ilmscore | This Could Change the Housing Market | 2025 Mortgage Rate Predictions

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
10-year US Treasury yields are predicted to stabilize around 3.8% in 2025.
"I actually think yields might stay a little bit higher than this forecast here and probably will stay most towards the high 3es so instead of equilibrium maybe being at 3.6 maybe something closer to 3.8"
10-year US Treasury Yields
Pending
Average mortgage interest rates are predicted to be between 6.5% and 7% in the first half of 2025, then decrease to an average of 6.25% (between 6% and 6.5%) in the second half of 2025.
"my guess is that we'll see an average interest rate somewhere between 6 and 1 12 and 7% and then things will get better from an affordability perspective in the second half of the year and rates will probably come to somewhere between 6 and 6 and 1/2 so let's call it average second half of next year 6 and a/4 per."
Mortgage Rates
Pending
Mortgage rates may briefly drop into the 5% range during 2025, but are not expected to remain there for an extended period.
"we may see some days where rates are in the fives next year I'm not saying it's not going to happen at all I'm talking more about the average cuz these things can be volatile and they might drop into the fives briefly but I don't think they're going to sit in the fives for any period of time in 2025"
Mortgage Rates
Pending
10-year US Treasury bond yields are predicted to reach an equilibrium closer to 3.8% in 2025, higher than Wall Street's 3.6% forecast.
"I actually think yields might stay a little bit higher than this forecast here and probably will stay most towards the high 3es so instead of equilibrium maybe being at 3.6 maybe something closer to 3.8"
US10Y
Pending
Mortgage spreads are expected to remain relatively high and above their long-term average in the first half of 2025 due to ongoing uncertainty.
"I think spreads will stay above their long-term average because there's just a lot of uncertainty right now and so I think that risk premium is to stay relatively high in the first half of 2025"
Mortgage Spreads
Pending
Average mortgage rates are predicted to be between 6.5% and 7% in the first half of 2025, improving to an average of 6.25% in the second half of 2025.
"my guess is that we'll see an average interest rate somewhere between 6 and 1 12 and 7% and then things will get better from an affordability perspective in the second half of the year and rates will probably come to somewhere between 6 and 6 and 1/2 so let's call it average second half of next year 6 and a/4 per."
Mortgage Rates
Pending
Mortgage rates are expected to briefly drop into the 5% range on some days in 2025, but will not remain in the 5% range for a sustained period.
"we may see some days where rates are in the fives next year... but I don't think they're going to sit in the fives for any period of time in 2025"
Mortgage Rates
Pending