ilmscore | CPI Inflation Report: Interest Rate Cuts Triggered for Sept

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The market views a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve as highly probable, though not a certainty.
"So, I'll tell you that it's not 100%. It's not a sure thing, but it sure is close."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
The speaker believes Jerome Powell will find it difficult to justify not cutting interest rates in September given current economic data.
"So, I mean, I'll just tell you honestly, I don't know how J. Paul is going to justify not cutting interest rates in September, the way things that are going."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
Interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are imminent.
"But I do want you to know that the interest rate cuts, they're I mean, they're going to start soon. It's right around the corner."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
If a rate cut does not occur in September, it is highly probable in one of the two subsequent Federal Reserve meetings in 2025.
"So, if not in September, then there are two more meetings after that one in September for the remainder of the year. And each of those meetings are going to be fair game for an interest rate cut."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
The resumption of interest rate cuts will be followed by quantitative easing, indicating a shift to easier monetary policy.
"And when they resume the interest rate cuts, it's going to be an easier monetary policy. So, first come the interest rate cuts, followed by quantitative easing, QE."
Monetary Policy
Pending
An easier monetary policy is predicted to lead to increased asset inflation.
"And with an easier monetary policy is going to come more asset inflation."
Asset Inflation
Pending
Market dips are viewed as a significant buying opportunity.
"So, I would say any market dips, you know, this just me personally, I would see it as an amazing buying opportunity."
Market Dips
Pending
By the October Federal Reserve meeting, there is a 62% probability of two interest rate cuts and a 35.6% probability of one rate cut.
"So, here are the odds by the October Fed meeting. So, there's a 62% chance that we're going to get two interest rate cuts by then. There's a 35.6% chance that we'll only have one rate cut by then."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending