The Fed Says They Beat Inflation (Almost)
Published: 2024-06-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-06-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve Bank may cut interest rates fewer times in 2024 than previously anticipated.
"and they might not cut interest rates as many times as you thought in 2024."
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Jerome Powell suggests only one or two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, likely closer to one.
"Now what Jerome Powell is saying is maybe we'll cut it one time, maybe two times in 2024, but probably closer to the one time."
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The exact timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts remains uncertain, despite some insights provided.
"So, for you people that are wondering when is the Federal Reserve Bank going to cut interest rates, we don't know, but he gave us some insight on that."
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The Federal Reserve is expected to increase the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025.
"But what Joan Powell did say which was interesting is that they are anticipating ramping up interest rate cuts in 2025."
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The projection for interest rate cuts in 2025 has been revised upwards from three to potentially four.
"Right now what was projected was three interest rate cuts in 2025. Now he says it might be closer to four interest rate cuts in 2025."
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The latest CPI inflation figure was 3.3%, which is lower than the expected 3.4%.
"CPI at 3.3% versus the expectation was 3.4%. That means inflation was expected to come in at 3.4% over the last year. It actually came in at 3.3% which is lower than expectations"
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Car insurance and shelter costs were the sectors with the highest inflation.
"The top two places where inflation was the highest was car insurance and shelter costs."
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Rental car prices, toy prices, and used vehicle prices have seen the most significant deflation, contributing to lower overall inflation.
"But if you look at the bottom places where inflation is the lowest, where it's negative inflation, where the price of things are falling to to lower the overall inflation number, where inflation has come down the most, number one, rental car prices. Number two, toy prices. And number three is used vehicles."
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Large corporations and commercial landlords with significant debt will face debt readjustments in late 2024, 2025, and 2026.
"And you have a lot of institutional investors. You have a lot of big corporations. You have a lot of big commercial landlords that are sitting on millions if not billions of dollars of debt that are now going to start readjusting 2024, later this year, 2025, and 2026."
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The US economy historically experiences a recession and a downturn in asset prices every decade.
"Every decade, the United States economy goes through a recession. Every decade we see a downturn in asset prices."
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Individuals should establish a financial strategy that enables them to profit in both bull and bear markets.
"you want to make sure you have a financial system that allows you to win when markets are up and when markets are down."
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Holding cash is essential for capitalizing on investment opportunities when they arise.
"you have to have cash to be able to go out and capitalize on investment opportunities"
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Economic downturns and market busts are a recurring pattern throughout history.
"the reality is things will go wrong. If you look at the history of our stock market, you look at the history of our economy, we know that our economy goes through booms and busts."
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