ilmscore | "The Housing Market is Crashing!" is 2025's Biggest Lie

"The Housing Market is Crashing!" is 2025's Biggest Lie

Published: 2025-01-30
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 11
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US housing market will not experience a significant crash in the immediate future (e.g., 2025-2026).
"I feel pretty confident that a housing market crash is not around the corner"
US Housing Market
Pending
US multifamily housing construction starts will decline to relatively low levels and remain so for the foreseeable future (1-3 years post-Jan 2025).
"we are going to go down to relatively low levels of multif family construction for the foreseeable future"
US Multifamily Construction
Pending
The downward trend in US single-family housing construction will continue and not reverse in the next two years (2025-2027).
"I don't see that Trend [single-family construction coming down] reversing anytime in the next couple of years"
US Single-Family Construction
Pending
US housing prices will experience relatively low or flat appreciation in the near future (post-Jan 2025).
"plan on relatively low or even flat appreciation"
US Housing Appreciation
Pending
The US housing market will not experience a crash in the near future.
"I feel pretty confident that a housing market crash is not around the corner"
US Housing Market
Pending
US housing prices will not experience rapid 'crazy' growth in the next few years, unlike the growth seen in 2020-2022.
"I'm not saying that prices are growing like crazy or that they're going to grow like crazy or anything like we've seen over the last couple years in the next few years"
US Housing Market Appreciation
Pending
Multi-family construction in the US will decline to relatively low levels for the foreseeable future.
"we are going to go down to relatively low levels of multif family construction for the foreseeable future"
US Multi-family Construction
Pending
Low levels of multi-family construction are unlikely to lead to a glut of housing supply in the US.
"it's not likely that's going to lead to a glut of Supply"
US Housing Supply
Pending
The downward trend in US single-family construction will not reverse in the next couple of years due to sustained higher interest rates.
"with interest rates staying a little bit higher than I think any Builder wants them to be I don't see that Trend reversing anytime in the next couple of years"
US Single-family Construction
Pending
The probability of severe US housing market price declines is relatively small, provided mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates do not significantly increase.
"unless they start going up in any meaningful way the probability of severe price declines in the housing market is relatively small"
US Housing Market Prices
Pending
US housing market appreciation is expected to be relatively low or flat.
"plan on relatively low or even flat appreciation"
US Housing Market Appreciation
Pending