ilmscore | The Silent Recession Of 2024

The Silent Recession Of 2024

Predictions from this Video

Total: 33
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 33
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
In mid-2023, the consensus prediction was for significant Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2024 due to subsiding inflation.
"in mid 2023 the consensus was that we would see steep better Reserve Bank interest rate Cuts coming in 2024 as inflation subsides"
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy
Pending
The Federal Reserve's earlier statements indicating the end of the inflation fight led to widespread optimism for numerous interest rate cuts in 2024, a prediction that proved incorrect.
"The reason why so many people were optimistic about so many interest rate Cuts in 2024 was because the Federal Reserve Bank essentially said that the inflation fight was over well turn out it's not it wasn't a tell a couple of months ago"
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy
Pending
The economy is currently in a correction phase, which the speaker defines as the Federal Reserve attempting to rectify its actions from 2020-2022.
"we're going through a correction phase in our economy and by correction what I mean by that is the Federal Reserve Bank is trying to correct what they did back in 2020 2021 and into 2022"
Economic Correction Phase
Pending
The speaker believes there will be some economic pain resulting from the current economic correction, though this is presented as a personal opinion.
"Now is there going to be economic pain from this again everybody has an opinion I believe that we are going to see some economic pain from this but that's just my opinion"
Economic Pain
Pending
Recessions are a factual occurrence in the economy, and individuals should aim to succeed regardless of market conditions.
"our economy goes through recessions that's a fact and well you want to be able to win when markets are up and down"
Recessions
Pending
Inflation is predicted to persist as an inherent part of the economic system.
"inflation is going to continue to happen it is a part of our economic system and it's going to continue to happen"
Inflation
Pending
Investing inherently involves risk, and losses are possible, meaning there is no guarantee of making money.
"and you got to understand that investing has risks you're never guaranteed to make money when you invest in fact you will lose money at some point"
Investing Risks
Pending
Asset owners are expected to continue to profit, leading to an increasing wealth gap between the financially educated and those who are not.
"the asset owners are going to continue to win you're going to see a bigger divide between the financially educated and those who are not"
Wealth Creation
Pending
The cost of goods and services increased by an estimated 25% over the past five years.
"the cost of things over the last 5 years have grown by 25%"
Cost of Living Increase
Pending
Incomes are estimated to have risen by 22% over the last five years, based on Social Security cost of living adjustments.
"incomes have risen Over The Last 5 Years how much much well we're not actually going to know until at least next year so instead of looking at income data between 2019 and 2024 I'm going to look at the Social Security cost of living adjustments because every single year the Social Security Administration increases how much money a social security beneficiary receives because the cost of living has gone up year after year after year after year after year and if we take a look at the Social Security increases between 2019 and 2024 we will see that the cost of income the social social security has gone up by around 22% over the last 5 years so we'll just say that incomes have risen by 22% Over The Last 5 Years"
Income Growth
Pending
Investors saw an approximate 70% increase in wealth over the last five years, correlating with the S&P 500's growth.
"if you take a look at the S&P 500 which grew just over 70% Over The Last 5 Years we'll say the investors gained about 70% in wealth over the last 5 years"
Investor Wealth Growth
Pending
Following the end of the gold standard in 1971, the US dollar's value decreased as it became fiat currency, enabling the government to spend more freely.
"after 1971 the dollar was no longer backed by physical gold the dollar essentially just became pieces of paper and now the United States government had the ability to kind of spend whatever amount of money they want"
Dollar Devaluation
Pending
Unlimited money printing without constraints devalues the currency.
"when now you have this unlimited money printing with no constraints of how much you can print that Dev values the currency"
Government Spending and Money Printing
Pending
The US government injected $5 trillion in stimulus to boost the economy, consumers, and businesses during the pandemic.
"the United States government spent $5 trillion just on pandemic stimulus to stimulate the economy to stimulate the American Consumer to stimulate the businesses in America"
Pandemic Stimulus Spending
Pending
The $5 trillion in stimulus created between 2020-2021 exceeded the total tax revenue generated by the US government in 2019.
"$5 trillion created between 2020 and 2021 is more than how much the United States government generated in taxes in 2019"
US Economy Size vs. Stimulus
Pending
The US government's stimulus created an amount equivalent to approximately 25% of the nation's annual GDP ($21 trillion) out of thin air.
"the United States government stimulated our economy by creating essentially 25% of our entire wealth out of the air because this $21 trillion of GDP $21 trillion of economy that's how much money our United States economy generates after an entire year of working"
US GDP and Stimulus
Pending
The Federal Reserve has explicitly stated a target of 2% inflation, indicating a preference for inflation rather than zero inflation.
"the feder bank makes it very clear they say that they want a target of 2% inflation they don't say that they want 0% inflation they say that they want 2% inflation which means that they still want inflation"
Federal Reserve Inflation Target
Pending
The Federal Reserve is attempting to reverse the effects of the extensive money printing and stimulus measures implemented previously.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is trying to undo what they did here when we saw this massive money printing when we saw all these stimuluses happening"
Federal Reserve Actions
Pending
The Federal Reserve is actively combating inflation by significantly increasing interest rates.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has been working now to fight inflation how are they working to fight inflation well number one they've raised interest rates significantly"
Federal Reserve Inflation Fight
Pending
The Federal Reserve is implementing quantitative tightening, a process aimed at reducing the amount of money in circulation.
"number two the Federal Reserve Bank has been doing what's called quantitative tightening which is a fancy way to say that they're trying to essentially get rid of some of the money out there"
Quantitative Tightening
Pending
The Federal Reserve's objective is to reduce inflation to a 2% target, meaning prices will still increase, but at a slower rate.
"the goal is to cool down inflation meaning bring inflation down to the 2% Target that means they still want the prices of things to rise just not as fast as they were before"
Federal Reserve's Goal for Inflation
Pending
True wealth is not achievable solely through a high salary; diversification away from earned income is necessary.
"the way that you do that is not by earning a big salary I don't care how much money you make I don't care what you do I don't care if you are making $50,000 a year I don't care if you're a doctor making $500,000 a year I don't care if you're an NBA player making $5 million a year or even $50 million a year you're never going to become truly wealthy until you start diversifying away from your own income that you have to work to earn"
Wealth vs. Salary
Pending
If one stops working, their income ceases, making it impossible to maintain their current lifestyle without alternative financial resources.
"eventually you might want to retire eventually you might want to stop working and if you stop working and the income stops coming into you well now you no longer have money to keep living that same Lifestyle"
Retirement and Income Dependency
Pending
Maintaining a lifestyle after ceasing work requires ownership of real assets.
"the only way you can keep living that lifestyle is if you own some real assets"
Asset Ownership for Wealth
Pending
To succeed in the economy regardless of market conditions, one needs distinct strategies for both upward and downward market trends.
"the way you win is by understanding now how do you win no matter what happens and the way that you do that is number one you have a strategy to win when markets are going up and number two you have a strategy to win when markets go down"
Winning in the Economy
Pending
Falling asset prices present an opportunity to purchase those assets at a reduced cost.
"when asset prices fall that creates a good opportunity for you to go out and buy more of those assets at a discounted price"
Investing in Downturns
Pending
To capitalize on discounted assets during market downturns, individuals must possess both capital and financial education to make informed investment decisions.
"but in order for you to do that you need to have money and you have to be financially educated to know what to invest"
Financial Education and Preparedness
Pending
A savings cushion of 3 to 12 months is recommended for financial protection against unexpected events, such as job loss.
"you want to have somewhere between the 3 to 12 months worth of savings cushion to protect you financially against something bad happening against losing your income"
Emergency Savings
Pending
A passive investing system involves automatically investing funds weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly into portfolios of index funds, mutual funds, or ETFs.
"you have a passive investing system where now every week every two weeks maybe every month some money is going to automatically be invested if you're investing in stocks it's going to automatically be invested into your portfolio of index funds into your portfolio of mutual funds or into your portfolio of ETFs"
Passive Investing System
Pending
The recommended passive investing strategy should be maintained for decades, not just short-term periods.
"this strategy is something you want to do not for 6 months not even for 6 years you want to do this strategy for decades"
Long-Term Investing Strategy
Pending
Investing in diversified funds (index funds, ETFs, mutual funds), despite a small fee, provides exposure to a wide range of stocks, reducing individual company risk.
"invest your money into funds pay a little fee because every fund whether it's an index fund ETF or mutual fund is going to cost you a fee pay a little bit of a fee and just invest your money there that we get invested into a broad portfolio of stocks whether it's dozens of stocks or hundreds of stocks maybe even thousands of stocks"
Diversified Investment Funds
Pending
Consistent investing should occur regardless of market performance, whether it is good, okay, or bad.
"you keep investing when the Market's good you keep investing when the Market's okay you keep investing when the Market's bad you keep investing"
Continuous Investing
Pending
During market downturns, continue investing in funds and deploy additional cash reserves to acquire assets at lower prices.
"when markets go down you keep investing here into this fund and then you take this other pile of cash that you had and now you start dumping this into the markets when the Market's down that way you can stack up and load up on your assets when they're cheap"
Opportunity in Market Downturns
Pending