushing the U.S. into a recession.
"we've already increased interest rates many times which could already tip the United States into a recession"
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Financing large purchases like a new truck is ill-advised in 2023 due to economic conditions.
"2023 is not the year for you to go out and finance a new truck"
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Headline inflation is projected to be around 4.1% in 2023.
"headline inflation in 2023 it is expected the headline inflation will be around 4.1%"
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Interest rates may need to increase further if inflation does not decline more rapidly.
"they might need to go higher from here if inflation doesn't start falling even faster"
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