RBI's ₹2 Lakh Crore Liquidity Plan: Impact on Market & 2026 Outlook | CA Rachana Ranade Live
Published: 2025-12-25
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-12-25
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker predicts that the market in 2026 will not be as challenging as it was in 2025.
"I feel that yes, it is not going to be as bad as 2025."
Pending
The first half of 2026's market performance will be influenced by the budget and quarterly results, with good results and a positive budget expected to be key triggers starting in January.
"first half of 2026 may not be that I mean of course depends on the budget. If if budget is really good, we can start seeing the numbers. So it all the the triggers will start from January that are we able to see some good quarterly results that that would be the number one trigger in 2026. The number two trigger would be the budget which will tell us the overall direction mood of the market."
Pending
The RBI is implementing measures to inject liquidity into the banking system, indicating a proactive step to manage financial conditions.
"RBI announces measures to manage liquidity conditions. On a review of current liquidity and financial condition, RBI has decided to conduct the following operations to inject liquidity into the banking system."
Correct
The RBI will conduct open market purchase operations (OMOs) totaling ₹2 lakh crore, with four tranches of ₹50,000 crore each, on December 29th, January 5th, January 12th, and January 22nd to inject liquidity.
"RBI announces measures to manage liquidity conditions... With the help of two things. Number one is open market purchase auctions. OMO is open market operations of uh so open market operation purchase options of government of India securities for an aggregate amount of 2 lakh cr rupees in four branches of 50,000 cr each when are they going to do that 29th December 5th of January January 12th and January 22nd"
Pending
The RBI plans to conduct a USD INR buy-sell swap auction for $10 billion with a 3-year tenor on January 13, 2026.
"The second one is USD INR buy sell swap option of USD $10 billion for a tenor of 3 years to be held on 13th of January 2026."
Correct
The USD INR swap will increase RBI's US dollar reserves and inject more liquidity into the banking system, potentially facilitating loans to individuals and corporations.
"With this, what will happen is that I as RBI, I as the banker's bank, I as the government's bank, I will have more US dollar reserves with me. I'll have more USD with me just in case if I need them, I'll have it with me. Okay? If I need them. But very important as banks you will get more liquidity again which can be given to maybe retailers or corporates those who want as loans."
Correct
The RBI's liquidity measures are expected to stimulate demand and potentially trigger a new capex cycle, with a slight increase in inflation being acceptable in exchange for stronger economic growth.
"This will stimulate demand. This may start the next round of capex cycle. Correct. Simple till here. What is the downside of this? Will inflation also increase? Because more demand, similar supply, there's a great chance that inflation may increase. But that is okay. We are okay with that. We are almost at the lowest possible levels of inflation. So we are okay to compromise a little bit of inflation. So bring in more inflation at the cost of good growth."
Correct
The speaker asks whether the RBI's actions will positively or negatively impact the market.
"Is this going to have a positive impact on the market or will this have a negative impact on the market?"
Pending
The India-New Zealand free trade agreement will eliminate duties on 100% of Indian exports to New Zealand.
"India New Zealand free trade agreement eliminates duty on 100% of Indian exports. Okay, whatever we are going to export 100% duty-free"
Incorrect
There is a goal to double the bilateral trade between India and New Zealand within the next five years.
"We aim to double it in about 5 years."
Pending
Increasing the number of global trading partners, such as New Zealand, the UK, and Oman, will help reduce India's dependence on a few larger countries.
"more and more trading partners that we have across the globe like I gave you examples be it India New Zealand, be it India, UK, be it India, Oman, more and more such deals, it will slowly and steadily reduce our dependence on few bigger countries."
Correct
Economic partnership and trade agreements are expected to facilitate easier trade, leading to a positive impact on both the overall economy and the stock market.
"with such economic partnership agreements or economic trade agreements obviously things become easier uh when we get more and more of such support automatically what happens is that all in all it it will impact it will have a positive impact on our entire economy and also ultimately on the market."
Correct
The promoter share pledge for Cupid has decreased from 36.13% to 20% as of September 30, 2025. The company's promoter attributes this to a strengthening balance sheet and sustained business momentum, emphasizing financial prudence and long-term shareholder value.
"promoters as at 30th September 2025 and that has dropped to 20%. Okay Name of the stock was Cupid absolutely it has dropped to 20%. Okay so that's that's a good thing and the comment of the promoter Mr. Mr. Aritkumar Halbasia he says that the reduction in promoter share pledge is a reflection of our strengthening balance sheet and sustained business momentum. It reinforces our commitment to maintaining financial prudence, transparency and long-term value creation for our shareholders."
Correct
Nifty IT is showing a double bottom pattern with a breakout, indicating a strengthening trend. The pattern suggests potential further upside, with the next hurdle identified at a resistance level.
"Uh let me just stop the replay because at an index level I can show you weekly interesting on weekly pattern. Uh let me share my screen. You can see it's kind of a double bottom kind of a thing right now for Nifty ID. It's a breakout and it's it's going stronger. Uh typically what we would do is from here whatever is the height we would try and replicate that Sorry something bad with my mouse. Almost achieved. Almost achieved. Now what as per the double bottom? Okay. But now the next target or next hurdle that comes up is here or J. I'll now remove this. This is the hurdle and see how beautifully it is taking a resistance. Exactly here. By the way, this is the latest data 22nd weekly chart I'm showing at index level."
Correct
A 6-month rounding bottom formation in Nifty IT, if successfully broken and sustained, could lead to a larger target of approximately 5,000 points, potentially reaching previous all-time highs.
"This is kind of a rounding bottom that you can say 6 months rounding bottom formation. If we are able to break out of this sustain then it'll have a bigger target then I'll say this big target will get added up 5,000 points roughly from here 5,000 points will be like this maybe close to the previous alltime highs."
Pending
The speaker suggests that gold should remain a part of a portfolio in 2026 and discusses whether the rally in gold and silver will continue, with detailed reasons provided in recent videos on gold and especially silver.
"Gold rally will that continue for 2026 I have recently released videos two videos released by the way extremely important videos mustwatch videos take that as homework puja please paste the link of those two videos as well here and in the pin comment description box as well uh one video that I've released recently was about the gold uh should you have it in your portfolio 2026 uh see of course you should have it in your portfolio I've talked about that thousand times 10% of your portfolio but would that would the rally continue in gold? Would the rally continue in silver or not? What could be the reasons behind that? Some really interesting points I put up in the silver video especially. So, please don't forget to watch that as well. You'll definitely learn something new."
Pending
Railway stocks are showing bullish momentum due to a revised railway fare. The speaker and their team are conducting a study on these stocks, with an upcoming video promising interesting insights.
"Railway stocks have been turning bullish past two trading days. It has been going up. It was mainly because of um uh the railway rate fair that has been revised. That's why railway stocks are turning bullish. But uh me and my team, we are already uh doing some nice study on railway stocks. Expect a video in the coming week for railway stocks. You it'll give you some very interesting insights."
Pending
Key positive triggers for the market in 2026 include RBI injecting liquidity via OMOs and USD/INR swaps, strong Q3 results, a positive budget announcement, and the formation of more trade deals.
"RBI injecting liquidity that we discussed right now through OMOS through USD and our swap. Second, we said uh Q three results that would come up if good that will have a positive impact on the market. Number three, we talked about one more important point which is the budget. Uh if that comes up on a positive note that will have a good impact and number four it is about the trade deals. More and more trade deals we we talk about"
Pending