ilmscore | The Bond Market Just Broke The Fed

The Bond Market Just Broke The Fed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 5
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 0.5% to stimulate the economy.
"So to save the economy, the Federal Reserve might come in and cut interest rates by as much as half a percent."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Incorrect
UK 30-year government bond yields are at their highest point since 1998.
"Over in the UK, for example, the yield on their 30-year government bond is the highest level since 1998."
UK Bond Yields
Correct
Sustained high borrowing costs will lead to stalled or declining home prices.
"So, if borrowing costs stay this high for this long, home prices will either have to stall or come down."
Housing Market
Correct
Home prices are predicted to either stagnate, grow by 1-2%, or decline due to increased inventory from rate-locked owners selling.
"At best home prices will stay flat or they'll grow at 1 to 2%. And at worst, we might see deflation as rate locked owners list their homes, which could flood the market with more inventory, which puts downward pressure on home prices."
Housing Market
Correct
Bitcoin's long-term price is expected to rise, mirroring gold's trend, as it is an asset outside government balance sheets and unaffected by government borrowing cycles.
"Over the long term though, Bitcoin follows gold. And if governments are forced into endless borrowing cycles with higher deficits, which is what they're doing, Bitcoin is one of the few assets that is not tied to that government balance sheet because it's outside that system. So, the price in the long term should go up."
Bitcoin
Pending
Increased social unrest, geopolitical issues, division, and a widening wealth gap are predicted to occur irrespective of recession status.
"Regardless if we're in a recession or not, I think there's going to be more social unrest, more geopolitical issues, more division, the wealth gap will get bigger and bigger."
Social and Geopolitical Trends
Correct
A future is envisioned where capital growth outpaces labor income, and traditional work becomes secondary due to advancements in robotics and automation.
"I think there is this weird future where money will make more money faster than labor ever will. Especially with everything that we know that's coming with robotics and automation, working might be a secondary thing."
Future of Work and Investment
Correct