ilmscore | A Window of Opportunity for Investors as Mortgage Rates Start to Fall

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Prediction
Topic
Status
Mortgage rates will continue to decrease through late 2024 and early 2025.
"we are seeing mortgage rates starting to come down a little bit uh there are signs that they may continue to come down by the end of the year and early into next year"
Mortgage Rates
Pending
Mortgage rates are unlikely to reach 5% or lower in the near future (from August 2024).
"if you're expecting you know 5% mortgage rate land like we're not going to be there you know probably anytime soon"
Mortgage Rates
Pending
The market is almost 100% pricing in a Fed rate cut in September 2024.
"the market certainly is um priced in almost 100% a rate cut in September"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending
The market has not fully priced in Fed rate cuts for December 2024 and early 2025.
"I don't think that Market has really priced in uh the cuts for next year so um certainly I think 100% uh capitalization of um of rate cuts for September uh not fully 100% for December and I I think very few for uh ear early next year"
Fed Rate Cuts
Pending
The spread between the 10-year Treasury and mortgage rates is expected to tighten, leading to lower mortgage rates.
"the spread between the 10 10year treasur uh and existing mortgage rates and that spread is at you know close to it's not all-time Highs but it's you know it's it's high right and so you know we could get some squeezing of that spread which would be welcome news certainly for um home buyers and and investors uh so even though the market may have priced in uh you know a lot you know of of the cuts that we may have this year uh you know that spread I think has room to uh to to to tighten a little bit"
Mortgage Rates
Pending
Housing inventory will soon reach or surpass its highest post-pandemic level.
"we are going to be approaching um you know the highest inventory level in a post-pandemic environment very soon if we're not already past that now you know you know real estate indicators are often lagged so it takes a little while to to figure out where we're at but um if we're not there now we will be there very very soon"
Housing Inventory
Pending
The Fed's actions will likely lead to a soft landing, avoiding a recession.
"it appears that the FED is going to grease this landing and not put the economy into a recession"
Economy
Pending
Southern US housing markets are 10-15% away from pre-pandemic inventory levels and will reach them sooner than the Midwest and Northeast, which are 40-45% below pre-pandemic levels and will take a longer time to recover.
"the South uh is just about to the level of inventory that they were before the P pandemic they're they're they're getting there they're they're the closest um they're about 10 to 15% away from being back to pre-pandemic levels uh but in other areas uh like the the Midwest and the Northeast you know they're still about 40 to 45% below uh pre pre- pandemic levels so that's going to take a while for um yeah for for them to uh to to recover"
Regional Housing Inventory
Pending
Over the next 6 months to a year (from August 2024), there will be a noticeable delay between falling interest rates and their full capitalization into housing prices.
"as rates come down again they're going to take the stairs down like we talked about not the elevator um but there is a delay usually from when rates come down and when the rate decreases are capitalized back into prices... we may see a... more pronounced window as rates come down here over the next six months to a year well where they haven't fully capitalized in in into prices"
Housing Prices & Interest Rates
Pending
The real estate investment environment is predicted to improve.
"it's it's looking like the investment uh environment is going to improve the climate is going to improve"
Real Estate Investment Environment
Pending