Published: 2024-02-01
Status:
Available
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Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted Bitcoin's price would reach a top significantly higher than $60,000-$80,000, likely between $180,000 and $320,000, by the end of the 2024-2028 cycle.
"Bitcoin of course SS to a significantly higher number likely three or four times that number that everyone is going to have as their first"
Pending
Predicted the US 10-year Treasury yield would fall to the low 2% range (e.g., 2.0%) by mid-2024.
"we're probably going to see the low twos by the middle of this year"
Pending
Predicted oil prices would roll over after February 9, 2024, and fall to the low $30s or $40s (e.g., $35).
"a pullback takes us to the 9th of February and then I think we're looking for a left translated daily cycle to roll over and short this thing back down to the low 30s or 40s"
Pending
Predicted the stock market and risk assets would reach a major top between May and July 2024 if no rate cuts occurred in March.
"if we're not getting any Cuts in March then there may well we scope to run this thing hotter into May and then from may we might have anywhere between zero and 2 months from May before the actual top comes in for the stock market and for risk assets"
Pending
Predicted a 95% probability of the first Fed rate cut by May 2024 at the latest.
"there is a 95% probability that we are going to see cuts by May at the latest"
Pending
Predicted that if CPI showed a 'two or low two handle' in the Feb 13 report, rate cuts for March 2024 would be back on the table.
"if we can see a two or even a low two handle for CPI then believe me this thing is going to reprice again to the downside we're going to put Cuts back on the table for March"
Pending
Predicted the stock market, Bitcoin, and risk assets would complete a 'blowoff top' move by July 2024.
"we've got an extra two months of potential upside for the stock market and for Bitcoin and all of risk assets to complete what I believe will be their blowoff top move"
Pending
Predicted that a deflationary bust would follow the market's blowoff top.
"indeed we are going to be putting in that blowoff top followed by the deflationary bust"
Pending
Predicted the stock market would experience very nasty, swift declines, drawing a parallel to the February 2020 pre-COVID plunge given unusual market divergences.
"the last time this happened we saw very very nasty Swift declines happen for the stock market"
Pending
Predicted the S&P 500 is due for its four-year cycle low in the not too distant future.
"the fouryear cycle low for the S&P 500 and it's due in the not too distant future"
Pending
Predicted that current issues in the banking sector (e.g., NYCB's drop) would be very bullish for Bitcoin.
"Banks doing stuff like this is very bullish for Bitcoin"
Pending
Predicted that if Bitcoin breaks its stock-to-flow model to the upside in the 2024-2028 cycle, the theory of diminishing returns for Bitcoin will be disproven.
"if Bitcoin breaks the stock to flow model to the upside again in 2024 to 2028 cycle ... then diminishing return returns will be dead in the water"
Pending
Predicted that the US 10-year Treasury yield would not reach 6-8% by the end of 2024.
"I'm seeing people call for 6 7 8% by the end of the year this is ludicrous we're about to start cutting rates what are you talking about"
Pending
Predicted Bitcoin would experience one more dip into a cycle low in the short term.
"we are indeed going to get one more dip into a cycle low that would make the most sense to me from a cycle perspective"
Pending