ilmscore | Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Did It Pay Off?)

Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Did It Pay Off?)

Published: 2026-01-21
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Prediction
Topic
Status
AI capital expenditure is predicted to reach $600 billion in 2026.
"AI capex alone... is going to be 600 billion next year."
AI Capital Expenditure
Pending
Relatively low net new deliveries of multifamily properties are expected across the US in 2026.
"heading into 2026, we're going to see relatively low net new deliveries of multif family across the nation."
Multifamily Real Estate Supply
Pending
Multifamily vacancy rates are predicted to decrease across the US in 2026.
"what is going to happen, I think, in 2026 is that vacancy rate is just going to come creeping down, right?"
Multifamily Real Estate Vacancy Rates
Pending
Multifamily vacancy rates in some markets like Denver are predicted to decrease by 200-300 basis points in 2026.
"It's going to go it's going to come down maybe 200 300 basis points in some of these markets like a Denver, right?"
Multifamily Real Estate Vacancy Rates
Pending
National rent growth predicted to be in the 3.0% to 4.5% range in 2026.
"I'd say it's going to be in the 3 to four range. 3.0% to 4.5% somewhere in that range."
Rent Growth
Pending
National rent growth predicted to be slightly higher in 2027 than 2026, and even higher in 2028 than 2027.
"And you're going to see something a little bit higher than that in 2027 and higher yet again in 2028."
Rent Growth
Pending
National rent growth predicted to be between 0% and 2% in 2026 (Dave Meyer's view).
"on a national basis I think if I had to bet I'd say it's between zero and two not up to four but we'll come back next year hold this to this."
Rent Growth
Pending
No very large price changes for housing are expected on a national basis in 2026.
"I'm not confident there's going to be very large price changes on a national basis. Nope. For housing in this country and in terms of the the the asset value."
Housing Prices
Pending