Rec
Recession
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 8
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
A recession (checkmate) could occur if the Federal Reserve is unable to simultaneously manage both unemployment and inflation.
"So unemployment and inflation, the Fed can only fight one at a time. If not, that's checkmate, aka r..."
Mar 20, 2026
Pending
A recession is likely to occur soon, as the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yield curve is currently steepening, a historical precursor to recessions.
"When the 10 and 2-year Treasury bonds gets steeper, like right now, it almost always happens right b..."
Sep 11, 2025
Incorrect
The economy is currently in a recession.
"I think we're already in a recession because household debt is stretched. Credit card balances are a..."
Sep 9, 2025
Incorrect
The US government will prevent a recession from lasting longer than a few months.
"The United States government cannot allow a recession to last longer than a few months."
Aug 8, 2025
Correct
A recession has a solid chance of starting in 2025.
"you'll begin to see that there's a solid chance that a recession officially starts this year"
Mar 19, 2025
Incorrect
There is a 40% chance of a recession.
"poly Market odds of recession at 40% as well as JP Morgan who are not you know came out with an esti..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
A recession and market crash will occur in the future, but the exact timing is unknown.
"we will see a market crash we will see a recession when I don't know we've seen 16 recessions over t..."
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
There will be another recession.
"I know we're going to see another recession"
Nov 25, 2024
Pending
A recession is predicted due to the unemployment rate jumping to 4.3%, triggering the SOM rule.
"And now because unemployment jumped up to 4.3% the SOM rule now says that we are going to see a rece..."
Aug 3, 2024
Pending
Another recession will occur, but the timing is unknown.
"we are going to see another recession. I will guarantee you that. But nobody knows when."
May 25, 2024
Pending
The US economy is likely already in a recession, but official data revisions will only confirm this after the election.
"we're probably already in a recession it's just that the numbers don't reveal that yet they may have..."
Apr 21, 2024
Pending
A recession has been delayed but is still expected to occur.
"Economist David Rosenberg has said that the recession has been delayed but not derailed come to thin..."
Mar 10, 2024
Pending
A recession is likely to occur when the Federal Reserve starts to lower interest rates, based on historical data.
"when the FED lowers rates because when they do that means they see pain ahead a possible recession a..."
Feb 2, 2024
Incorrect