ilmscore | The (New) Reason Why The Fed Is Getting Worried

The (New) Reason Why The Fed Is Getting Worried

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 1
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US economy added the fewest jobs in 2025 since 2003.
"our economy in 2025 added the lowest number of jobs that we have seen since 2003, more than two decades ago."
Job Market
Correct
President Trump wants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in mortgage bonds to lower mortgage rates and stimulate housing purchases.
"President Trump announced that he is demanding Fanny May and Freddy Mack to now start buying mortgage bonds. But not just that, that he wants them to buy $200 billion worth of mortgage bonds as a way to drive mortgage rates lower so more people can then go out and buy a house as a way to stimulate the economy."
Housing Market
Incorrect
AI adoption is contributing to corporate cost-reduction strategies, potentially impacting hiring.
"And a big reason for that is because of AI. Corporations are saying instead of us going out and hiring more people, how about we try to employ AI agents as a way to reduce costs?"
Artificial Intelligence
Correct
New economic data suggests the Federal Reserve Bank is less likely to cut interest rates in January.
"And this is where we just got some new data which shows that now it seems less likely that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to cut interest rates in January."
Interest Rates
Correct
President Trump intends to replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell when his term expires in May with someone aligned with his policies.
"Well, the chairman's term is going to expire this May. [...] And President Trump has made it very clear that he wants to replace Jerome Powell, who is the current chairman at the Federal Reserve Bank, with somebody who is going to agree with what President Trump says."
Federal Reserve Bank Leadership
Incorrect
President Trump is directing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to utilize $200 billion to purchase more mortgages.
"And so what President Trump is now demanding is that Fanny May Freddy Mack take that $200 billion and they use it to go out and buy more mortgages."
Housing Market Stimulation
Incorrect
UBS predicts that the proposed move by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could lower mortgage rates by 0.1% to 0.25%.
"according to UBS, the bank, what they say is that this move can bring mortgage rates down by somewhere between 0.1% to 0.25%"
Mortgage Rates
Correct
President Trump is expected to gain increased influence over the Federal Reserve Bank's decisions in 2026.
"and President Trump will likely have more influence on what the Federal Reserve Bank does."
Federal Reserve Bank Policy Influence
Pending
Hiring is down, and AI is a significant factor driving changes in the job market.
"Companies are not hiring the way that they were and there's a lot of changes happening in the job market, especially due to AI."
Job Market and AI
Correct
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are being asked to use their reserves to buy mortgage bonds, aiming to reduce mortgage costs and encourage banks to issue more loans.
"And what he's doing now is he's asking Fanny Man Freddy Mack to use their reserves to go out and buy more mortgage bonds as a way to make getting a mortgage cheaper, as a way to incentivize banks to go out and issue more loans, to issue more mortgages sooner."
Housing Market Policy
Correct