Published: 2023-12-16
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 7
Prediction
Topic
Status
Predicted VIX would likely be below 12 by the end of 2023.
"we could probably see sub 12 by the end of this year"
Correct
Predicted VIX might reach as low as 10 by the end of 2023.
"we might even get as low as 10 by the end of this year"
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates paused in January 2024.
"for January we are currently expecting to remain paused"
Correct
Predicted a 70% probability of a Federal Reserve rate pause in March 2024.
"out to March we are pricing in around a 70% chance currently 70% probability"
Correct
Predicted a spike in credit spreads in the not too distant future, causing short-term stock market volatility.
"at some point in the not too distant future we will probably get a spike in the credit spreads which is usually conducive to at least short-term volatility in the stock market"
Incorrect
Predicted that Congress might be banned from owning stocks if a relevant bill gains momentum.
"if this bill continues to build steam then we may well see Congress be banned from owning stocks"
Incorrect
Predicted the stock market would perform very well until the end of 2023 and potentially into Q1 2024.
"we're still expecting to see the stock market do very nice things until the end of the year and possibly into q1 of next year"
Correct
Predicted a potential deflationary bust if inflation continues to decrease after Q1 2024.
"if indeed we do play out like this it's going to be time to consider are we going to get a deflationary bust for that to happen we need to continue to see inflation come down"
Incorrect
Predicted the S&P 500 would see further gains by the end of 2023.
"don't give up on the potential for more green into the end of this year"
Correct
Predicted Bitcoin to reach all-time highs by January 2024, provided its current parabolic trend doesn't invalidate.
"if this current Bitcoin Parabola does not invalidate we're going to be at all-time highs by January"
Incorrect
Predicted altcoins would underperform Bitcoin.
"the alt coins are going to Kneel To The King they're going to bow down to the King which is of course Bitcoin"
Correct
Predicted a true alt season would occur later, after liquidity moves out of Bitcoin.
"liquidity to exit Bitcoin and we to finally get a true alt season later on in life"
Incorrect
Predicted a stock market melt-up rally into new all-time highs after a daily cycle low around December 21st, 2023.
"it sets us up for a melt up rally into new all-time Highs"
Correct
Predicted that precious metals and miners would see strong performance in Q1-Q2 2024.
"the metals is not quite their time to shine just yet but of course I do believe it is going to be soon enough perhaps q1 Q two of next year"
Correct
Predicted that Bitcoin's current price low would hold, leading to a very bullish market phase.
"I think this low probably holds and I think we start to get very very very bullish once we can get a push"
Correct
Predicted an ongoing downtrend for the US Dollar, an uptrend for the Euro Dollar, and continued risk-on market sentiment.
"we've also got a dollar in a downtrend... this is being catalyzed by the euro dollar in an uptrend so kind of makes sense that risk is going to continue to come on"
Incorrect
Predicted the market would enter a 'blowoff top moment' characterized by 'berserk mode,' FOMO, and soft landing narratives, with Bitcoin exhibiting strong upward movement.
"we are still going to continue to work on this blowoff top moment... it is time to start expecting things to go into berserk mode... fomo to be order of the day... soft Landing atives to proliferate and it is possibly time to start expecting Bitcoin to go and do Bitcoin things once more"
Correct
Predicted that 2024 would be a much tougher year to navigate financially.
"if I am right about what comes next next year is going to be a lot tougher to navigate"
Incorrect