The TRUTH About The 2025 Economic "Crash"
Published: 2024-12-27
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-12-27
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The S&P 500 index saw an increase of over 87% in the five years leading up to the end of 2024.
"the stock market is up over 87% over the last 5 years"
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There are concerns about a potential economic downturn in the United States in 2025.
"recession fears are back in 20125 will there be big economic downturn in the United States next year"
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A recession in 2025 is a topic being discussed, with advice on how to prepare.
"recession 2025 what to watch and how to prepare"
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Decreased consumer confidence is increasing the probability of a recession in 2025.
"sinking consumer confidence raises odds of a 2025 recession"
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Following Donald Trump's election, there are expectations that he will implement policies to ensure economic growth.
"president-elect Donald Trump is going to be entering the White House and he has made some bold promises on how he's going to keep the economy booming"
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The US economy, measured by GDP, experienced approximately 35% growth in the five years leading up to the end of 2024.
"our economy or GDP grew by around 35% over the last 5 years"
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The US national debt increased by approximately 59% in the five years leading up to the end of 2024.
"our national debt over the last 5 years has grown by 59%"
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The median household income in the US grew by slightly less than 20% in the five years leading up to the end of 2024.
"the median household income in America has grown by a little bit under 20%"
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Jerome Powell stated that the US government's spending trajectory is unsustainable due to debt growing at a faster rate than the economy.
"the United States government's spending path is unsustainable able because our debt levels are growing so much faster than the economy"
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Jerome Powell clarified that the current level of US debt is not unsustainable, but the path of its growth is.
"the debt is not as an unsustainable level but the path is unsustainable"
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The economy is not growing faster than the national debt, which is a concern.
"we just need the economy to grow faster than than the debt and that's not happening"
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The US is experiencing significant budget deficits despite having full employment and strong economic growth.
"we're running very large budget deficits at a time of Full Employment and strong growth"
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Government deficit spending has been a contributing factor to the increase in US GDP.
"the United States government has been increasing GDP by racking up this deficit spending"
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US GDP growth is not keeping pace with the rate at which national debt is increasing.
"the GDP isn't growing fast enough to keep up with the debt because like we can see right here our debt levels are Rising much faster than the economy"
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The United States is described as a world superpower with the strongest economy, government, and military.
"the United States is the world superpower the United States has the world strongest economy the United States has the world strongest government the United States has the world strongest military"
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Historically, strong economies have declined due to excessive spending and money printing not supported by economic growth.
"we have seen major strong economies rise and fall due to spending too much money when you don't have an economy that's supporting all of that money printing"
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There is a prediction that Donald Trump's economic policies could significantly increase the national deficit and debt.
"some people are saying that Trump's economic proposals are going to explode the national deficit and they're going to make the national debt a whole lot higher"
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Conversely, some believe that Trump's proposals, including those related to Doge, could lead to a reduction in the national deficit and debt.
"other people are saying that Trump's new proposals with things like Doge are going to reduce the national deficit and maybe even start paying down the national debt"
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The economic outlook for the upcoming year is uncertain, with possibilities of both a recession and economic boom.
"we don't know if we're going to see a recession or if the econom is going to Boom"
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The future performance of the stock market is unpredictable, with potential for both significant growth and a crash.
"we don't know if the stock market is going to Boom or if it's going to crash"
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A market crash and a recession are expected to occur in the future.
"we will see a market crash we will see a recession"
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Given the historical frequency of recessions (16 in the last 100 years), another one is anticipated.
"we've seen 16 recessions over the last 100 years we have another one coming"
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Despite short-term fluctuations, the stock market has experienced consistent growth over long periods.
"markets go up and down yet the stock market has boomed year after year after year decade after decade after decade"
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It is understood that markets experience both increases and decreases, and inflation is a recurring economic factor.
"we know markets go up we know markets go down we also know inflation happens"
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Inflation in the US has been approximately 23% over the past five years.
"Over The Last 5 Years inflation has been around 23%"
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The current economic system is structured in a way that favors investors.
"our economic system is designed to benefit investors"
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Both market upturns and downturns are expected to occur.
"we will see Market Ups we will see Market downs"
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Long-term debt cycles occur approximately every 50 to 100 years, meaning an individual might only experience one in their lifetime.
"this long-term debt cycle if it happens every 50 to 100 years you might only live through one"
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The dynamics of short-term debt cycle recessions are understood, as demonstrated by the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.
"we've seen how these short-term debt cycle recessions work we not it happened with 2008 with the great financial crisis"
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In 2019, Ray Dalio indicated that the current long-term debt cycle was in its late stages.
"back in 2019 Ray doio said that we are very late in this debt cycle"
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