Rec
Recession
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 51
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The speaker predicts the possibility of a deep global recession lasting one to two years or more.
"But we could also be headed into a recession like a deep global recession that could last a year or ..."
Dec 14, 2025
Pending
Predicted that a recession is guaranteed to happen at some point, though the timing is unknown.
"I guarantee a recession's going to ... I can bet you whatever amount of money you want. You just don..."
Dec 6, 2025
Pending
Predicted a recession will occur much further off than 2026.
"at the end of every business cycle, we do get a recession, right? Like it's part of the business cyc..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes the US is already in a recession, with the labor market performing worse than officially reported.
"I believe that the labor market is worse than what the government has been reporting. I believe that..."
Oct 27, 2025
Incorrect
A steepening yield curve between the 10 and 2-year Treasury bonds, as observed currently, is a strong predictor of an impending recession.
"When the 10 and 2-year Treasury bonds gets steeper, like right now, it almost always happens right b..."
Sep 11, 2025
Correct
Another recession is inevitable, the only question is when it will occur.
"Recessions are a part of our economic system. Over the last 100 years, we have seen 16 recessions. S..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
Another recession is inevitable, the question is only when it will occur.
"Recessions are a part of our economic system. Over the last 100 years, we have seen 16 recessions. S..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur later in the year due to ongoing tariffs.
"a recession will take place later in the year due to ongoing tariffs."
Jun 17, 2025
Incorrect
A recession is predicted to occur between 2025 and 2035.
"We don't know when it's going to happen. We don't know if it's going to happen in 2025 or 2028 or 20..."
May 21, 2025
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur, and it's a matter of 'when' rather than 'if'.
"a recession is 100% coming it's not a matter of if it's a matter of when recessions happen period"
Mar 6, 2025
Pending
A recession and market crash are predicted to occur eventually, as they are inherent parts of the economic system.
"the concern that I have is we will eventually see a recession we will eventually see a market crash ..."
Dec 30, 2024
Pending
Predicted that a recession is unlikely as long as initial jobless claims remain below 300,000.
"as long as it's below 300K I I don't really think it's a recession"
Dec 22, 2024
Pending
The timing of a potential recession in 2025, 2026, or within the next decade is uncertain.
"we don't know what's going to happen in 20125 we could see a recession in 2025 we could see a recess..."
Dec 19, 2024
Pending
The speaker predicts a recession will occur.
"we are going to see a recession"
Nov 28, 2024
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur at some point in the future, and opportunities will arise for those who can identify market shifts.
"There will be a recession. Nobody knows when, but there will always be opportunities if you can iden..."
Nov 1, 2024
Pending
The current recession may be nearing its end.
"it's theoretically possible that the recession is already close to being over"
Aug 11, 2024
Pending
A recession is considered a possibility.
"it seems like a recession cannot be ruled out just yet"
Aug 6, 2024
Pending
Based on the SAM rule and a 4.3% unemployment rate, a recession is predicted.
"And this SOM rule has predicted every recession since the early 1970s. And now because unemployment ..."
Aug 3, 2024
Pending
An economic pullback is predicted to occur.
"the bank UPS said yesterday that a economic pullback is likely ahead"
Aug 2, 2024
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur, but the timing is uncertain.
"we're going to have a recession. It's a fact. I just don't know when."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
A recession is guaranteed to occur, but the timing is unknown.
"So, I will guarantee you that. But nobody knows when."
May 25, 2024
Pending
A recession is predicted to occur in the future.
"we will see a recession in the future"
May 19, 2024
Pending
The current economic situation, with existing high inflation, makes escaping a recession more painful than in past instances like 2008 or 2020, where inflation was not a primary concern.
"we never really had an "inflation issue going into a recession "like going into the 2008 financial "..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Historically, recessions have led to declines in asset prices like stocks and real estate.
"financially Savvy who are paying attention to this are hearing okay well "if there's a recession com..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
A future recession could be more severe than previous ones due to the potential inability of the government to provide aid or bailouts.
"this time we may not be able to do it "again which means we're going to go "through a recession wher..."
Apr 23, 2024
Pending
Significant weakness in employment data could signal an upcoming recession.
"this could signal an upcoming recession"
Jan 15, 2024
Pending
Historically, 11 out of 14 Federal Reserve rate hiking cycles in the US have resulted in a recession.
"the last 14 times the Federal Reserve Bank has gone through a rate hiking cycle in the United States..."
Sep 30, 2023
Pending
Historically, 11 out of 14 Federal Reserve rate-hiking cycles have resulted in a recession.
"over the last 14 rate hiking cycles that the Federal Reserve Bank has done made in the last 14 times..."
Sep 27, 2023
Pending
There is a significant risk of a global recession within 12-18 months, and financial markets may be underestimating this possibility in the US.
"the risk of a global recession over the next 12 to 18 months is close to a coin flip and financial m..."
Sep 20, 2023
Pending
A chart predicts a 60% chance of a US recession by this time next year.
"this chart is currently predicting the chance of a U.S recession at 60 percent by this time next yea..."
Sep 20, 2023
Pending
Historically, yield curve inversions have preceded recessions by up to 18 months.
"prior yield curve inversions have taken as long as 18 months before a recession hit the economy"
Sep 20, 2023
Pending
Based on historical averages, a recession is not expected until the middle of the following year.
"assuming we fall into historic averages we wouldn't see a recession until the middle of next year"
Sep 20, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve's desire for labor market softening is interpreted by some as an indication that they still anticipate or desire a recession.
"some would say that this means the FED still wants to see a recession"
Aug 1, 2023
Pending
The general consensus is that a recession is unlikely due to the economy's continued resilience despite higher interest rates.
"the general consensus now seems to be no despite all the calls for slower growth the economy is cont..."
Jul 26, 2023
Pending
The banking turmoil is expected to lead to a mild recession towards the end of 2023.
"the effects of the banking turmoil would likely lead to a mild recession later this year a mild rece..."
Apr 14, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve officially confirmed a recession is likely in 2023.
"the FED is now officially confirmed that a recession is now likely to happen in 2023"
Apr 14, 2023
Pending
Elon Musk anticipates a challenging recession in 2023.
"Elon Musk is bracing for a painful recession throughout 2023."
Dec 5, 2022
Pending
Economists are warning of a bad recession in 2023.
"economists are warning us that next year the 2023 recession is about to get bad"
Nov 14, 2022
Pending
The Federal Reserve tends to adjust its policy pace only after unemployment has risen and a recession has already occurred.
"they often begin to change their Pace once unemployment is already increased and once a recession is..."
Nov 2, 2022
Pending
The Bureau of Economic Analysis will officially announce if the US is in a recession on July 28th at 8:30 AM, based on the second quarter's advance estimate. A negative number will confirm a recession.
"this week on Thursday July 28 at 8 30 a.m We will know finally and officially whether we're in a rec..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
The speaker believes that if a recession is officially declared, it means the US has likely already been in one for the past six months, due to the backward-looking nature of GDP data.
"but the truth of what it actually means is that we will have already been in a recession for the las..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
The National Bureau of Economic Research's (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee is identified as the official body for determining what constitutes a recession.
"the business cycle dating committee is the official scorekeeper is for what a recession actually is"
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
The speaker cites the White House suggesting that even two consecutive quarters of negative GDP might not necessarily indicate a recession.
"based on my wonderful logic a may not even equal B at all based on these data it is unlikely that th..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
Recession fears are leading consumers to spend less, causing economic slowdown and mass layoffs.
"fear of a recession it's not surprising that during a time like this consumers spend less they cut b..."
Jun 13, 2022
Pending
Recession fears are more prevalent in the US compared to India.
"recession fears which which people are having more in the us rather than in india"
Jun 13, 2022
Pending
Recession fears are more prevalent in the US compared to India.
"recession fears which which people are having more in the us rather than in india"
Jun 13, 2022
Pending
Rising interest rates are predicted to increase business financing costs, leading to cutbacks and a higher likelihood of a recession.
"the more it costs businesses to finance their operations and the more likely we are to see them cut ..."
Jun 10, 2022
Pending
A recession is highly probable.
"it's all but confirmed that we're very likely to head towards a recession"
Jun 1, 2022
Pending
A mild recession is predicted for 2023.
"they're predicting a mild recession in 2023"
May 31, 2022
Pending
The transcript notes that the US economy is halfway to a technical recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, with the first quarter of decline already recorded.
"technically if we're getting into the nitty-gritty a recession is defined as two consecutive quarter..."
Apr 29, 2022
Pending