ilmscore | The Housing Market Is Going Wild...

The Housing Market Is Going Wild...

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 11
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Incomes need to rise by 55% for the US housing market to become affordable.
"incomes would have to jump 55% to make buying a home affordable"
US Housing Market Affordability
Pending
The US housing market can become more affordable through a drastic rise in incomes, increased home inventory, or falling mortgage rates.
"either incomes could rise drastically number two we could see more inventory of homes available for sale or number three is that mortgage rates could fall"
US Housing Market Affordability Factors
Pending
Homeowners with mortgages under 5% are reluctant to sell due to higher current mortgage rates, impacting inventory.
"homeowners don't really want to sell their homes and the reason why is because if you bought a home in the last number of years well chances are you have a mortgage under 5%"
US Housing Market Inventory
Pending
New home construction starts in the US have been on a downward trajectory since peaking in April 2022.
"new home construction starts in the United States and you can see that new home construction peaked around April 2022 and since then we've been seeing this downward trajectory of new home construction starts"
US Home Construction
Pending
The Federal Reserve expects interest rates to remain higher for longer than initially anticipated.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has been saying more recently that you should expect interest rates to stay higher for longer than originally expected"
US Interest Rates
Pending
The housing market is cyclical and does not remain static.
"no housing market stays in one place forever period"
Housing Market Cyclicality
Pending
Historically, 11 out of 14 Federal Reserve interest rate hiking cycles have resulted in a recession.
"out of the last 14 times the Federal Reserve Bank has increased interest rates done a rate hiking cycle 11 out of those 14 times resulted in a recession"
US Interest Rate Hikes and Recession
Pending
The resumption of student loan repayments for 40 million Americans, coupled with other rising costs, is expected to impact spending and the economy.
"about 40 million Americans had to start repaying the student loans again starting last October or this October and so now when you have 40 million Americans paying student loans on top of the higher rent cost on top of the higher housing cost on top of the higher grocery cost on top of the higher gas cost on top of the higher car cost on top of the higher everything costs there's a cost to that"
Student Loan Repayments Impact
Pending
Approximately $790 billion in corporate debt is set to readjust in 2024, followed by over $1 trillion in 2025.
"there's about $790 billion doar worth of corporate debt that will readjust in 2024 and just over a trillion dollars of corporate debt that will readjust in 2025"
Corporate Debt Maturation
Pending
Over a trillion dollars in commercial real estate debt is scheduled to mature in the coming years.
"more than a trillion dollars with the commercial real estate debt that is coming due in the coming years as well"
Commercial Real Estate Debt Maturation
Pending
Layoffs, economic pain, and fewer buyers could lead to more sellers and potentially falling home prices, impacting the ability to sell homes.
"if you start to see more layoffs if you start to see more pain in the account economy and you see less buyers out there and that could also create more sellers then that could also mean that there's less people who are able to sell their homes on the open market because home prices could potentially fall"
Housing Market Shift
Pending