Wall Street: Prepare For The 2024 Interest Rate Cuts
Published: 2023-11-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2023-11-17
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Wall Street predicts the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in 2024.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start cutting interest rates in 2024"
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UBS and Morgan Stanley predict earlier interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024.
"UBS and Morgan Stanley both agree that the Federal Reserve Bank will start cutting interest rates earlier in 2024"
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Expect significant interest rate cuts in 2024.
"we will see deep interest rate Cuts in 2024"
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Goldman Sachs predicts interest rate cuts will begin later in 2024 and will be more gradual.
"Goldman Sachs says that we will start seeing interest rate Cuts towards the end of 2024 and that they'll be a little bit more gradual"
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UBS and Goldman Sachs predict the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in 2024.
"UBS and Goldman Sachs put out statements this week talking about why the Federal Reserve Bank will start cutting interest rates in 2024."
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UBS forecasts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to a range of 2.25% to 2.75% in 2024.
"UBS says that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to cut interest rates to 2.25% to 2.75% in 2024"
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UBS and Morgan Stanley predict earlier and deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024.
"UBS and Morgan Stanley both agree that the Federal Reserve Bank will start cutting interest rates earlier in 2024 and that we will see deep interest rate Cuts in 2024."
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Interest rate cuts are expected to commence around March 2024.
"we will start seeing these interest rate Cuts in Marchish of 2024"
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Goldman Sachs forecasts interest rate cuts starting later in 2024 and being more gradual.
"Goldman Sachs says that we will start seeing interest rate Cuts towards the end of 2024 and that they'll be a little bit more gradual."
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Goldman Sachs anticipates interest rate cuts starting late 2024, with smaller, gradual reductions that will continue into 2025 and 2026 due to economic slowdown and cooling inflation.
"we don't think we're going to see interest rate Cuts until the end of 2024 because of the lag effect of the slowing economy because of the lag effect of the cooling inflation but when the FED starts cutting interest rates it's going to be a little bit more gradual and that it's going to be a smaller interest rate cut in 2024 and then it's going to continue on in 2025 and 2026"
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UBS predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to between 2.25% and 2.75% in 2024.
"UBS says that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to cut interest rates to 22 to 2.75% in 2024."
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Moody's is increasingly concerned about the US government's capacity to manage and repay its national debt.
"Moody's is getting more concerned about your ability to service and pay back all of this debt"
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Due to an expected economic slowdown, UBS and Morgan Stanley believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to stimulate the economy by making borrowing more accessible.
"UBS and Morgan Stanley are kind of agreeing that because we're going to see this economic slow down the Federal Reserve Bank is is going to be forced or enticed to want to stimulate the economy and how are they going to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates to make borrowing money more accessible."
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UBS and Morgan Stanley anticipate interest rate cuts to begin around March 2024.
"UBS Morgan Stanley says that we are going to start seeing these interest rate Cuts in marchish of 2024."
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Moody's issued a warning to the US regarding its substantial national debt and rising interest rates.
"they gave this kind of warning this little slap on the wrist of the United States saying hey you have all this debt all this national debt on top of that your interest rates are rising"
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Goldman Sachs believes the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates by the end of 2024 due to the lagged effects of a slowing economy and cooling inflation.
"Goldman Sachs says that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start cutting interest rates towards the end of 2024 because of the lag effect of the slowing economy because of the lag effect of the cooling inflation."
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Goldman Sachs predicts that interest rate cuts in 2024 will be smaller and more gradual, with cuts continuing into 2025 and 2026 due to economic slowdown.
"Goldman Sachs says... it's going to be a little bit more gradual and that it's going to be a smaller interest rate cut in 2024 and then it's going to continue on in 2025 and 2026 because of the slowing economy."
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The US borrowed a record sum in Q4 2024 due to continuous high spending, a key concern highlighted by Moody's regarding mounting debt.
"the United States borrowed a record amount of money why because we continue to keep spending spending spending this is the issue that Moody is highlighting the United States keep spending money they keep racking up their debts"
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Headline CPI inflation remained at 3.2% year-over-year, unchanged from the previous month.
"CPI the headline inflation came in at 3.2% for the last year that is exactly where we were 1 month ago."
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Without effective fiscal policies to cut spending or boost revenue, deficits will persist and impair the US's ability to afford its debt.
"without effective fiscal policy measures to reduce government spending or increase revenues deficits would remain large and weaken the country's debt affordability"
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Core inflation decreased to 4.0% from 4.1% in the previous month.
"core inflation this is what the Federal Reserve Bank likes to look at core inflation came in at 4% as opposed to the 4.1% that we had last month."
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Interest payments on debt are the most rapidly increasing expense for the US government.
"the fastest growing expense on the United States financial statements is interest expenses"
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Moody's has warned the US government about concerns regarding its ability to service and repay its large debt, indicating a potential future downgrade.
"Moody's... they essentially gave a little warning to the United States that you the United States government has a lot of debt we Moody's a credit rating agencies are getting more concerned about your ability to service and pay back all of this debt that's why we are giving you a little warning before we downgrade you we're not downgrading you right now but we're letting you know that we're getting concerned about your debt."
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Moody's downgraded the US economic outlook to negative from stable due to fiscal deficits, stating that high interest rates and insufficient fiscal measures will weaken debt affordability.
"they're downgrading the company's economic Outlook to negative from stable because of fiscal deficits quote with higher interest rates and without effective fiscal policy measures to reduce government spending or increase revenues deficits would remain large and weaken the country's debt affordability."
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Historically, consistently spending more than is generated leads to problems for civilizations.
"Civilization after civilization if you continue to spend money faster than you can generate it that can create issues"
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The US borrowed a record amount of money in Q4 2024 due to continuous government spending.
"the United States borrowed a record amount of money why because we continue to keep spending spending spending."
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Interest expenses on US debt are the fastest-growing government expenditure, surpassing defense, infrastructure, and citizen payouts.
"the fastest growing expense on the United States financial statements is interest expenses it's not defense and Military it's not infrastructure it's not giving money back to the citizens the fastest growing expense is paying back their debts."
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