What Happens to the Housing Market if Mortgage Rates Stay High?
Published: 2024-06-28
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2024-06-28
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 2
Prediction
Topic
Status
Kathy predicts job growth will slow down, leading the Fed to resume rate cuts, with mortgage rates likely declining either in 2024 or 2025.
"I am predicting along with Logan that it's going to start to slow down and we're already seeing wage growth slow down so when the FED has some confirmation that we're not going to be just on this train ride of you know the the economic train that's been moving so fast and so Speedy in creating inflation um once they see that slowing down then we'll get back on that rate cutting plan and and mortgage you know mortgages will likely come down too so that's my prediction is that they will come down and it if it's not this year it'll be next year and no one can predict exactly when that will be"
Correct
James predicts interest rates will start ticking down by the end of 2024.
"you know I still think rates are going to start ticking down towards the end of the year"
Correct
Dave predicts that 30-year fixed mortgage rates, which were around 7% in April 2024, will be between 6.25% and 6.75% by the end of 2024, but not drop into the fives.
"I do think by the end of the year we'll be somewhere between let's say 6.25 and 6.75 so that they're going to come down a little bit but not into the fives"
Correct
Henry predicts that a subset of people will continue to be priced out of homeownership due to rising prices and rents, despite some wage growth.
"it's hard not to think it's going to be more difficult because we just keep seeing prices climb we keep seeing rents climb and yes there are more jobs out there and people are getting more high-paying jobs and that's going to help some of the affordability but I think there is there's going to be a subset of people who continue to be priced out of being able to to buy a home"
Correct
James predicts real estate investors will continue to be active, provided they adapt their strategies and put in the necessary effort.
"I think investors will continue to buy I think they're going to have to buy differently and if they want to put in the time and work then the activity will go on"
Correct
Kathy predicts that slowing job and wage growth will lead the Fed to resume rate cuts, causing mortgage rates to come down either by the end of 2024 or 2025.
"I am predicting along with Logan that it's going to start to slow down and we're already seeing wage growth slow down so when the FED has some confirmation that we're not going to be just on this train ride of you know the the economic train that's been moving so fast and so Speedy in creating inflation um once they see that slowing down then we'll get back on that rate cutting plan and and mortgage you know mortgages will likely come down too so that's my prediction is that they will come down and it if it's not this year it'll be next year"
Correct
James predicts mortgage rates will start to decrease by the end of 2024.
"I still think rates are going to start ticking down towards the end of the year"
Correct
Dave Meyer predicts 30-year fixed mortgage rates will be between 6.25% and 6.75% by the end of 2024.
"I do think by the end of the year we'll be somewhere between let's say 6.25 and 6.75 so that they're going to come down a little bit but not into the fives"
Correct
Kathy predicts that the housing market will continue to experience an inventory shortage for an extended period.
"if I were to guess I would say we're going to continue to have this inventory problem for a while"
Correct
Henry predicts that a growing subset of people will continue to be priced out of homeownership due to climbing home prices and rents.
"it's hard not to think it's going to be more difficult because we just keep seeing prices climb we keep seeing rents climb... I think there is there's going to be a subset of people who continue to be priced out of being able to to buy a home"
Correct
James predicts that real estate investors will continue to acquire properties, but will need to adopt new, diversified buying strategies.
"I think investors will continue to buy I think they're going to have to buy differently"
Correct
James predicts that if another unexpected negative economic event ("Black Swan") occurs, there will be another significant exodus of real estate investors from the market.
"if there's anything else that happens to the economy which could happen right there's a lot of weird things ruin in the background then you'll see an exodus again"
Incorrect
30-year fixed mortgage rates, currently at 7% (as of April 8th, 2024), are predicted to be between 6.25% and 6.75% by the end of 2024.
"I do think by the end of the year we'll be somewhere between let's say 6.25 and 6.75 so that they're going to come down a little bit but not into the fives"
Correct
Mortgage rates are predicted to start declining towards the end of 2024.
"I still think rates are going to start ticking down towards the end of the year"
Correct
Mortgage rates are predicted to come down in either 2024 or 2025, following a slowdown in job and wage growth.
"mortgages will likely come down too so that's my prediction is that they will come down and it if it's not this year it'll be next year"
Pending
The housing market will not crash due to high interest rates, and prices are expected to continue increasing or remain strong.
"I thought pricing was going to have to come down and is going up... the concern about the interest rates that's going to crash the economy or the the housing market really isn't coming to fruition"
Correct
The housing market is predicted to remain strong due to continued high demand exceeding supply, despite high interest rates.
"housing will stay strong and we're seeing that right guys you're still seeing buyers all over the place"
Incorrect
The housing market will continue to face inventory problems for an extended period.
"if I were to guess I would say we're going to continue to have this inventory problem for a while"
Correct
The housing affordability problem is expected to persist for the foreseeable future.
"it does seem like it's here for at least the foreseeable future"
Correct
Real estate investors are predicted to continue purchasing properties, provided they adjust their investment strategies and exert sufficient effort.
"I think investors will continue to buy I think they're going to have to buy differently and if they want to put in the time and work then the activity will go on"
Pending
Real estate investors are predicted to exit the market again if unforeseen negative economic events occur.
"if there's anything else that happens to the economy which could happen right there's a lot of weird things ruin in the background then you'll see an exodus again"
Correct