ilmscore | 2025 Stock Market Outlook: Crash or Boom?

2025 Stock Market Outlook: Crash or Boom?

Predictions from this Video

Total: 20
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 20
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Goldman Sachs projects a 3% annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next decade.
"Goldman Sachs forecast that over the next decade the S&P 500 will yield an annualized return of just 3%."
SPX
Pending
Goldman Sachs forecasts a 10% growth for the S&P 500 in 2025.
"Goldman Sachs recently published this article on their website where they said the S&P 500 will grow by 10% in 2025."
SPX
Pending
Goldman Sachs predicts a 3% annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next decade.
"Goldman Sachs forecast that over the next decade the S&P 500 will yield an annualized return of just 3%."
SPX
Pending
For passive investors in the S&P 500, the strategy is to consistently buy regardless of external factors, as the stock market is expected to rise long-term.
"if your game is I'm just going to invest into the S&P 500 then you don't have to worry about all the things that are happening with the financial markets you don't have to worry about who's in the White House you don't have to worry about all this other noise that's just noise that what you do is just AB always be buying it doesn't matter if it's raining outside it doesn't matter who's in the white house it doesn't doesn't matter what's happening in the world you just keep buying because we know that the stock market goes up over the long term."
SPX
Pending
Goldman Sachs forecasts 10% growth for the S&P 500 in 2025.
"Goldman Sachs recently published this article on their website where they said the S&P 500 will grow by 10% in 2025."
SPX
Pending
The US national debt is growing at a faster rate than the US economy.
"our national debt in the United States is growing even faster than our economy."
US National Debt
Pending
The speaker believes a recession and market crash are inevitable at some point due to the nature of economic systems.
"The concern that I have is we will eventually see a recession we will eventually see a market crash when I don't know but we know it will happen because recessions and Market crashes are a part of our economic system."
Market Downturn
Pending
A recession and market crash are predicted to occur eventually, as they are inherent parts of the economic system.
"the concern that I have is we will eventually see a recession we will eventually see a market crash when I don't know but we know it will happen because recessions and Market crashes are a part of our economic system."
Recession
Pending
Many investors, especially younger ones, have unrealistic expectations for market returns (20-50% annually), while historical averages are around 10%, potentially leaving them unprepared for downturns.
"if that next downturn happens the first issue is we have a lot of debt which is a problem but the second issue is we have a lot of younger people which are entering the markets which is good but a lot of people are under this belief that market should continue going up by 20 30 40 50% a year and that's what's normal when in reality over the last 100 years the stock market has averaged 10% a year per year over the last 100 years."
Market Downturn Preparedness
Pending
Historically, the stock market has averaged a 10% annual return over the past 100 years.
"over the last 100 years the stock market has averaged 10% a year per year over the last 100 years."
Stock Market Average Returns
Pending
President-elect Trump plans to implement broad tariffs globally to fund significant tax cuts in the US, representing a major economic shift for 2025.
"president-elect Trump has talked about imposing wide sweeping tariffs on countries around the world which would be essentially a new tax and one of the reasons why he wants to do that is to fund big tax breaks here in the United States which is also a big economic change that we could be seeing in 2025."
US Economic Policy
Pending
Stock markets are cyclical and experience both upward and downward movements.
"we know markets go up and we know markets go down."
Stock Market Cycles
Pending
Trump intends to pursue deregulation, particularly in financial services, which could benefit banks and potentially boost their stock prices.
"Trump has also talked pretty widely about deregulation for example deregulating the financial service industries that includes companies like banks on Wall Street which would make it easier for them to do business and potentially make more money which could help those companies make bigger profits and could help those stocks."
US Economic Policy
Pending
The US national debt is growing faster than the economy, and the stock market is growing faster than the economy.
"our economy is growing at one speed our national debt is growing significantly faster than that and then the markets are growing faster than our economy."
US Economy vs. National Debt
Pending
There's a potential conflict in 2025 as Trump desires lower interest rates, while Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicates they are not planning aggressive rate cuts due to persistent inflation.
"Trump has been advocating for lower interest rates in the economy but the interesting part about the interest rates is our interest rates are not set by the government they're set by the Federal Reserve Bank which is not a federal entity they says so on their website and so Trump on one hand says he wants lower interest rates but Jerome Powell has been talking about how the Federal Reserve Bank is not planning on cutting interest rates aggressively in 2025."
Interest Rate Policy
Pending
The stock market declined following the Federal Reserve's admission that inflation remains a concern, suggesting fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than Trump might advocate for.
"the stock market just took a nose dive because the Federal Reserve Bank just admitted that inflation is apparently still a problem and he should ignore everything that Trump says and expect less interest rate Cuts in 2025 because apparently inflation is still a problem."
Inflation and Interest Rates
Pending
President-elect Trump plans to implement broad tariffs globally to fund tax breaks in the US, representing a significant economic shift for 2025.
"president-elect Trump has talked about imposing wide sweeping tariffs on countries around the world which would be essentially a new tax and one of the reasons why he wants to do that is to fund big tax breaks here in the United States which is also a big economic change that we could be seeing in 2025."
Trump's Economic Policies
Pending
Donald Trump intends to pursue deregulation, particularly in financial services and Wall Street, to facilitate business operations and potentially increase profits for these companies.
"Trump has also talked pretty widely about deregulation for example deregulating the financial service industries that includes companies like banks on Wall Street which would make it easier for them to do business and potentially make more money."
Trump's Deregulation Policy
Pending
A potential conflict is anticipated in 2025 between President Trump's desire for lower interest rates and the Federal Reserve's, led by Jerome Powell, indication of not aggressively cutting rates.
"Trump on one hand says he wants lower interest rates but Jerome Powell has been talking about how the Federal Reserve Bank is not planning on cutting interest rates aggressively in 2025 which is going to create for some interesting entertainment on 2025 with whatever happens between the White House and the better Reserve Bank."
Interest Rates (Fed vs. Trump)
Pending
The Federal Reserve acknowledges that inflation remains a problem, leading to expectations of fewer interest rate cuts in 2025.
"the stock market just took a nose dive because the Federal Reserve Bank just admitted that inflation is apparently still a problem and he should ignore everything that Trump says and expect less interest rate Cuts in 2025 because apparently inflation is still a problem."
Inflation
Pending