ilmscore | Boomers Will NEVER Sell, and It’s Ruining the Housing Market

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
It will take years, possibly decades, for current construction rates to address the housing supply deficit.
"even at this increased Pace it would take years if not decades to fill the Gap that we need"
Housing Supply
Pending
Low inventory and high unaffordability will persist for a while, making it difficult for families to buy larger homes, especially in expensive markets, leading to sustained demand for family-friendly rentals for years.
"lower inventory and lower affordability that I personally think is going to be around for a while I it's going to remain very difficult for families to buy larger homes especially in bigger more expensive type markets and that is going to at least in my opinion create sustained demand for familyfriendly rentals for years to come"
Housing Affordability & Rental Demand
Pending
Builders are predicted to increase construction of 3-4 bedroom homes to address market demand, potentially alleviating supply issues for families in the long term.
"Builders are seeing this Dynamic that I'm talking about and so they're going to try and build these three or four bedroom homes which could in the long term alleviate some of the supply issues for families"
Housing Market / Construction
Pending
The trend of families choosing to rent, even if they could afford to stretch for an unaffordable home, will continue.
"there are more people more families that are choosing to rent even if they can stretch themselves to get that slightly unaffordable home they're choosing to rent because it's actually a better economic decision for them and I think that trend is going to continue"
Rental Market
Pending
While more Boomers will eventually sell their homes (due to health, finances, or mortgage rates dropping to 5-5.5%) and supply will tick up from its low point, they are predicted to hold onto their properties longer than expected, preventing a market flood.
"I personally think it's not going to work out that way I do think eventually whether because of health issues Financial issues or perhaps mortgage rates come down to the 5 and 5 a half% range then maybe more Boomers who are thinking right now give market conditions that they're going to AG in place will choose to do something else and that will free up some Supply... Boomers will sell more of their homes than they will right now this is I think we're probably close to the low point and we'll start to see it tick up but... the evidence points to that we are probably going to see Boomers hold onto their properties longer than we are expecting"
Housing Market / Boomer Selling Trends
Pending
Leaseback options, where buyers rent a home back to its previous Boomer owners, could become an interesting dynamic in the real estate market over the next couple of years.
"I was thinking that this might be a really appealing option to certain Baby Boomers who want to age in place... I think it might be an interesting Dynamic that plays out in the next couple of years"
Real Estate Investment / Leaseback Options
Pending
Single-family rentals in good school districts are predicted to have solid rents, great vacancy rates, and growing rents over the next couple of years.
"personally I've started looking a bit at single family rentals particularly in good school districts because I think these are going to have good solid rent great vacancy R rates and rents are probably going to grow over the next couple of years"
Single-Family Rentals (SFRs)
Pending
The 'silver tsunami' housing market crash, where Baby Boomers sell homes en masse and flood the market, is not going to happen. Instead, Boomers are expected to hold onto their properties longer than anticipated.
"personally I don't think it's going to happen... the idea that they're all going to sell at one time in a way that it would flood the market with too many homes for buyers honestly has zero evidence and in fact the evidence points the other direction right the evidence points to that we are probably going to see Boomers hold onto their properties longer than we are expecting"
Housing Market Crash ("Silver Tsunami")
Pending
Eventually, if mortgage rates decrease to the 5-5.5% range, more Baby Boomers currently intending to age in place will choose to sell their homes, freeing up housing supply.
"I do think eventually whether because of health issues Financial issues or perhaps mortgage rates come down to the 5 and 5 a half% range then maybe more Boomers who are thinking right now give market conditions that they're going to AG in place will choose to do something else and that will free up some Supply"
Housing Supply & Mortgage Rates
Pending