ilmscore | Housing Market 2025 — Prices Stuck, Sales Crashing

Housing Market 2025 — Prices Stuck, Sales Crashing

Published: 2025-09-25
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 7
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve projects the Fed funds interest rate to be between 3.0% and 3.25% by the end of 2028.
"They are projecting that they're going to cut the interest rate down to 3.0% to 3.25% by the end of 2028."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Projections
Pending
The speaker suspects the economy will degrade in 2025, leading the Federal Reserve to implement monetary policy that will result in much lower interest rates in 2026.
"It's my suspicion that the economy will degrade next year and the Federal Reserve will be forced to react with their monetary policy and it's going to cause much lower interest rates in 2026."
Economy and Interest Rates
Correct
Predictions of quantitative easing, balance sheet expansion, and more aggressive rate cuts under a new Federal Reserve chair appointed by Trump.
"QE balance sheet expansion on top of much more aggressive rate cuts with Trump's new Federal Reserve chair."
Monetary Policy and Interest Rates
Pending
The speaker predicts home prices will either stay flat or increase, and does not expect a housing market crash.
"My prediction is that home prices are going to either remain flat or they're going to go up higher. So, in other words, I'm expecting that we're not going to have a housing market crash."
Home Prices
Incorrect
If the Federal Reserve overstimulates the economy, home prices will rise significantly, comparable to the GFC or pandemic periods.
"If the Federal Reserve overd does their rescue, then home prices will go up. I mean, they're going to go up even higher, and it's going to be no different than the GFC or the pandemic."
Home Prices
Pending
The National Association of Realtors predicts a 4% increase in home prices for 2026.
"In 2026, the National Association of Realtors predicts that home prices are going to go up by 4%."
Home Price Predictions (2026)
Pending
Fannie Mae predicts a 1.1% increase in home prices for 2026.
"Fanny May predicts that home prices will go up by 1.1%."
Home Price Predictions (2026)
Pending
The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts a 0.3% increase in home prices for 2026.
"Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that home prices will go up by 0.3% in 2026."
Home Price Predictions (2026)
Pending
The speaker agrees with the range of predictions for 2026 home prices (flat to up 4%), suggesting prices could go even higher if monetary policy becomes very loose.
"Therefore, the range is from flat to up to 4%. I would say that personally I like that range as a prediction. You know, maybe a little bit higher on the top end if monetary policy gets very loose."
Home Price Predictions (2026)
Pending