ilmscore | BREAKING: Federal Reserve Freezes Rates, Downplays Recession, Market Skyrockets!

BREAKING: Federal Reserve Freezes Rates, Downplays Recession, Market Skyrockets!

Published: 2025-03-19
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 2
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicts a recurring pattern of market fluctuations tied to tariff announcements, extensions, and retaliations, with temporary agreements leading to market recovery.
"Trump either gives a temporary extension in which case the market goes up or Trump follows through with his tariffs and the market goes down other country then retaliates with their own tariffs so Trump doubles his tariffs as a punishment Market goes down even more but 24 to 48 hours later a temporary agreement is reached and the market goes back up again"
Tariffs and Market Volatility
Correct
The Atlanta Federal Reserve estimated a 2.4% decline in Q1 GDP, which would mark the first contraction since 2022.
"the Atlanta Federal Reserve estimated that first quarter GDP May decline by an annualized adjusted rate of 2.4% which would be the first contraction since 2022"
Recession Risk
Incorrect
J.P. Morgan estimates a 40% probability of a recession due to US policies.
"JP Morgan put their current recession odds at 40% owing to extreme US policies"
Recession Risk
Incorrect
Predicts potential interest rate cuts of 25 basis points over the summer and another by winter, contingent on continued price decreases.
"we could end up seeing a 25 basis point rate cut over the summer and perhaps another by winter depending on if prices continue on their downward Trend"
Interest Rate Cuts
Incorrect
Suggests that if inflation does not trend downwards, interest rates may remain elevated for an extended period.
"we're probably going to see higher rates for longer"
Interest Rate Cuts
Correct
Expresses low confidence in the likelihood of proposed tax breaks for Americans earning under $150,000 per year being enacted.
"the chance of this actually going through is Slim to non-existant"
Tax Policy
Pending
Considers the proposal for a $5 million 'gold card' for US citizenship to be unlikely to materialize as presented.
"the likelihood of this actually going through as much as I like it is probably not worth seriously considering"
Citizenship for Investment
Pending
Anticipates that proposed economic policies and tariff threats will likely be significantly moderated or resolved through negotiation rather than fully implemented as initially stated.
"anything that gets proposed is probably going to be watered down through Congress a lot of things get over promised tax breaks are probably going to be a lot more modest than a lot of people expect and tariff threats are probably just going to be a back and forth negotiation until eventually everything gets resolved"
Economic Policy
Correct
Predicts two minor interest rate cuts will occur within the current year.
"I bet we probably see two small rate cuts at some point this year"
Interest Rate Cuts
Incorrect