ilmscore | Episode 1,000: Real Estate Is Changing, and So Is BiggerPockets

Episode 1,000: Real Estate Is Changing, and So Is BiggerPockets

Published: 2024-08-05
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Prediction
Topic
Status
The extreme real estate market conditions of 2019-2021, characterized by a 12-fold increase on down payments and significantly reduced mortgage payments through refinancing, are not expected to reoccur.
"that's not going to happen that's the weirdest yes best return you're ever going to see in really any any type of asset class that is that is of any type of scale I mean it's just an absolutely absurd situation that's not going to happen"
Real Estate Market
Pending
The long-term inflation rate will be approximately 3.5% to 4%.
"I am willing to bet on a 3 and a halfish 4% long-term inflation rate"
Macroeconomics
Pending
Long-term rent and property price growth will be approximately 3.5% to 4%.
"and long-term uh in rents and and prices on there"
Real Estate Market
Pending
Investors who pay off their mortgages (especially low-interest ones) will achieve financial freedom sooner with confident cash flow, but will likely have a lower net worth in 20 years compared to those who keep leveraged assets.
"I can almost guarantee you that if you pay off those mortgages you're going to have a lower net worth number in 20 years but you'll be free now and feel really confident about your cash flow and lifestyle"
Financial Independence
Pending
The Bigger Pockets podcast will reduce the number of ads in future episodes.
"we're actually going to reduce the number of ads that you hear on the show"
Bigger Pockets Podcast Operations
Pending
The Bigger Pockets podcast will scale down its episode releases to three per week.
"we're actually going to scale down the number of shows we release per week to just three"
Bigger Pockets Podcast Operations
Pending
The long-term inflation rate will be around 3.5% to 4%, leading to long-term increases in real estate rents and prices.
"but I am willing to bet on a 3 and a halfish 4% long-term inflation rate and long-term uh in rents and and prices on there"
Real Estate Market Trends
Pending
Most property owners with low-interest mortgages will choose to hold onto their existing properties for the long term ('let it ride').
"I think that most people in today's environment that own property are choosing option three or the first option that I presented which is lock in those properties and let it ride"
Real Estate Investment Strategy
Pending
Paying off low-interest mortgages for immediate financial freedom will result in a lower net worth in 20 years compared to other investment strategies.
"I can almost guarantee you that if you pay off those mortgages you're going to have a lower net worth number in 20 years but you'll be free now and feel really confident about your cash flow and lifestyle"
Personal Finance & Real Estate
Pending
For retirees in a lower tax bracket, a 13% pre-tax yield from hard money lending will result in a 10-11% after-tax return, making it a powerful income option.
"if I was to retire and my income from ordinary you know W2 sources was to drop to close to zero or to a much lower tax bracket well now all of a sudden that 133% yield is actually closer to a 10 or 11% after tax return"
Retirement Investing
Pending